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Petrol Olimpija vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 73-82
29-18 13-25 16-21 15-18
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game94.5
Petrol Olimpija
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record2-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 3
Domestic2017
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda
10 Nov 2018
POL60
CZV83
08 Oct 2017
POL73
CZV82
28 Nov 2016
POL67
CZV85
11 Jan 2016
POL69
CZV77
04 Jan 2015
POL81
CZV91
20 Oct 2013
POL61
CZV62
05 Jan 2013
POL56
CZV70
15 Jan 2012
POL74
CZV73
18 Dec 2010
POL80
CZV67
24 Oct 2009
POL94
CZV76
10 Jan 2009
POL72
CZV76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
87-76
87
76
+11
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
82-81
82
81
+1
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
A16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
75-73
75
73
+2
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
72-82
72
82
-10
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
94-78
94
78
+16
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H28/09
Supercup
Igokea
#10
W
95-93 OT
95
93
+2
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
85-96
85
96
-11
A05/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
31-19
12-21
21-16
20-24
21-22
21-9
12-19
25-14
21-18
17-23
19-26
22-19
17-16
16-20
21-21
15-14
21-19
19-17
20-23
19-26
21-20
10-20
22-16
18-20
24-21
21-19
31-18
26-23
23-22
20-17
25-14
21-13
18-22
23-18
21-30
30-28
16-24
21-23
18-21
168.1Avg total
85.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)90.094.5184.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)95.093.0188.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)85.096.0181.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)85.882.3168.1+3.580%
Last 5 (5)88.085.0173.0+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.087.0167.0-7.033%
vs Similar (18)81.077.9158.9+3.167%
vs Weaker (8)81.673.8155.4+7.975%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#7
W
80-55
80
55
+25
H28/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#6
W
111-56
111
56
+55
H31/05
Super League
KK Dynamic
#5
W
85-69
85
69
+16
A03/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H06/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
84-75
84
75
+9
A08/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
94-66
94
66
+28
H12/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
91-76
91
76
+15
A14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
87-57
87
57
+30
H16/06
Super League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H04/10
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-4
22-14
18-16
21-21
34-10
24-12
27-23
26-11
23-19
21-18
21-16
20-16
21-21
25-12
16-17
23-20
28-26
19-13
20-27
17-9
23-11
15-13
34-15
22-27
30-18
22-22
19-14
20-22
30-9
16-15
29-18
12-15
19-12
28-18
23-20
18-27
26-19
18-17
22-25
24-19
157.6Avg total
89.5Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)89.078.5167.5+10.5100%
Season at home (2)89.078.5167.5+10.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.568.1157.6+21.4100%
Last 5 (5)90.071.2161.2+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)60.070.3130.3-10.30%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)85.067.7152.7+17.393%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-6+0+6+13Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +10.4+10.4Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.6+1.6
Petrol OlimpijaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A06/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#1
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H09/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A16/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H19/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A21/05
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H24/05
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H28/09
Supercup
Igokea
#10
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H02/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A05/10
ABA League
83.6Avg total
43.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.280.4+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.937.680.4+5.393%-
Last 30 away (16)39.840.780.4-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.240.483.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.243.887.0-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)42.745.788.3-3.067%-
vs Similar (18)40.539.279.7+1.361%-
vs Weaker (8)41.236.177.4+5.162%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vrsac
#7
W
41-18
41
18
+23
H28/05
Super League
Borac Mozzart
#6
W
58-22
58
22
+36
H31/05
Super League
KK Dynamic
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H06/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A08/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
38-24
38
24
+14
H12/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
52-40
52
40
+12
A14/06
Super League
FMP Beograd
#3
W
46-24
46
24
+22
H16/06
Super League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H01/10
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H04/10
ABA League
76.6Avg total
46.3Scored
30.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.632.574.1+9.183%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.430.372.6+12.188%-
Last 30 away (13)40.735.476.1+5.377%-
Last 10 (10)46.330.376.6+16.0100%-
Last 5 (5)45.430.876.2+14.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)26.035.061.0-9.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)43.432.275.6+11.193%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.2
50.0%
52.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
34.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws21.114.3
67.8%
74.4%14.3
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.019.4
49.7%
52.4%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.1
31.8%
34.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws18.815.3
81.4%
74.4%15.3
They take 61.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LWWWLWWWWW
Crvena zvezda
WWWWWWWWWW
#7
League position
#1
-9.9
Net rating
+9.6
100.8
Offensive rating
104.7
110.7
Defensive rating
95.1
49.3%
Effective FG%
49.0%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.31
32.1%
3-point %
31.8%
63.2%
Assist %
58.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 104.7Defence110.7 · 95.1Shooting49.3% · 49.0%3-point %32.1% · 31.8%Ball care18.0% · 16.1%Off. rebounds31.4% · 26.0%Free throws0.33 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)80% · 100%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Petrol Olimpija wins
9
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
27/02/17Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija88-67
28/11/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda67-85
11/01/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda69-77
18/10/15Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-77
04/01/15Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda81-91
11/10/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-65
19/01/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-62
20/10/13Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda61-62
05/01/13Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda56-70
07/10/12Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-76
Petrol Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/10/17ACibona85-96
02/10/17HIgokea95-93 OT
28/09/17HKK Krka Novo mesto94-76
24/05/17HRogaska94-78
21/05/17ARogaska72-82
19/05/17HRogaska75-73
16/05/17ARogaska89-87 OT
09/05/17HKK Krka Novo mesto82-81
06/05/17AKK Krka Novo mesto85-81 OT
29/04/17AKK Krka Novo mesto87-76
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/10/17HMega Bemax90-80
01/10/17HMornar Bar88-77
16/06/17HFMP Beograd87-57
14/06/17AFMP Beograd91-76
12/06/17HFMP Beograd94-66
08/06/17AMega Bemax84-75
06/06/17HMega Bemax85-70
03/06/17AKK Dynamic85-69
31/05/17HBorac Mozzart111-56
28/05/17HVrsac80-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game90.095.085.0
Allowed / game94.593.096.0
Point differential-4.5+2.0-11.0
Avg total184.5188.0181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %50%100%0%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2017
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game78.578.5-
Point differential+10.5+10.5-
Avg total167.5167.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cedevita220100%83.071.5+11.5
2 Crvena zvezda220100%89.078.5+10.5
3 Mega Bemax32167%88.782.7+6.0
4 Cibona21150%92.090.0+2.0
5 Igokea21150%95.594.5+1.0
6 Buducnost21150%90.591.5-1.0
7 Petrol Olimpija21150%90.094.5-4.5
8 MZT Skopje21150%82.094.5-12.5
9 FMP Beograd31233%83.777.7+6.0
10 Partizan31233%85.786.3-0.7
11 Mornar Bar31233%76.786.7-10.0
12 Zadar2020%80.589.5-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2913161573
Crvena zvezda1825211882
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