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Petrol Olimpija vs Crvena zvezda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 28 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 67-85
24-28 17-15 15-25 11-17
Position#10
Record3-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game83.9
Petrol Olimpija
vs
Crvena zvezda 🏆
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game66.8
EuropeABA LeagueRound 11
Domestic2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda
10 Nov 2018
POL60
CZV83
08 Oct 2017
POL73
CZV82
28 Nov 2016
POL67
CZV85
11 Jan 2016
POL69
CZV77
04 Jan 2015
POL81
CZV91
20 Oct 2013
POL61
CZV62
05 Jan 2013
POL56
CZV70
15 Jan 2012
POL74
CZV73
18 Dec 2010
POL80
CZV67
24 Oct 2009
POL94
CZV76
10 Jan 2009
POL72
CZV76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Crvena zvezda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A02/11
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#13
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A06/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
W
89-85 OT
89
85
+4
H13/11
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
64-77
64
77
-13
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
16-22
14-15
28-26
33-19
23-31
24-22
16-25
18-24
16-23
23-16
17-18
17-16
14-13
13-13
20-15
22-27
15-22
22-16
20-14
18-23
13-16
17-18
16-20
17-11
19-26
23-15
29-19
11-19
21-26
22-22
20-17
25-22
17-21
20-14
14-15
20-14
14-19
22-19
26-16
156.0Avg total
78.1Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.383.9166.2-1.633%
Season at home (3)80.782.0162.7-1.367%
Season away (6)83.284.8168.0-1.717%
Last 10 (10)78.177.9156.0+0.250%
Last 5 (5)76.874.4151.2+2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)73.080.4153.4-7.418%
vs Similar (11)81.482.7164.1-1.436%
vs Weaker (8)78.572.1150.6+6.488%
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A28/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#8
W
71-59
71
59
+12
A31/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
63-70
63
70
-7
H04/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
83-72
83
72
+11
H07/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A10/11
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
A13/11
ABA League
Bamberg
#13
W
79-78
79
78
+1
A15/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
83-70
83
70
+13
H17/11
Euroleague
Karpos
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H21/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
A24/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-23
11-23
16-15
18-9
10-17
21-15
22-11
18-16
15-22
13-15
20-22
15-11
20-23
28-16
22-14
13-19
17-17
15-10
11-14
19-24
23-18
30-15
20-19
18-18
11-14
27-15
20-32
21-17
14-19
23-13
17-14
29-24
16-18
22-20
24-16
29-16
21-21
19-26
24-27
15-26
148.5Avg total
76.1Scored
72.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)84.966.8151.7+18.1100%
Season at home (6)86.269.5155.7+16.7100%
Season away (4)83.062.8145.8+20.2100%
Last 10 (10)76.172.4148.5+3.760%
Last 5 (5)84.677.6162.2+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)71.076.0147.0-5.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)82.567.7150.2+14.892%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: -3.1-3.1Q2Q2: -5.1-5.1Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
Petrol OlimpijaCrvena zvezda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/11
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#13
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A06/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
FMP Beograd
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H13/11
ABA League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#9
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A16/11
Eurocup
Tajfun Sentjur
#7
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/11
Liga Nova KBM
Buducnost
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
78.3Avg total
36.5Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.477.6-3.233%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.840.578.3-2.733%-
Last 30 away (15)36.740.377.0-3.733%-
Last 10 (10)36.541.878.3-5.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.039.474.4-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)34.639.674.3-5.018%-
vs Similar (11)39.341.781.0-2.545%-
vs Weaker (8)38.039.677.6-1.638%-
This opponent (Crvena zvezda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Crvena zvezdaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A28/10
Euroleague
Mornar Bar
#8
L
31-32
31
32
-1
A31/10
ABA League
Baskonia
#8
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H04/11
Euroleague
Partizan
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H07/11
ABA League
Unics Kazan
#15
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/11
