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FMP Beograd vs Petrol Olimpija Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 81-86
18-26 19-19 25-23 19-18
Position#8
Record9-11
FormWLLWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.5
vs
Position#7
Record8-12
FormLLWWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.3
EuropeABA LeagueRound 21
Domestic2017
Meetings · FMP Beograd v Petrol Olimpija
04 Mar 2019
FBE64
POL63
03 Mar 2018
FBE81
POL86
11 Feb 2017
FBE89
POL79
08 Nov 2009
FBE67
POL79
03 Jan 2009
FBE82
POL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FMP Beograd winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FMP BeogradLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#12
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A22/12
ABA League
Partizan
#5
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
L
79-84
79
84
-5
H05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
L
77-83
77
83
-6
A15/01
ABA League
Igokea
#10
W
95-73
95
73
+22
H19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
85-84 OT
85
84
+1
A28/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
77-100
77
100
-23
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A10/02
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
101-68
101
68
+33
H15/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
82-98
82
98
-16
A17/02
Korac cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-18
11-21
19-13
23-15
17-17
24-24
27-21
15-9
22-19
28-14
16-25
13-26
25-22
19-19
12-25
21-17
21-16
21-13
29-25
24-19
20-24
27-22
12-22
19-10
14-25
21-18
18-26
24-31
23-23
17-10
19-21
13-20
21-16
23-18
35-11
22-23
28-27
16-24
17-22
21-25
162.5Avg total
82.3Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.579.5160.1+1.045%
Season at home (10)86.781.6168.3+5.160%
Season away (10)74.477.4151.8-3.030%
Last 10 (10)82.380.2162.5+2.150%
Last 5 (5)83.484.8168.2-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)70.987.9158.8-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.979.9160.9+1.047%
vs Weaker (5)85.874.6160.4+11.2100%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H27/01
ABA League
Sencur
#8
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H28/01
Liga Nova KBM
AEK Athens
#11
L
71-80
71
80
-9
H30/01
Champions League
Tajfun Sentjur
#13
L
66-82
66
82
-16
A01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#12
W
96-55
96
55
+41
A03/02
ABA League
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
58-75
58
75
-17
A06/02
Champions League
Rogaska
#6
L
71-75
71
75
-4
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#5
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
H10/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#5
W
82-68
82
68
+14
H12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#7
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-8
18-13
9-23
20-20
23-22
8-17
12-17
21-3
18-20
18-13
18-24
17-23
13-22
24-22
12-18
17-20
18-15
19-24
28-5
31-11
13-15
18-19
18-15
9-26
11-26
10-15
26-22
24-12
18-23
18-14
16-25
25-15
21-19
22-15
21-25
18-9
13-21
18-20
21-16
18-17
145.1Avg total
73.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)78.181.3159.4-3.240%
Season at home (10)77.978.6156.5-0.750%
Season away (10)78.384.1162.4-5.830%
Last 10 (10)73.271.9145.1+1.350%
Last 5 (5)74.075.8149.8-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)73.978.1152.0-4.242%
vs Similar ◀ (8)75.482.2157.6-6.912%
vs Weaker (10)79.673.6153.2+6.060%
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +4.4+4.4
FMP BeogradPetrol Olimpija
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FMP BeogradLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#12
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/12
ABA League
Partizan
#5
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H30/12
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#4
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H05/01
ABA League
Zadar
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A15/01
ABA League
Igokea
#10
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H19/01
ABA League
Cibona
#11
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/01
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H05/02
ABA League
Mega Bemax
#9
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A10/02
ABA League
KK Metalac
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/02
Korac cup
Crvena zvezda
#2
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A17/02
Korac cup
80.7Avg total
41.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.579.5-1.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.640.983.5+1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)35.740.275.9-4.619%-
Last 10 (10)41.739.080.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.041.483.4+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.842.276.0-8.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.239.779.9+0.540%-
