Petrol Olimpija vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Jan 2015

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 81-91

22-19 25-27 22-21 12-24

Position#5

Record8-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game69.3

Petrol Olimpija

Crvena zvezda 🏆

Position#1

Record15-0

FormWWWWL

Points / game83.7

Allowed / game68.9

ABA LeagueRound 16

Domestic2014

Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Crvena zvezda winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

77-105

105

-28

A26/11

Eurocup

MZT Skopje

#13

69-56

+13

H29/11

ABA League

Szolnoki Olaj

#35

89-67

+22

H03/12

Eurocup

Szolnoki Olaj

79-61

+18

H06/12

ABA League

Zenit Petersburg

#21

74-75

-1

A10/12

Eurocup

Lukoil Levski

#14

89-70

+19

H13/12

ABA League

VEF Riga

#44

90-61

+29

H17/12

Eurocup

KK Krka Novo mesto

54-71

-17

A20/12

ABA League

Cibona

#11

74-77

-3

H23/12

ABA League

Cedevita

60-66

-6

A27/12

ABA League

14-36

32-27

15-20

16-22

18-14

13-16

19-11

19-15

25-23

26-8

16-19

22-17

13-11

16-21

26-15

24-14

19-26

18-19

16-14

21-16

30-17

25-25

8-14

26-14

22-14

19-15

28-17

21-15

16-13

16-19

6-12

16-27

28-19

22-16

13-23

11-19

18-12

11-20

15-18

16-16

146.4Avg total

75.5Scored

70.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	71.6	69.3	140.9	+2.3	53%
Season at home (8)	77.0	66.1	143.1	+10.9	75%
Season away (7)	65.4	73.0	138.4	-7.6	29%
Last 10 (10)	75.5	70.9	146.4	+4.6	50%
Last 5 (5)	73.4	69.0	142.4	+4.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	75.7	88.7	164.3	-13.0	0%
vs Similar (14)	67.9	71.7	139.6	-3.9	43%
vs Weaker (12)	79.3	68.8	148.2	+10.5	83%

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

76-67

H30/11

ABA League

Valencia

#21

77-68

A05/12

Euroleague

KK Metalac

82-74

A08/12

ABA League

Olympiacos

59-64

-5

A12/12

Euroleague

Igokea

#12

76-71

H15/12

ABA League

Baskonia

#13

90-82

H19/12

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#13

79-76

A22/12

ABA League

Lukoil Levski

#14

99-58

+41

A24/12

ABA League

Cibona

#11

80-64

+16

H27/12

ABA League

Real Madrid

72-79

-7

H02/01

Euroleague

19-14

19-8

19-14

19-31

20-16

22-21

20-15

15-16

22-20

18-22

20-20

22-12

16-13

12-14

20-15

11-22

20-19

23-14

21-24

12-14

18-18

28-27

24-18

20-19

25-17

30-18

6-21

18-20

22-7

26-10

23-22

28-19

22-18

21-18

14-16

23-12

12-15

19-19

14-24

27-21

149.3Avg total

79.0Scored

70.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (15)	83.7	68.9	152.5	+14.8	100%
Season at home (8)	81.4	68.2	149.6	+13.1	100%
Season away (7)	86.3	69.6	155.9	+16.7	100%
Last 10 (10)	79.0	70.3	149.3	+8.7	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.0	71.8	155.8	+12.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	72.0	79.0	151.0	-7.0	0%
vs Similar (10)	75.8	74.7	150.5	+1.1	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	83.9	71.4	155.3	+12.5	89%

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Petrol OlimpijaCrvena zvezda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	18.1	38.0	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	17.6	39.0	+3.8	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.3	18.7	36.9	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	18.5	38.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	15.0	37.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	18.0	23.3	41.3	-5.3	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.8	18.9	36.6	-1.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	23.1	16.1	39.2	+7.0	75%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	17.3	36.6	+2.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.2	17.5	35.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	17.0	37.7	+3.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	15.7	35.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	15.0	34.8	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	12.0	15.0	27.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.6	17.4	36.0	+1.2	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.2	17.3	37.5	+2.8	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.2	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.3	37.1	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.0	37.6	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	20.3	24.7	45.0	-4.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.0	17.9	34.9	-0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.8	18.3	38.2	+1.5	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	17.7	37.8	+2.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	18.6	39.7	+2.6	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	18.4	43.2	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	19.0	19.0	38.0	+0.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.9	17.9	39.8	+4.0	68%	-

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Khimki M.

46-63

-17

A26/11

Eurocup

MZT Skopje

#13

31-30

H29/11

ABA League

Szolnoki Olaj

#35

51-31

+20

H03/12

Eurocup

Szolnoki Olaj

29-32

-3

H06/12

ABA League

Zenit Petersburg

#21

37-45

-8

A10/12

Eurocup

Lukoil Levski

#14

55-42

+13

H13/12

ABA League

VEF Riga

#44

41-29

+12

H17/12

Eurocup

KK Krka Novo mesto

32-32

A20/12

ABA League

Cibona

#11

50-35

+15

H23/12

ABA League

Cedevita

29-32

-3

A27/12

ABA League

77.2Avg total

40.1Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	36.9	75.2	+1.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	35.9	76.1	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.5	37.9	74.3	-1.4	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.1	37.1	77.2	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	34.0	75.4	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	38.3	48.0	86.3	-9.7	0%	-
vs Similar (14)	34.8	36.7	71.5	-1.9	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	42.9	34.4	77.3	+8.5	75%	-