Euroleague
Cibona
#7
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A13/11
ABA League
Bamberg
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A15/11
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#16
W
37-32
37
32
+5
H17/11
Euroleague
Karpos
#11
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H21/11
ABA League
Anadolu Efes
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A24/11
Euroleague
73.0Avg total
37.0Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.434.775.1+5.770%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.631.872.4+8.880%-
Last 30 away (15)40.237.677.8+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
Last 5 (5)41.235.877.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)35.836.772.5-0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)41.534.275.8+7.375%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.3 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.515.7
51.4%
51.9%31.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.09.7
37.2%
34.3%29.0
🏀 Free throws24.018.3
76.4%
73.3%18.3
They take 56.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Crvena zvezdatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Crvena zvezda: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.917.8
45.8%
51.9%35.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.98.2
37.4%
34.3%24.6
🏀 Free throws20.415.5
76.0%
73.3%15.5
They take 60.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WWLWLWWLLL
Crvena zvezda
LWWWWLWLWL
#10
League position
#1
-5.5
Net rating
+5.0
103.3
Offensive rating
102.8
108.8
Defensive rating
97.7
53.4%
Effective FG%
49.5%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
21.4%
Turnover %
15.7%
26.0%
Off. rebound %
23.7%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.34
37.2%
3-point %
37.4%
63.8%
Assist %
64.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.3 · 102.8Defence108.8 · 97.7Shooting53.4% · 49.5%3-point %37.2% · 37.4%Ball care21.4% · 15.7%Off. rebounds26.0% · 23.7%Free throws0.42 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Crvena zvezda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Petrol Olimpija wins
7
Crvena zvezda wins
DateGameScore
11/01/16Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda69-77
18/10/15Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-77
04/01/15Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda81-91
11/10/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija73-65
19/01/14Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-62
20/10/13Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda61-62
05/01/13Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda56-70
07/10/12Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija87-76
15/01/12Petrol Olimpija v Crvena zvezda74-73
15/10/11Crvena zvezda v Petrol Olimpija93-101
Petrol Olimpijalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/16HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek82-68
23/11/16HUlm76-72
20/11/16ABuducnost74-84
18/11/16HTajfun Sentjur88-71
16/11/16ALokomotiv Kuban64-77
13/11/16HFMP Beograd89-85 OT
11/11/16ASencur64-57
07/11/16HZlatorog Lasko74-81
06/11/16AMZT Skopje96-97
02/11/16AValencia74-87
Crvena zvezdalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/16AAnadolu Efes79-100
21/11/16HKarpos91-70
17/11/16HOlimpia Milano83-70
15/11/16ABamberg79-78
13/11/16ACibona91-70
10/11/16AUnics Kazan62-65
07/11/16HPartizan83-72
04/11/16HBaskonia63-70
31/10/16AMornar Bar71-59
28/10/16APanathinaikos59-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL33%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLWLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games936
Win %33%67%17%
Points / game82.380.783.2
Allowed / game83.982.084.8
Point differential-1.6-1.3-1.7
Avg total166.2162.7168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %33%33%33%
Crvena zvezda
ABA League 2016
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.986.283.0
Allowed / game66.869.562.8
Point differential+18.1+16.7+20.2
Avg total151.7155.7145.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+90%83%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda10100100%84.966.8+18.1
2 Buducnost1110191%84.574.7+9.8
3 Partizan118373%77.773.6+4.1
4 Cedevita117464%87.677.6+10.0
5 Cibona117464%83.781.8+1.9
6 Igokea116555%77.076.1+0.9
7 KK Krka Novo mesto105550%76.180.9-4.8
8 Mega Bemax114736%83.385.8-2.5
9 Zadar114736%79.189.7-10.6
10 Petrol Olimpija93633%82.383.9-1.6
11 Mornar Bar113827%78.280.5-2.4
12 FMP Beograd113827%72.677.7-5.1
13 MZT Skopje113827%75.784.0-8.3
14 Karpos112918%73.682.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2417151167
Crvena zvezda2815251785
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