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Rimini vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 99-81
28-14 22-31 22-22 27-14
Position#3
Record20-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#9
Record18-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game79.6
ItalySerie A2Round 33· Palasport Flaminio
Other2024-25
Meetings · Rimini v Pesaro
27 Nov 2026
RIMI v PES
upcoming
16 May 2026
RIMI94
PES96
14 May 2026
RIMI93
PES75
26 Oct 2025
RIMI86
PES65
21 Mar 2025
RIMI99
PES81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
82-77
82
77
+5
74avg 74
H15/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
73-78
73
78
-5
67avg 74
A19/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
81-76
81
76
+5
71avg 74
H26/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
55-90
55
90
-35
43avg 74
A29/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
L
91-98
91
98
-7
90avg 74
A01/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
78avg 74
H09/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
80-73
80
73
+7
64avg 74
A15/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 74
H26/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
61-88
61
88
-27
54avg 74
H02/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
72avg 74
A09/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
29-15
15-19
23-28
28-16
11-22
19-18
15-22
14-28
20-15
22-13
25-20
22-23
13-29
8-19
12-19
28-16
20-24
17-25
26-33
19-16
20-16
16-19
19-23
12-19
25-21
26-15
17-18
14-19
18-23
24-21
24-22
20-20
15-28
13-17
13-23
15-18
20-19
18-27
21-20
159.8Avg total
76.6Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)80.878.2159.0+2.667%
Season at home (15)81.679.6161.2+2.067%
Season away (15)80.076.9156.9+3.167%
Last 10 (10)76.683.2159.8-6.640%
Last 5 (5)76.882.6159.4-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)85.071.0156.0+14.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)80.080.4160.4-0.450%
vs Weaker (11)81.775.3157.0+6.591%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
W
84-70
84
70
+14
78avg 74
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
80-82
80
82
-2
68avg 74
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
118-86
118
86
+32
113avg 74
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
91-77
91
77
+14
94avg 74
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 74
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
97-76
97
76
+21
96avg 74
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
84avg 74
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
69-85
69
85
-16
64avg 74
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
68avg 74
H09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
84-71
84
71
+13
78avg 74
H15/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
13-30
28-13
18-10
17-24
16-21
23-18
24-19
29-22
34-18
30-25
25-21
18-17
27-17
19-27
27-16
19-16
21-18
15-21
16-15
23-29
25-16
26-14
23-17
18-20
30-26
17-22
12-9
22-13
19-23
16-21
12-28
22-22
19-27
24-21
13-15
26-16
22-14
14-13
22-28
167.5Avg total
87.0Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)81.879.6161.5+2.256%
Season at home (17)84.675.3159.9+9.376%
Season away (15)78.784.5163.3-5.833%
Last 10 (10)87.080.5167.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)85.284.0169.2+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.083.0155.0-11.00%
vs Similar ◀ (21)80.180.5160.6-0.448%
vs Weaker (8)89.077.0166.0+12.088%
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -2.1-2.1Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
RiminiPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H15/01
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A19/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H26/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A29/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A01/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H09/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A15/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H26/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H02/03
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A09/03
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
37.8Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.338.678.0+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.139.176.1-2.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.638.279.8+3.467%-
Last 10 (10)37.840.278.0-2.440%-
Last 5 (5)35.639.875.4-4.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)30.032.062.0-2.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.539.177.6-0.656%-
vs Weaker (11)41.538.580.1+3.064%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nardo
#19
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H26/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/01
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
63-40
63
40
+23
H02/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H08/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A16/02
Serie A2
Cento
#15
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A19/02
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A25/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A02/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
L
41-49
41
49
-8
H09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#6
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H15/03
Serie A2
85.1Avg total
44.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.841.182.9+0.757%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.539.482.9+4.162%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.182.9-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)44.540.685.1+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.241.286.4+4.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.032.073.0+9.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)40.241.381.5-1.048%-
vs Weaker (8)46.041.887.8+4.275%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.919.3
50.9%
50.1%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.0
29.9%
34.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws17.913.2
73.7%
74.4%13.2
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 85.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.418.6
55.7%
50.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.1
37.9%
34.6%33.3
🏀 Free throws18.615.0
80.6%
74.4%15.0
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
LLLWWLLWLW
Pesaro
WLLLWWWWLW
#3
League position
#9
-8.7
Net rating
+7.7
102.5
Offensive rating
113.1
111.1
Defensive rating
105.4
48.4%
Effective FG%
56.2%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.8%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
29.9%
3-point %
37.9%
56.8%
Assist %
58.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.5 · 113.1Defence111.1 · 105.4Shooting48.4% · 56.2%3-point %29.9% · 37.9%Ball care18.1% · 16.8%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Rimini   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rimini wins
0
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
10/11/24Pesaro v Rimini76-82
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/25ACantu74-84
02/03/25HOrzinuovi61-88
26/02/25HBasket Torino80-85
15/02/25ACividale80-73
09/02/25HVerona89-83 OT
01/02/25AUrania Milano91-98
29/01/25ABrindisi55-90
26/01/25HAssigeco Piacenza81-76
19/01/25AForli73-78
15/01/25HLibertas Livorno82-77
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/25HForli84-71
09/03/25HSebastiani Rieti78-85
02/03/25ABasket Torino69-85
25/02/25AOrzinuovi98-103 OT
19/02/25ACento97-76
16/02/25AFortitudo Bologna71-70
08/02/25HCividale91-77
02/02/25HAssigeco Piacenza118-86
29/01/25AAvellino Basket80-82
26/01/25HNardo84-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL67%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game80.881.680.0
Allowed / game78.279.676.9
Point differential+2.6+2.0+3.1
Avg total159.0161.2156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%13%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)50% (8)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW56%
HomeWWWLW76%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %56%76%33%
Points / game81.884.678.7
Allowed / game79.675.384.5
Point differential+2.2+9.3-5.8
Avg total161.5159.9163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%53%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine3123874%83.475.3+8.1
2 Rimini30201067%80.878.2+2.6
3 Cantu31201165%77.772.9+4.9
4 Sebastiani Rieti31191261%75.373.5+1.9
5 Urania Milano31191261%77.075.1+1.8
6 Fortitudo Bologna32191359%75.773.1+2.6
7 Cividale32191359%80.679.3+1.2
8 Forli31181358%76.875.6+1.2
9 Verona32181456%76.473.4+3.0
10 Pesaro32181456%81.879.6+2.2
11 Avellino Basket31171455%78.779.0-0.3
12 Brindisi32171553%76.675.7+0.9
13 Basket Torino32161650%76.575.8+0.7
14 Orzinuovi32131941%77.680.6-3.0
15 Cento32122038%72.877.9-5.1
16 JuVi Cremona31112035%80.582.5-1.9
17 Libertas Livorno32112134%74.776.7-2.0
18 Vigevano32102231%75.981.3-5.4
19 Nardo3192229%74.680.9-6.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza3262619%75.882.5-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2822222799
Pesaro1431221481
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