This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

38-22

+16

H30/11

ABA League

Valencia

#21

42-37

A05/12

Euroleague

KK Metalac

40-42

-2

A08/12

ABA League

Olympiacos

28-27

A12/12

Euroleague

Igokea

#12

43-33

+10

H15/12

ABA League

Baskonia

#13

46-45

H19/12

Euroleague

MZT Skopje

#13

55-35

+20

A22/12

ABA League

Lukoil Levski

#14

48-17

+31

A24/12

ABA League

Cibona

#11

43-36

H27/12

ABA League

Real Madrid

31-34

-3

H02/01

Euroleague

74.2Avg total

41.4Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	35.4	75.3	+4.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.2	35.2	73.4	+3.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	35.6	77.4	+6.3	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	32.8	74.2	+8.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	33.4	78.0	+11.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	31.0	34.0	65.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	36.8	35.8	72.6	+1.0	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	42.1	35.2	77.3	+6.8	68%	-

This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.8	17.4	34.2	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.6	17.3	35.9	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.0	17.5	32.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.2	16.3	32.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.0	16.8	30.8	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	15.7	22.3	38.0	-6.7	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.9	15.7	32.6	+1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (12)	16.9	18.6	35.5	-1.7	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	17.0	37.8	+3.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.6	16.4	36.0	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.2	17.7	39.9	+4.5	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	20.2	36.4	-4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	14.0	24.0	38.0	-10.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	70%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.6	16.4	38.0	+5.3	63%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	17.9	35.9	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	15.9	34.6	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	19.9	37.2	-2.5	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	21.7	18.3	40.0	+3.3	67%	-
vs Similar (14)	16.1	19.3	35.4	-3.1	29%	-
vs Weaker (12)	19.5	15.8	35.3	+3.7	58%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	18.1	37.5	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	19.2	37.5	-0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	18.6	38.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	18.2	41.4	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	27.0	21.0	48.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Similar (10)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.4	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.1	18.3	37.4	+0.8	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.8	35.2	70.1	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.3	33.1	70.5	+4.2	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.3	37.3	69.7	-5.0	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	35.4	33.8	69.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.0	35.0	67.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)	37.3	40.7	78.0	-3.3	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	33.1	35.0	68.1	-1.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (12)	36.4	34.4	70.8	+2.0	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	35.7	75.3	+4.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.9	34.6	73.5	+4.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	40.5	36.9	77.4	+3.6	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	37.5	75.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	38.4	77.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	45.0	86.0	-4.0	0%	-
vs Similar (10)	37.5	36.6	74.1	+0.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.7	34.7	75.4	+6.1	79%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Petrol Olimpija wins

Crvena zvezda wins

Date	Game	Score
11/10/14	Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija	73-65
19/01/14	Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija	87-62
20/10/13	Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda	61-62
05/01/13	Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda	56-70
07/10/12	Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija	87-76
15/01/12	Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda	74-73
15/10/11	Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija	93-101
13/03/11	Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija	92-70
18/12/10	Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda	80-67
20/01/10	Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija	71-72

Petrol Olimpijalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/12/14	A	Cedevita	60-66
23/12/14	H	Cibona	74-77
20/12/14	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	54-71
17/12/14	H	VEF Riga	90-61
13/12/14	H	Lukoil Levski	89-70
10/12/14	A	Zenit Petersburg	74-75
06/12/14	H	Szolnoki Olaj	79-61
03/12/14	H	Szolnoki Olaj	89-67
29/11/14	H	MZT Skopje	69-56
26/11/14	A	Khimki M.	77-105

Crvena zvezdalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/01/15	H	Real Madrid	72-79
27/12/14	H	Cibona	80-64
24/12/14	A	Lukoil Levski	99-58
22/12/14	A	MZT Skopje	79-76
19/12/14	H	Baskonia	90-82
15/12/14	H	Igokea	76-71
12/12/14	A	Olympiacos	59-64
08/12/14	A	KK Metalac	82-74
05/12/14	A	Valencia	77-68
30/11/14	H	Partizan	76-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija

ABA League 2014

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	53%
Home	WWWWL	75%
Away	LWLLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	53%	75%	29%
Points / game	71.6	77.0	65.4
Allowed / game	69.3	66.1	73.0
Point differential	+2.3	+10.9	-7.6
Avg total	140.9	143.1	138.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	62%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	33% (3)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Crvena zvezda

ABA League 2014

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	15	8	7
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	83.7	81.4	86.3
Allowed / game	68.9	68.2	69.6
Point differential	+14.8	+13.1	+16.7
Avg total	152.5	149.6	155.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	50%	57%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (3)	100% (1)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Crvena zvezda	15	15	0	100%	83.7	68.9	+14.8
2	Buducnost	15	12	3	80%	79.5	70.9	+8.7
3	Cedevita	16	11	5	69%	75.8	69.1	+6.6
4	Partizan	16	9	7	56%	70.6	69.2	+1.4
5	Petrol Olimpija	15	8	7	53%	71.6	69.3	+2.3
6	Cibona	15	8	7	53%	75.5	77.7	-2.2
7	Mega Bemax	15	7	8	47%	81.9	81.9	-0.1
8	Zadar	15	7	8	47%	72.1	74.1	-2.0
9	Szolnoki Olaj	16	7	9	44%	69.0	71.6	-2.6
10	KK Metalac	16	7	9	44%	72.2	75.1	-2.9
11	KK Krka Novo mesto	16	6	10	38%	72.4	72.4	+0.0
12	MZT Skopje	15	5	10	33%	68.3	73.2	-4.9
13	Igokea	16	5	11	31%	68.3	69.1	-0.8
14	Lukoil Levski	15	1	14	7%	66.7	85.2	-18.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Petrol Olimpija	22	25	22	12	81
Crvena zvezda	19	27	21	24	91

← all games of the day

Petrol Olimpija vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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