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Petrol Olimpija vs FMP Beograd Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Dec 2017
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-64
19-18 17-15 15-16 22-15
Position#7
Record4-5
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Position#8
Record5-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10
Domestic2017
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v FMP Beograd
24 Nov 2018
POL88
FBE86
03 Dec 2017
POL73
FBE64
13 Nov 2016
POL89
FBE85
30 Jan 2010
POL95
FBE54
07 Oct 2008
POL88
FBE81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#14
W
81-75
81
75
+6
A31/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#2
W
88-77
88
77
+11
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
60-84
60
84
-24
A04/11
ABA League
Venezia
#13
L
66-76
66
76
-10
H07/11
Champions League
Sencur
#8
L
74-76
74
76
-2
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#12
W
94-85
94
85
+9
H12/11
ABA League
AEK Athens
#11
L
73-91
73
91
-18
A15/11
Champions League
Partizan
#5
W
78-77
78
77
+1
A18/11
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#13
W
100-63
100
63
+37
H20/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
17-18
21-24
21-18
20-17
21-26
23-16
24-18
15-23
13-13
14-19
18-29
22-13
14-18
12-21
18-24
20-15
20-21
15-20
19-20
23-19
20-23
30-24
21-19
20-27
19-23
20-22
14-19
9-20
26-25
26-13
17-19
29-21
25-16
23-15
23-11
27-17
18-23
14-14
11-19
156.1Avg total
78.4Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.383.2162.6-3.944%
Season at home (5)81.083.0164.0-2.040%
Season away (4)77.283.5160.8-6.250%
Last 10 (10)78.477.7156.1+0.750%
Last 5 (5)83.077.8160.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.983.3157.2-9.420%
vs Similar ◀ (13)83.280.2163.5+3.077%
vs Weaker (6)86.076.5162.5+9.550%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#1
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A20/09
ABA Supercup
Cedevita
#3
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A29/09
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H03/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
A07/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
A14/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
91-76
91
76
+15
H23/10
ABA League
Igokea
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
A29/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H04/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-84
77
84
-7
A12/11
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H17/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
11-21
15-16
20-29
24-17
13-22
12-22
18-13
25-26
26-18
19-17
30-11
20-28
23-17
17-22
24-20
16-17
16-17
25-20
24-19
18-12
23-31
17-20
33-13
16-23
17-17
14-18
18-17
26-19
29-21
18-25
26-14
18-19
17-17
20-26
22-22
19-22
33-27
23-18
21-21
162.2Avg total
82.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)84.478.7163.1+5.856%
Season at home (4)96.578.8175.2+17.8100%
Season away (5)74.878.6153.4-3.820%
Last 10 (10)82.879.4162.2+3.450%
Last 5 (5)85.680.4166.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.087.8158.8-16.80%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.779.8160.5+0.955%
vs Weaker (10)88.165.8153.9+22.3100%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +5.7+5.7
Petrol OlimpijaFMP Beograd
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estudiantes
#14
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A31/10
Champions League
KK Primorska
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H02/11
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A04/11
ABA League
Venezia
#13
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H07/11
Champions League
Sencur
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/11
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#12
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H12/11
ABA League
AEK Athens
#11
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/11
Champions League
Partizan
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A18/11
ABA League
Tajfun Sentjur
#13
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H20/11
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H01/12
Liga Nova KBM
79.3Avg total
40.0Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.640.981.5-0.350%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.339.981.3+1.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.941.981.7-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)40.039.379.3+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.542.579.0-6.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)41.140.581.6+0.554%-
vs Weaker (6)45.038.383.3+6.783%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#1
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A20/09
ABA Supercup
Cedevita
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A29/09
ABA League
MZT Skopje
#12
W
51-44
51
44
+7
H03/10
ABA League
Partizan
#5
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A07/10
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
L
32-34
32
34
-2
A14/10
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H23/10
ABA League
Igokea
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A29/10
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H04/11
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A12/11
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H17/11
ABA League
82.3Avg total
41.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.039.479.4+0.643%-
Last 30 at home (13)44.239.683.8+4.569%-
Last 30 away (17)36.939.276.1-2.424%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.182.3+0.130%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.684.8+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.243.577.8-9.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.041.181.1-1.136%-
vs Weaker (10)45.434.179.5+11.390%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.319.2
51.5%
52.4%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.9
35.4%
34.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws16.413.1
79.9%
74.4%13.1
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.4
51.7%
52.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.4
36.7%
34.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws23.316.4
70.4%
74.4%16.4
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
LWWLWLLLWW
FMP Beograd
WLWLWWLWLL
#7
League position
#8
-8.7
Net rating
+5.1
100.5
Offensive rating
107.6
109.2
Defensive rating
102.5
52.1%
Effective FG%
52.9%
50.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
20.4%
Turnover %
18.8%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
33.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
35.4%
3-point %
36.7%
63.8%
Assist %
62.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.5 · 107.6Defence109.2 · 102.5Shooting52.1% · 52.9%3-point %35.4% · 36.7%Ball care20.4% · 18.8%Off. rebounds26.6% · 33.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ FMP Beograd
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Petrol Olimpija wins
2
FMP Beograd wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/17HRogaska70-73
20/11/17HTajfun Sentjur100-63
18/11/17APartizan78-77
15/11/17AAEK Athens73-91
12/11/17HMZT Skopje94-85
10/11/17ASencur74-76
07/11/17HVenezia66-76
04/11/17ACedevita60-84
02/11/17HKK Primorska88-77
31/10/17AEstudiantes81-75
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/17HMega Bemax96-88
12/11/17ACrvena zvezda77-84
04/11/17HCibona99-79
29/10/17AIgokea65-75
23/10/17HZadar91-76
14/10/17AMornar Bar81-73
07/10/17APartizan84-87
03/10/17HMZT Skopje100-72
29/09/17ACedevita67-74
20/09/17ACedevita68-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW44%
HomeWLLLW40%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %44%40%50%
Points / game79.381.077.2
Allowed / game83.283.083.5
Point differential-3.9-2.0-6.2
Avg total162.6164.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %11%20%0%
FMP Beograd
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW56%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLLWLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%100%20%
Points / game84.496.574.8
Allowed / game78.778.878.6
Point differential+5.8+17.8-3.8
Avg total163.1175.2153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Buducnost109190%82.774.3+8.4
2 Crvena zvezda97278%88.177.6+10.6
3 Cedevita107370%81.974.3+7.6
4 FMP Beograd95456%84.478.7+5.8
5 Partizan105550%91.088.7+2.3
6 Igokea94544%86.187.1-1.0
7 Petrol Olimpija94544%79.383.2-3.9
8 Mornar Bar94544%75.781.8-6.1
9 Mega Bemax93633%83.785.9-2.2
10 Cibona93633%79.783.7-4.0
11 Zadar93633%80.886.2-5.4
12 MZT Skopje102820%79.892.4-12.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija1917152273
FMP Beograd1815161564
← all games of the day
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