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Pesaro vs Verona Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 03 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:45
Final 84-83
24-21 18-22 21-16 21-24
Position#3
Record24-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game78.2
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#2
Record21-12
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A2Round 34· Vitrifrigo Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pesaro v Verona
03 Apr 2026
PES84
VER83
20 Oct 2024
PES63
VER73
21 Jan 2023
PES76
VER73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Verona winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Pesaro
5.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 82.7
85.8▲ 3.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.2
78.4▼ 0.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 59%
62%▲ 3%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.2
18.0▼ 0.2
🔥 Form · Verona
4.0out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 79.1
81.2▲ 2.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 75.4
72.2▼ 3.2
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 56%
60%▲ 4%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.7
16.8▲ 1.1
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
80-79
80
79
+1
H25/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
H30/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-74
80
74
+6
A07/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A29/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
20-26
28-20
10-22
24-21
17-16
25-18
24-27
15-11
27-16
14-21
24-26
17-26
24-16
21-23
21-17
13-20
14-23
29-19
23-22
22-17
24-17
19-23
20-21
18-21
18-14
14-17
26-12
17-26
29-18
32-23
15-8
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
18-18
25-18
22-23
26-30
163.4Avg total
84.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)82.578.2160.7+4.373%
Season at home (17)80.675.3155.9+5.476%
Season away (16)84.581.3165.8+3.269%
Last 10 (10)84.179.3163.4+4.880%
Last 5 (5)85.878.4164.2+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.479.7160.1+0.753%
vs Weaker (13)86.176.7162.8+9.4100%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
74-80 OT
74
80
-6
H25/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A01/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
69-78
69
78
-9
H08/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
95-71
95
71
+24
A11/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
78-82
78
82
-4
A15/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
76-61
76
61
+15
H22/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A08/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
84-69
84
69
+15
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
86-74
86
74
+12
A25/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
H29/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-13
18-16
17-17
19-20
25-23
19-21
10-16
17-12
15-18
24-29
14-16
16-15
19-14
27-21
20-24
29-12
27-25
14-23
21-11
16-23
18-15
13-18
23-10
22-18
22-12
19-16
17-22
18-24
19-16
22-17
21-16
22-20
16-23
31-13
18-20
21-18
18-25
28-16
21-15
17-27
153.7Avg total
79.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)78.173.8152.0+4.364%
Season at home (16)81.675.1156.7+6.681%
Season away (17)74.872.7147.5+2.147%
Last 10 (10)79.374.4153.7+4.960%
Last 5 (5)81.272.2153.4+9.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.872.0148.8+4.867%
vs Weaker (18)78.774.3153.1+4.461%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.8+3.8Q2: +2.5+2.5Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.5+1.5Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
PesaroVerona
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A07/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A29/03
Serie A2
78.2Avg total
40.4Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.738.579.2+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.778.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.380.3+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)40.437.878.2+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.480.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.938.477.3+0.641%-
vs Weaker (13)42.938.881.7+4.269%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H25/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A01/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H08/02
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A11/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
41-48
41
48
-7
A15/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H22/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A08/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A25/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H29/03
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
40.6Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.836.976.6+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.779.0+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.174.6+2.356%-
Last 10 (10)40.637.478.0+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.234.275.4+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (12)37.235.572.7+1.767%-
vs Weaker (18)41.537.879.3+3.761%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.417.6
52.7%
50.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.9
41.8%
34.6%32.7
🏀 Free throws20.816.2
77.9%
74.4%16.2
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.419.2
52.7%
50.8%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.7
36.6%
34.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws15.511.8
76.1%
74.4%11.8
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pesaro
WLWWWLWWWW
Verona
WWWWWLWLLL
#3
League position
#2
+5.8
Net rating
+6.6
102.0
Offensive rating
99.5
96.2
Defensive rating
92.8
57.1%
Effective FG%
53.7%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
14.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.25
41.8%
3-point %
36.6%
66.3%
Assist %
56.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.0 · 99.5Defence96.2 · 92.8Shooting57.1% · 53.7%3-point %41.8% · 36.6%Ball care14.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.35 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Pesaro   ■ Verona
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Pesaro wins
2
Verona wins
DateGameScore
28/12/25Verona v Pesaro88-79
27/04/25Verona v Pesaro81-85
20/10/24Pesaro v Verona63-73
21/01/23Pesaro v Verona76-73
18/12/22Verona v Pesaro90-94
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26APistoia91-89
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86
21/03/26AMestre93-75
08/03/26HJuVi Cremona76-64
22/02/26HRimini85-78
15/02/26AScafati79-84
11/02/26ACividale83-82
07/02/26ACento80-74
30/01/26HBrindisi90-82
25/01/26HRoseto80-79
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/26HCento84-83
25/03/26ARimini86-74
22/03/26HLibertas Livorno84-69
08/03/26ABasket Torino76-74
22/02/26HScafati76-61
15/02/26ASebastiani Rieti78-82
11/02/26ARuvo Di Puglia95-71
08/02/26HJuVi Cremona69-78
01/02/26AAvellino Basket71-72
25/01/26HCividale74-80 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW73%
HomeWWWWL76%
AwayWWLWW69%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %73%76%69%
Points / game82.580.684.5
Allowed / game78.275.381.3
Point differential+4.3+5.4+3.2
Avg total160.7155.9165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%35%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)75% (4)67% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeLLWWW81%
AwayLWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %64%81%47%
Points / game78.181.674.8
Allowed / game73.875.172.7
Point differential+4.3+6.6+2.1
Avg total152.0156.7147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)100% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3324973%82.578.2+4.3
2 Scafati33221167%83.277.6+5.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna33221167%77.173.2+3.9
4 Brindisi32211166%78.373.4+4.9
5 Verona33211264%78.173.8+4.3
6 Sebastiani Rieti33201361%79.176.9+2.2
7 Cividale33201361%77.975.9+1.9
8 Avellino Basket32191359%81.679.0+2.6
9 Libertas Livorno33191458%78.973.2+5.7
10 Rimini32181456%81.478.4+3.0
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona32151747%74.677.3-2.8
13 Basket Torino33151845%72.874.0-1.2
14 Mestre32141844%78.180.5-2.4
15 Urania Milano33141942%79.781.9-2.2
16 Forli32112134%76.681.2-4.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia32102231%77.386.8-9.5
18 Cento33102330%77.881.3-3.4
19 Pistoia3382524%77.282.8-5.6
20 Roseto3262619%78.085.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pesaro2418212184
Verona2122162483
← all games of the day
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