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Urania Milano vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 72-93
13-19 16-24 20-25 23-25
Position#14
Record3-8
FormLLWLW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record9-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game76.8
ItalySerie A2Round 12· Allianz Cloud
Other2025-26
Meetings · Urania Milano v Pesaro
03 Jan 2027
URAN v PES
upcoming
15 Nov 2025
URAN72
PES93
26 Oct 2024
URAN77
PES60
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
75-74
75
74
+1
67avg 68
A28/09
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
87-100
87
100
-13
74avg 68
A04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
103-108 OT
103
108
-5
102avg 68
H08/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
L
69-77
69
77
-8
61avg 68
A12/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
79-80 OT
79
80
-1
70avg 68
H18/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
67-70
67
70
-3
56avg 68
A24/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
60-98
60
98
-38
51avg 68
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
79-73
79
73
+6
76avg 68
H01/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 68
A09/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 68
H12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-13
17-16
18-26
18-19
22-20
13-31
28-26
24-23
18-32
21-23
29-24
21-10
22-19
15-14
17-22
15-22
14-19
23-22
15-10
18-19
23-10
21-19
16-21
7-20
24-22
11-21
13-28
12-27
14-9
23-22
23-16
19-26
20-26
8-11
23-21
19-22
21-19
22-21
27-19
22-18
161.8Avg total
78.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)77.683.5161.2-5.927%
Season at home (5)85.284.0169.2+1.240%
Season away (6)71.383.2154.5-11.817%
Last 10 (10)78.183.7161.8-5.630%
Last 5 (5)73.679.6153.2-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.884.6161.3-7.833%
vs Similar (19)74.477.6152.1-3.237%
vs Weaker (2)83.588.5172.0-5.050%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
86-71
86
71
+15
83avg 79
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-80
89
80
+9
82avg 79
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
81-74
81
74
+7
78avg 79
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
101-83
101
83
+18
108avg 79
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
90-84
90
84
+6
85avg 79
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 79
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
82-73
82
73
+9
70avg 79
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 79
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 79
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 79
H12/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-8
24-19
20-20
19-24
27-21
15-18
25-25
22-16
21-24
23-6
27-27
10-17
26-20
20-26
28-20
27-17
28-23
21-28
16-24
25-9
18-21
14-27
18-22
15-16
11-18
23-18
22-10
26-27
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
162.0Avg total
85.3Scored
76.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)83.276.8160.0+6.482%
Season at home (6)80.774.5155.2+6.283%
Season away (5)86.279.6165.8+6.680%
Last 10 (10)85.376.7162.0+8.690%
Last 5 (5)81.275.0156.2+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (20)81.579.7161.2+1.955%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)93.279.8173.0+13.489%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -3.1-3.1Q4: +3.5+3.5
Urania MilanoPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A28/09
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
39-55
39
55
-16
H08/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A12/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H18/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A24/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A29/10
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H01/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/11
Serie A2
76.3Avg total
37.4Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.775.7-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.540.976.4-5.421%-
Last 30 away (16)38.236.975.1+1.469%-
Last 10 (10)37.438.976.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)35.441.677.0-6.122%-
vs Similar (19)36.836.973.8-0.158%-
vs Weaker (2)45.043.088.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H05/10
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A08/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
A12/10
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A15/10
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H19/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A26/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H29/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
80.5Avg total
41.8Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.840.182.9+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.937.481.3+6.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.984.5-1.253%-
Last 10 (10)41.838.780.5+3.160%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.876.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (20)41.139.580.7+1.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)46.041.787.7+4.367%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.0
57.4%
50.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.37.2
33.8%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws20.114.4
71.6%
74.4%14.4
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.9
59.1%
50.8%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.010.9
36.3%
34.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws15.911.9
74.8%
74.4%11.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Urania Milano
WLWLLLLLLW
Pesaro
WWWWLWWWWW
#14
League position
#3
-7.2
Net rating
+11.4
112.6
Offensive rating
113.2
119.8
Defensive rating
101.8
54.9%
Effective FG%
56.9%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
19.0%
Turnover %
15.9%
30.9%
Off. rebound %
23.6%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
33.8%
3-point %
36.3%
52.1%
Assist %
66.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 113.2Defence119.8 · 101.8Shooting54.9% · 56.9%3-point %33.8% · 36.3%Ball care19.0% · 15.9%Off. rebounds30.9% · 23.6%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 90%
■ Urania Milano   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Urania Milano wins
1
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
19/01/25Pesaro v Urania Milano97-70
26/10/24Urania Milano v Pesaro77-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HPistoia92-77
09/11/25AForli70-80
01/11/25HVerona79-73
29/10/25ALibertas Livorno60-98
24/10/25ABasket Torino67-70
18/10/25HBrindisi79-80 OT
12/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo69-77
08/10/25HFortitudo Bologna103-108 OT
04/10/25AScafati87-100
28/09/25AAvellino Basket75-74
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75
29/10/25HPistoia82-73
26/10/25ARimini65-86
19/10/25HMestre90-84
15/10/25ABlu Basket Bergamo101-83
12/10/25AFortitudo Bologna81-74
08/10/25ARoseto89-80
05/10/25HRuvo Di Puglia86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Urania Milano
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW27%
HomeLLLWW40%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game77.685.271.3
Allowed / game83.584.083.2
Point differential-5.9+1.2-11.8
Avg total161.2169.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %18%40%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayWWWLW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%83%80%
Points / game83.280.786.2
Allowed / game76.874.579.6
Point differential+6.4+6.2+6.6
Avg total160.0155.2165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%33%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro119282%83.276.8+6.4
2 Fortitudo Bologna118373%79.671.5+8.1
3 Libertas Livorno117464%80.072.7+7.3
4 Brindisi117464%78.271.8+6.4
5 Sebastiani Rieti117464%81.276.5+4.7
6 Verona117464%76.072.9+3.1
7 Rimini116555%82.178.8+3.3
8 Avellino Basket116555%79.277.0+2.2
9 Cento116555%78.977.5+1.4
10 Cividale116555%77.176.8+0.3
11 Blu Basket Bergamo115645%83.182.3+0.8
12 Scafati115645%79.079.0+0.0
13 Forli115645%73.978.8-4.9
14 JuVi Cremona115645%72.480.4-8.0
15 Mestre114736%79.582.8-3.3
16 Pistoia114736%80.183.5-3.4
17 Basket Torino114736%70.276.0-5.8
18 Ruvo Di Puglia114736%77.084.0-7.0
19 Urania Milano113827%77.683.5-5.9
20 Roseto112918%83.288.7-5.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Urania Milano1316202372
Pesaro1924252593
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