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Pesaro vs Urania Milano Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 73-68
31-22 14-23 14-17 14-6
Position#3
Record13-6
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.3
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record7-12
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game83.6
ItalySerie A2Round 20· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Urania Milano
07 Feb 2027
PES v URAN
upcoming
04 Jan 2026
PES73
URAN68
19 Jan 2025
PES97
URAN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urania Milano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 79
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 79
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 79
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 79
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 79
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 79
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 79
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 79
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
82avg 79
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
75avg 79
A28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
24-24
23-20
24-17
20-27
17-29
26-22
19-22
19-17
16-16
15-15
15-16
18-21
15-15
18-21
23-18
24-12
18-13
25-19
25-19
23-22
20-19
16-20
20-13
23-36
157.6Avg total
81.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)82.277.3159.5+4.968%
Season at home (10)80.475.5155.9+4.970%
Season away (9)84.279.3163.6+4.967%
Last 10 (10)81.176.5157.6+4.660%
Last 5 (5)79.077.0156.0+2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar (21)79.880.6160.3-0.843%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)88.276.1164.4+12.1100%
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
70-80
70
80
-10
59avg 69
A09/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
92-77
92
77
+15
92avg 69
H12/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
72-93
72
93
-21
60avg 69
H15/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
76-94
76
94
-18
65avg 69
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
83avg 69
H29/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
86-85
86
85
+1
85avg 69
H06/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
65-78
65
78
-13
56avg 69
A10/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
80-75
80
75
+5
67avg 69
A14/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
69-81
69
81
-12
58avg 69
H21/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
97-85
97
85
+12
93avg 69
H28/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
8-11
23-21
19-22
21-19
22-21
27-19
22-18
13-19
16-24
20-25
23-25
16-27
21-18
24-26
15-23
14-20
21-26
32-15
17-17
22-23
22-14
18-24
24-24
12-21
17-16
16-19
20-22
18-22
19-19
25-19
18-15
14-27
16-17
25-18
14-19
20-19
27-23
23-22
27-21
161.7Avg total
79.1Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)78.183.6161.6-5.537%
Season at home (10)83.484.2167.6-0.850%
Season away (9)72.182.9155.0-10.822%
Last 10 (10)79.182.6161.7-3.550%
Last 5 (5)79.480.8160.2-1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.588.1164.5-11.618%
vs Similar (18)75.179.7154.8-4.633%
vs Weaker (1)80.075.0155.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -5.3-5.3Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
PesaroUrania Milano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A28/12
Serie A2
75.5Avg total
38.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.480.2+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.778.5+3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)40.941.181.9-0.247%-
Last 10 (10)38.636.975.5+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.237.875.0-0.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar (21)39.839.979.7-0.138%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.538.280.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Urania Milano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Urania MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#17
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A09/11
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H12/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H15/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A22/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/11
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H06/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A10/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A14/12
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H21/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H28/12
Serie A2
77.1Avg total
35.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.040.377.2-3.340%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.342.779.0-6.327%-
Last 30 away (15)37.637.975.5-0.353%-
Last 10 (10)35.941.277.1-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)37.440.277.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)35.542.878.4-7.318%-
vs Similar (18)37.838.776.5-0.856%-
vs Weaker (1)37.041.078.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.618.0
55.2%
50.8%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.410.1
36.9%
34.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws19.114.0
73.3%
74.4%14.0
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urania Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urania Milano: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.3
51.3%
50.8%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.1
32.6%
34.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
74.4%14.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
LWWLLWLWWW
Urania Milano
WLWLWWLLWL
#3
League position
#14
+7.0
Net rating
-4.5
111.8
Offensive rating
106.7
104.8
Defensive rating
111.1
55.2%
Effective FG%
50.5%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
17.4%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
36.9%
3-point %
32.6%
65.8%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 106.7Defence104.8 · 111.1Shooting55.2% · 50.5%3-point %36.9% · 32.6%Ball care14.3% · 17.4%Off. rebounds22.1% · 31.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Pesaro   ■ Urania Milano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pesaro wins
1
Urania Milano wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Urania Milano v Pesaro72-93
19/01/25Pesaro v Urania Milano97-70
26/10/24Urania Milano v Pesaro77-60
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25AVerona79-88
21/12/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
14/12/25HCento80-66
07/12/25ABrindisi64-68
30/11/25HBasket Torino81-90
26/11/25AForli91-88
23/11/25HCividale68-79
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/25HCento97-85
21/12/25HRoseto69-81
14/12/25ARuvo Di Puglia80-75
10/12/25ACividale65-78
06/12/25HMestre86-85
29/11/25HJuVi Cremona84-78
22/11/25ASebastiani Rieti76-94
15/11/25HPesaro72-93
12/11/25HPistoia92-77
09/11/25AForli70-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL68%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayWWWLL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %68%70%67%
Points / game82.280.484.2
Allowed / game77.375.579.3
Point differential+4.9+4.9+4.9
Avg total159.5155.9163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Urania Milano
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW37%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLLLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %37%50%22%
Points / game78.183.472.1
Allowed / game83.684.282.9
Point differential-5.5-0.8-10.8
Avg total161.6167.6155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %11%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1913668%82.876.1+6.7
2 Brindisi1913668%77.572.5+5.0
3 Pesaro1913668%82.277.3+4.9
4 Verona1913668%78.473.9+4.4
5 Cividale2013765%78.275.5+2.8
6 Libertas Livorno1911858%77.973.2+4.7
7 Fortitudo Bologna1911858%75.271.5+3.7
8 Scafati1911858%82.278.6+3.6
9 Avellino Basket1911858%80.577.2+3.4
10 Sebastiani Rieti1911858%79.377.5+1.8
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Blu Basket Bergamo189950%82.181.9+0.1
13 Mestre1991047%77.779.9-2.2
14 Cento1981142%78.580.1-1.6
15 Urania Milano1971237%78.183.6-5.5
16 Pistoia1961332%77.782.3-4.6
17 Forli1961332%76.381.7-5.5
18 JuVi Cremona1961332%73.980.3-6.4
19 Ruvo Di Puglia1951426%74.385.2-10.9
20 Roseto1941521%79.184.8-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro3114141473
Urania Milano222317668
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