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Verona vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 88-79
19-20 20-16 13-20 36-23
Position#2
Record12-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game73.7
Verona 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#3
Record13-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.4
Allowed / game76.7
ItalySerie A2Round 19· PalaOlimpia
Other2025-26
Meetings · Verona v Pesaro
28 Dec 2025
VER88
PES79
27 Apr 2025
VER81
PES85
18 Dec 2022
VER90
PES94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Verona winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VeronaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVerona
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
73-79
73
79
-6
60avg 71
A01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
61-86
61
86
-25
49avg 71
H09/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
75-53
75
53
+22
68avg 71
A12/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
85-74
85
74
+11
84avg 71
A16/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
78-66
78
66
+12
70avg 71
H21/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
97-78
97
78
+19
94avg 71
H26/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 71
A30/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
89-87
89
87
+2
81avg 71
H07/12
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
72-74
72
74
-2
61avg 71
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
76-69
76
69
+7
67avg 71
A21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-14
22-23
16-23
26-19
15-19
19-30
16-23
11-14
24-16
20-12
17-21
14-4
21-17
22-22
24-17
18-18
19-16
26-19
20-22
13-9
19-14
32-25
34-20
12-19
16-11
22-25
10-29
20-11
29-15
18-24
17-23
25-25
20-21
26-15
16-16
10-22
20-16
21-16
21-13
14-24
151.6Avg total
77.4Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.873.7151.5+4.267%
Season at home (9)83.776.8160.4+6.989%
Season away (9)72.070.6142.6+1.444%
Last 10 (10)77.474.2151.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)80.476.8157.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.874.3150.1+1.547%
vs Weaker (15)81.575.3156.8+6.173%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
95-75
95
75
+20
96avg 79
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
60avg 79
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
93-72
93
72
+21
95avg 79
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
93-72
93
72
+21
100avg 79
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
68-79
68
79
-11
59avg 79
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
91-88
91
88
+3
91avg 79
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
81-90
81
90
-9
75avg 79
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
64-68
64
68
-4
52avg 79
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-66
80
66
+14
79avg 79
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
91-73
91
73
+18
82avg 79
H21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
23-19
24-16
26-15
20-15
13-16
20-20
18-18
20-15
26-20
23-19
24-18
19-13
24-16
25-20
25-23
19-23
12-18
20-19
17-19
24-24
23-20
24-17
20-27
17-29
26-22
19-22
19-17
16-16
15-15
15-16
18-21
15-15
18-21
23-18
24-12
18-13
25-19
25-19
23-22
157.9Avg total
82.7Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.476.7159.1+5.772%
Season at home (10)80.475.5155.9+4.970%
Season away (8)84.978.2163.1+6.675%
Last 10 (10)82.775.2157.9+7.570%
Last 5 (5)81.477.0158.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)82.084.0166.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.880.2160.0-0.445%
vs Weaker (9)89.379.1168.4+10.289%
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +2.2+2.2
VeronaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VeronaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
L
31-37
31
37
-6
A01/11
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H09/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
A12/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A16/11
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H21/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H26/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A30/11
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H07/12
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-36
46
36
+10
A13/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A21/12
Serie A2
79.0Avg total
42.0Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.876.8+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.437.579.9+4.975%-
Last 30 away (14)37.236.173.3+1.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.037.079.0+5.080%-
Last 5 (5)44.636.481.0+8.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)36.535.772.3+0.853%-
vs Weaker (15)43.437.981.3+5.580%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A02/11
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H09/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H12/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H23/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H30/11
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A07/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H14/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H21/12
Serie A2
76.9Avg total
39.5Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.680.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.737.778.5+3.047%-
Last 30 away (15)41.741.583.2+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.476.9+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.878.2+0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.038.086.0+10.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)40.040.080.0+0.040%-
vs Weaker (9)43.139.182.2+4.067%-
This opponent (Verona) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Veronatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Verona: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.416.6
51.2%
50.8%33.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
34.6%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.912.4
73.4%
74.4%12.4
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.9
56.1%
50.8%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.0
35.8%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws19.114.1
73.8%
74.4%14.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Verona
WLWLWWWWLL
Pesaro
WWLLWLWWWW
#2
League position
#3
+4.0
Net rating
+10.9
112.2
Offensive rating
112.7
108.2
Defensive rating
101.8
51.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
50.6%
14.3%
Turnover %
13.6%
31.0%
Off. rebound %
22.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.7%
3-point %
35.8%
59.5%
Assist %
65.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.2 · 112.7Defence108.2 · 101.8Shooting51.6% · 55.0%3-point %34.7% · 35.8%Ball care14.3% · 13.6%Off. rebounds31.0% · 22.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Verona   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Verona wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25Verona v Pesaro81-85
20/10/24Pesaro v Verona63-73
21/01/23Pesaro v Verona76-73
18/12/22Verona v Pesaro90-94
Veronalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ACento76-69
13/12/25AMestre72-74
07/12/25HRoseto89-87
30/11/25ALibertas Livorno68-76
26/11/25HRuvo Di Puglia97-78
21/11/25HBlu Basket Bergamo78-66
16/11/25AForli85-74
12/11/25AJuVi Cremona75-53
09/11/25HSebastiani Rieti61-86
01/11/25AUrania Milano73-79
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HSebastiani Rieti91-73
14/12/25HCento80-66
07/12/25ABrindisi64-68
30/11/25HBasket Torino81-90
26/11/25AForli91-88
23/11/25HCividale68-79
15/11/25AUrania Milano93-72
12/11/25HAvellino Basket93-72
09/11/25HScafati71-69
02/11/25AJuVi Cremona95-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Verona
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%89%44%
Points / game77.883.772.0
Allowed / game73.776.870.6
Point differential+4.2+6.9+1.4
Avg total151.5160.4142.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%56%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW72%
HomeWLLWW70%
AwayLWWWL75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %72%70%75%
Points / game82.480.484.9
Allowed / game76.775.578.2
Point differential+5.7+4.9+6.6
Avg total159.1155.9163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%40%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro1813572%82.476.7+5.7
2 Rimini1812667%82.176.4+5.7
3 Brindisi1812667%78.172.8+5.2
4 Verona1812667%77.873.7+4.2
5 Libertas Livorno1811761%77.672.3+5.3
6 Fortitudo Bologna1811761%75.971.7+4.3
7 Avellino Basket1811761%81.077.0+4.0
8 Cividale1811761%77.675.6+2.0
9 Scafati1810856%82.378.9+3.3
10 Sebastiani Rieti1810856%79.978.3+1.6
11 Basket Torino1910953%74.673.4+1.2
12 Mestre189950%78.580.1-1.6
13 Blu Basket Bergamo178947%81.482.1-0.7
14 Cento1881044%78.179.2-1.1
15 Pistoia1861233%78.281.6-3.4
16 Forli1861233%76.181.1-5.0
17 JuVi Cremona1861233%73.279.7-6.5
18 Urania Milano1861233%77.083.5-6.5
19 Roseto1841422%79.885.8-5.9
20 Ruvo Di Puglia1841422%73.585.3-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Verona1920133688
Pesaro2016202379
← all games of the day
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