vs Weaker (5)43.641.685.2+2.060%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita
#3
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H27/01
ABA League
Sencur
#8
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H28/01
Liga Nova KBM
AEK Athens
#11
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H30/01
Champions League
Tajfun Sentjur
#13
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/02
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#12
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A03/02
ABA League
HydroTruck Radom
#45
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/02
Champions League
Rogaska
#6
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A08/02
Liga Nova KBM
Partizan
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H10/02
ABA League
Helios Domzale
#5
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H12/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Primorska
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A16/02
Slovenian Cup
70.2Avg total
33.9Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.276.1-2.333%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.635.672.2+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)37.142.479.6-5.319%-
Last 10 (10)33.936.370.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.437.469.8-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.838.174.9-1.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.940.176.0-4.225%-
vs Weaker (10)37.839.977.7-2.140%-
This opponent (FMP Beograd) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FMP Beogradtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FMP Beograd: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.616.4
50.3%
52.4%32.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.8
33.5%
34.8%23.4
🏀 Free throws28.219.6
69.5%
74.4%19.6
They take 55.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.2
47.8%
52.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.08.6
37.4%
34.8%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.5
73.5%
74.4%12.5
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FMP Beograd
LWLLWWLLWW
Petrol Olimpija
LWWLLWLLWW
#8
League position
#7
-3.8
Net rating
-4.8
101.9
Offensive rating
100.6
105.7
Defensive rating
105.4
50.3%
Effective FG%
50.9%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
18.5%
Turnover %
18.2%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.50
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.5%
3-point %
37.4%
71.5%
Assist %
65.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.9 · 100.6Defence105.7 · 105.4Shooting50.3% · 50.9%3-point %33.5% · 37.4%Ball care18.5% · 18.2%Off. rebounds25.2% · 24.5%Free throws0.50 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ FMP Beograd   ■ Petrol Olimpija
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
FMP Beograd wins
5
Petrol Olimpija wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/18ACrvena zvezda82-98
15/02/18HKK Metalac101-68
10/02/18AMega Bemax72-74
05/02/18HCrvena zvezda77-100
28/01/18ACibona85-84 OT
19/01/18HIgokea95-73
15/01/18AZadar77-83
05/01/18HMornar Bar79-84
30/12/17HPartizan83-71
22/12/17AMZT Skopje72-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/18AKK Primorska70-74
12/02/18HHelios Domzale82-68
10/02/18HPartizan89-87 OT
08/02/18ARogaska71-75
06/02/18AHydroTruck Radom58-75
03/02/18AMZT Skopje96-55
01/02/18ATajfun Sentjur66-82
30/01/18HAEK Athens71-80
28/01/18HSencur64-59
27/01/18HCedevita65-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FMP Beograd
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL45%
HomeLWLWL60%
AwayLWLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%60%30%
Points / game80.586.774.4
Allowed / game79.581.677.4
Point differential+1.1+5.1-3.0
Avg total160.1168.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%10%
Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW40%
HomeWLLWW50%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %40%50%30%
Points / game78.177.978.3
Allowed / game81.378.684.1
Point differential-3.2-0.7-5.8
Avg total159.4156.5162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%0%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)60% (5)50% (2)
Overtime %10%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda2017385%88.376.7+11.6
2 Buducnost2016480%84.775.2+9.5
3 Cedevita2116576%81.674.8+6.8
4 Mornar Bar2012860%81.881.8+0.1
5 Partizan20101050%88.386.2+2.1
6 FMP Beograd2091145%80.579.5+1.1
7 Zadar2091145%83.385.2-1.9
8 Petrol Olimpija2081240%78.181.3-3.2
9 Mega Bemax2071335%83.083.8-0.8
10 Igokea2071335%81.084.8-3.8
11 Cibona2071335%80.385.0-4.8
12 MZT Skopje2131814%75.491.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FMP Beograd1819251981
Petrol Olimpija2619231886
← all games of the day
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