PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Petrol Olimpija vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 13 Nov 2016
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-85 (OT)
22-27 15-22 22-16 20-14 10-6
Position#10
Record2-5
FormWLLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game83.7
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeABA LeagueRound 9
Domestic2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v FMP Beograd
24 Nov 2018
POL88
FBE86
03 Dec 2017
POL73
FBE64
13 Nov 2016
POL89
FBE85
30 Jan 2010
POL95
FBE54
07 Oct 2008
POL88
FBE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#17
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A19/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
L
72-89
72
89
-17
H22/10
ABA League
Portoroz
#12
W
96-80
96
80
+16
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
74-89
74
89
-15
H26/10
Eurocup
Helios Domzale
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
A29/10
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
W
87-83 OT
87
83
+4
A31/10
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
74-87
74
87
-13
A02/11
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#13
L
96-97
96
97
-1
A06/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
74-81
74
81
-7
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#9
W
64-57
64
57
+7
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
18-20
15-18
26-24
20-25
21-23
14-20
17-21
31-21
25-21
19-15
21-23
16-23
23-18
15-21
20-27
17-20
17-23
23-19
27-14
19-13
19-17
17-20
18-23
16-24
16-22
14-15
28-26
33-19
23-31
24-22
16-25
18-24
16-23
23-16
17-18
17-16
14-13
13-13
20-15
162.9Avg total
80.3Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)82.683.7166.3-1.129%
Season at home (2)76.580.5157.0-4.050%
Season away (5)85.085.0170.0+0.020%
Last 10 (10)80.382.6162.9-2.340%
Last 5 (5)79.081.0160.0-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.783.0161.7-4.320%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.279.9161.2+1.333%
vs Weaker (8)79.474.1153.5+5.288%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#3
L
79-90
79
90
-11
H10/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A12/06
Super League
Zadar
#12
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A30/09
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
70-61
70
61
+9
A06/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H10/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
56-65
56
65
-9
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
67-62
67
62
+5
H07/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-26
26-18
27-21
15-25
19-24
19-21
15-19
20-17
21-13
14-18
25-26
16-21
24-19
24-24
27-20
23-21
17-22
19-12
10-6
24-21
16-16
21-24
25-24
14-17
22-16
15-28
16-21
13-17
15-15
17-16
6-22
18-12
12-29
16-25
14-21
26-12
18-16
18-15
17-15
14-16
150.0Avg total
72.9Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)72.175.0147.1-2.938%
Season at home (4)74.273.0147.2+1.250%
Season away (4)70.077.0147.0-7.025%
Last 10 (10)72.977.1150.0-4.230%
Last 5 (5)66.675.4142.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.381.9157.2-6.627%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.079.2154.2-4.240%
vs Weaker (13)87.163.9151.0+23.292%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +0.4+0.4
Petrol OlimpijaFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ulm
#17
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A19/10
Eurocup
Cibona
#7
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H22/10
ABA League
Portoroz
#12
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H24/10
Liga Nova KBM
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H26/10
Eurocup
Helios Domzale
#8
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A29/10
Liga Nova KBM
Karpos
#11
W
38-30
38
30
+8
A31/10
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A02/11
Eurocup
MZT Skopje
#13
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A06/11
ABA League
Zlatorog Lasko
#3
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H07/11
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A11/11
Liga Nova KBM
82.3Avg total
40.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.040.279.2-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.940.080.9+0.950%-
Last 30 away (16)37.440.377.7-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.242.182.3-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)38.240.478.6-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.839.777.5-1.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.239.579.7+0.758%-
vs Weaker (8)38.841.880.5-3.025%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mega Bemax
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/06
Super League
Mega Bemax
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A12/06
Super League
Zadar
#12
W
35-31
35
31
+4
A30/09
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#6
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A06/10
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H10/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A14/10
ABA League
Partizan
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H23/10
ABA League
Cibona
#7
L
28-54
28
54
-26
A29/10
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
ABA League
76.1Avg total
36.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.938.679.5+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.436.881.2+7.577%-
Last 30 away (17)38.339.978.2-1.641%-
Last 10 (10)36.439.776.1-3.350%-
Last 5 (5)34.040.074.0-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.542.280.7-3.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.242.479.6-5.240%-
vs Weaker (13)44.533.277.7+11.285%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.0
51.6%
51.9%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.4
38.5%
34.3%28.2
🏀 Free throws25.619.8
77.3%
73.3%19.8
They take 55.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.5 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.2
47.9%
51.9%36.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.26.0
24.7%
34.3%18.0
🏀 Free throws23.516.6
70.7%
73.3%16.6
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/8 games with a box score before 13 Nov 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WLLLWWLWLL
FMP Beograd
WLLLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#9
-3.4
Net rating
-4.7
104.1
Offensive rating
95.2
107.5
Defensive rating
99.9
54.3%
Effective FG%
43.7%
48.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
22.2%
Turnover %
17.4%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.46
Free-throw rate
0.38
38.5%
3-point %
24.7%
66.9%
Assist %
73.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 95.2Defence107.5 · 99.9Shooting54.3% · 43.7%3-point %38.5% · 24.7%Ball care22.2% · 17.4%Off. rebounds25.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.46 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Petrol Olimpija wins
1
FMP Beograd wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/16ASencur64-57
07/11/16HZlatorog Lasko74-81
06/11/16AMZT Skopje96-97
02/11/16AValencia74-87
31/10/16AKarpos87-83 OT
29/10/16AHelios Domzale84-76
26/10/16HHapoel M. Jerusalem74-89
24/10/16HPortoroz96-80
22/10/16HCibona72-89
19/10/16AUlm82-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/11/16HKarpos67-62
29/10/16ACibona68-87
23/10/16HPartizan56-65
14/10/16AMornar Bar66-82
10/10/16HIgokea76-81
06/10/16AKK Krka Novo mesto70-61
04/10/16HMega Bemax98-84
30/09/16AZadar76-78
12/06/16AMega Bemax73-81
10/06/16HMega Bemax79-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL29%
HomeWL50%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %29%50%20%
Points / game82.676.585.0
Allowed / game83.780.585.0
Point differential-1.1-4.0+0.0
Avg total166.3157.0170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)-20% (5)
Overtime %29%0%40%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2016
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW38%
HomeWLLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game72.174.270.0
Allowed / game75.073.077.0
Point differential-2.9+1.2-7.0
Avg total147.1147.2147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda880100%83.466.0+17.4
2 Buducnost98189%85.475.4+10.0
3 Cibona86275%86.179.5+6.6
4 Cedevita96367%87.076.1+10.9
5 Partizan96367%77.073.6+3.4
6 KK Krka Novo mesto85362%77.079.4-2.4
7 Igokea94544%75.677.0-1.4
8 FMP Beograd83538%72.175.0-2.9
9 Zadar83538%77.290.6-13.4
10 Mega Bemax93633%82.785.7-3.0
11 Petrol Olimpija72529%82.683.7-1.1
12 Mornar Bar82625%72.976.2-3.4
13 MZT Skopje92722%74.786.3-11.7
14 Karpos91811%72.381.4-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Petrol Olimpija221522201089
FMP Beograd27221614685
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.