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Pesaro vs Urania Milano Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 07 Feb 2027
Tip-off: 17:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record5-4
FormWLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game79.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.7/10
Above normal
6.3/10
Above normal
Position#19
Record1-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game83.1
ItalySerie A2Round 26· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pesaro v Urania Milano
07 Feb 2027
PES v URAN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
PES73
URAN68
19 Jan 2025
PES97
URAN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 76
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-81
96
81
+15
92avg 76
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
32avg 76
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-77
83
77
+6
87avg 76
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
86-76
86
76
+10
67avg 76
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
76-68
76
68
+8
76avg 76
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
71-73
71
73
-2
61avg 76
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
70-79
70
79
-9
60avg 76
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
87-96 OT
87
96
-9
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
11-27
22-21
27-23
31-14
25-25
20-19
20-23
24-23
21-18
15-26
27-17
23-24
23-15
16-21
21-17
13-15
27-31
22-17
24-13
22-21
20-18
13-15
21-14
15-20
21-20
18-19
17-14
19-21
18-27
13-16
20-15
22-22
18-30
19-12
14-21
25-21
15-22
19-19
20-17
161.7Avg total
80.7Scored
81.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)81.079.9160.9+1.156%
Season at home (5)78.077.4155.4+0.660%
Season away (4)84.883.0167.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)80.781.0161.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.480.2155.6-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)70.079.0149.0-9.00%
vs Similar (20)82.586.2168.7-3.745%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)85.676.4162.0+9.1100%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
84-102
84
102
-18
77avg 73
A29/04
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
68-70
68
70
-2
55avg 73
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
81-84
81
84
-3
28avg 73
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
88-96
88
96
-8
82avg 73
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
72-87
72
87
-15
44avg 73
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
90-72
90
72
+18
96avg 73
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 73
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
66-83
66
83
-17
no box
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-33
13-25
19-20
23-24
19-18
12-20
15-19
22-13
21-29
18-19
21-21
21-15
24-21
21-20
21-36
22-19
19-23
16-13
19-28
18-23
26-19
19-13
24-18
21-22
17-15
12-23
15-17
16-23
16-24
12-25
22-17
21-19
20-25
21-21
14-25
11-12
23-34
26-17
14-16
19-15
161.5Avg total
76.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)75.783.1158.8-7.411%
Season at home (4)79.280.8160.0-1.525%
Season away (5)72.885.0157.8-12.20%
Last 10 (10)76.585.0161.5-8.510%
Last 5 (5)74.482.2156.6-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)76.683.6160.3-7.021%
vs Similar (10)81.778.9160.6+2.860%
vs Weaker (1)110.086.0196.0+24.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.4-3.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: +0.9+0.9
PesaroUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rimini
#8
L
29-47
29
47
-18
H19/05
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A27/09
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/10
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A18/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H21/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H25/10
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A01/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#13
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H07/11
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
84.5Avg total
41.1Scored
43.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.341.884.0+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.440.883.2+1.667%-
Last 30 away (15)42.142.784.9-0.640%-
Last 10 (10)41.143.484.5-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)39.044.483.4-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.048.085.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.643.084.7-1.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)44.238.282.4+6.089%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A29/04
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H27/09
Serie A2
Brindisi
#6
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A04/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H10/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A17/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H21/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A24/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H30/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A07/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A11/11
Serie A2
82.1Avg total
38.4Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.381.8-0.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.639.881.4+1.971%-
Last 30 away (16)39.442.782.1-3.325%-
Last 10 (10)38.443.782.1-5.320%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.281.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)39.141.580.6-2.432%-
vs Similar (10)41.840.382.1+1.570%-
vs Weaker (1)52.049.0101.0+3.0100%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.517.5
50.7%
51.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.78.5
41.1%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.114.8
77.5%
70.8%14.8
They take 55.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 70.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.818.7
50.8%
51.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.7
32.6%
34.6%17.1
🏀 Free throws23.315.7
67.4%
70.8%15.7
They take 54.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 07 Feb 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LLLLWWWWWL
Urania Milano
LLLLWLLLLL
#10
League position
#19
-1.4
Net rating
-4.7
105.1
Offensive rating
93.4
106.5
Defensive rating
98.1
54.8%
Effective FG%
50.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
10.0%
Turnover %
14.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.43
41.1%
3-point %
32.6%
53.1%
Assist %
49.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 93.4Defence106.5 · 98.1Shooting54.8% · 50.2%3-point %41.1% · 32.6%Ball care10.0% · 14.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.43Form (last 10/10)50% · 10%
■ Pesaro   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
1
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
04/01/26Pesaro v Urania Milano73-68
15/11/25Urania Milano v Pesaro72-93
19/01/25Pesaro v Urania Milano97-70
26/10/24Urania Milano v Pesaro77-60
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ASassari87-96 OT
07/11/26HMestre73-85
01/11/26AAvellino Basket70-79
25/10/26HBasket Torino71-73
21/10/26HCividale76-68
18/10/26ARuvo Di Puglia86-76
11/10/26HCaserta83-77
04/10/26HJuVi Cremona87-84
27/09/26ACento96-81
19/05/26HRimini78-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AAvellino Basket85-93 OT
07/11/26AFortitudo Bologna66-83
30/10/26HRimini71-85
24/10/26ACividale60-78
21/10/26HJuVi Cremona90-72
17/10/26ALibertas Livorno72-87
10/10/26HRuvo Di Puglia88-96
04/10/26ABrindisi81-84
27/09/26HSassari68-70
29/04/26ALibertas Livorno84-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game81.078.084.8
Allowed / game79.977.483.0
Point differential+1.1+0.6+1.8
Avg total160.9155.4167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %11%0%25%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL11%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %11%25%0%
Points / game75.779.272.8
Allowed / game83.180.885.0
Point differential-7.4-1.5-12.2
Avg total158.8160.0157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %11%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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