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Petrol Olimpija vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 11 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 78-76
24-21 21-16 10-21 23-18
Position#10
Record4-8
FormWLWLW
Points / game81.2
Allowed / game83.8
vs
Position#12
Record5-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game88.4
EuropeABA LeagueRound 13
Domestic2016
Meetings · Petrol Olimpija v Zadar
14 Oct 2018
POL91
ZAD81
11 Mar 2018
POL90
ZAD85
11 Dec 2016
POL78
ZAD76
23 Jan 2016
POL84
ZAD76
01 Feb 2015
POL82
ZAD60
22 Dec 2013
POL90
ZAD66
13 Jan 2013
POL88
ZAD81
08 Jan 2011
POL78
ZAD53
23 Dec 2009
POL84
ZAD77
14 Mar 2009
POL73
ZAD67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Petrol Olimpija winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlimpija
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
L
74-84
74
84
-10
94avg 105
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
W
76-72
76
72
+4
no box
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
82-68
82
68
+14
no box
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-85
67
85
-18
87avg 105
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
69-81
69
81
-12
no box
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
97-67
97
67
+30
no box
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
87-102
87
102
-15
111avg 105
A03/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
no box
H05/12
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
72-75
72
75
-3
no box
H07/12
Eurocup
KK Primorska
#4
W
75-71
75
71
+4
no box
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
21-26
22-22
20-17
25-22
17-21
20-14
14-15
20-14
14-19
22-19
26-16
24-28
17-15
15-25
11-17
17-21
19-28
14-21
19-11
25-16
22-20
30-15
20-16
23-31
16-28
27-12
21-31
16-16
21-21
23-10
19-17
16-28
21-11
15-25
20-11
13-19
25-20
21-17
16-15
154.7Avg total
77.8Scored
76.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.283.8165.0-2.733%
Season at home (5)77.679.0156.6-1.460%
Season away (7)83.787.3171.0-3.614%
Last 10 (10)77.876.9154.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.075.8157.8+6.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)74.083.1157.1-9.18%
vs Similar (11)81.781.7163.5+0.045%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)83.170.0153.1+13.1100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
107avg 109
H03/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
57-87
57
87
-30
no box
A06/11
Premijer liga
Hermes
#13
W
92-76
92
76
+16
no box
H10/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
110-104
110
104
+6
140avg 109
A13/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
69-76
69
76
-7
94avg 109
H19/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A20/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#7
W
73-64
73
64
+9
no box
H25/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
L
73-82
73
82
-9
99avg 109
A27/11
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
93-74
93
74
+19
118avg 109
H02/12
ABA League
Gorica
#11
W
97-53
97
53
+44
no box
H07/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
20-31
21-14
18-29
16-13
13-26
17-24
11-24
22-21
25-22
20-16
25-17
34-23
19-22
23-20
34-39
20-22
18-17
19-20
12-17
21-16
25-16
20-26
18-29
20-18
22-7
15-12
16-27
17-24
6-18
19-20
31-20
24-18
19-19
23-20
27-17
30-8
21-10
25-18
21-17
162.4Avg total
83.1Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)80.288.4168.7-8.242%
Season at home (7)78.681.4160.0-2.957%
Season away (5)82.698.2180.8-15.620%
Last 10 (10)83.179.3162.4+3.850%
Last 5 (5)84.072.0156.0+12.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)78.191.5169.6-13.436%
vs Similar (8)82.474.6157.0+7.862%
vs Weaker (8)87.173.2160.4+13.988%
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: +4.9+4.9Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -2.3-2.3
Petrol OlimpijaZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Petrol OlimpijaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Buducnost
#4
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A20/11
ABA League
Ulm
#17
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H23/11
Eurocup
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#10
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H25/11
Liga Nova KBM
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H28/11
ABA League
Hapoel M. Jerusalem
#4
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A30/11
Eurocup
LTH Castings
#11
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A02/12
Liga Nova KBM
Cedevita
#3
L
39-59
39
59
-20
A03/12
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H05/12
ABA League
Valencia
#1
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H07/12
Eurocup
KK Primorska
#4
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H09/12
Liga Nova KBM
80.6Avg total
38.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.441.780.1-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.741.379.0-3.520%-
Last 30 away (15)39.042.281.2-3.240%-
Last 10 (10)38.342.380.6-4.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.642.081.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.343.479.8-7.18%-
vs Similar (11)39.542.481.9-2.836%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.037.977.9+2.157%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Igokea
#5
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H03/11
ABA League
Jolly Sibenik
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A06/11
Premijer liga
Hermes
#13
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H10/11
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#8
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/11
ABA League
Partizan
#2
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H19/11
ABA League
Zabok
#10
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A20/11
Premijer liga
Osijek
#7
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H25/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#7
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A27/11
ABA League
Karpos
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/12
ABA League
Gorica
#11
W
51-18
51
18
+33
H07/12
Premijer liga
78.3Avg total
41.6Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.540.180.6+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.235.878.0+6.462%-
Last 30 away (14)38.645.083.6-6.429%-
Last 10 (10)41.636.778.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)41.030.871.8+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.945.182.9-7.221%-
vs Similar (8)41.536.277.8+5.262%-
vs Weaker (8)44.235.279.5+9.075%-
This opponent (Petrol Olimpija) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Petrol Olimpijatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Petrol Olimpija: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.016.2
52.3%
51.9%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.6
36.0%
34.3%28.7
🏀 Free throws22.617.2
76.4%
73.3%17.2
They take 57.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.923.0
52.4%
51.9%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.15.1
29.8%
34.3%15.3
🏀 Free throws23.917.5
73.2%
73.3%17.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Petrol Olimpija
WLWLWLLWWL
Zadar
WWLWLLWWLL
#10
League position
#12
-5.7
Net rating
-10.4
102.9
Offensive rating
99.5
108.6
Defensive rating
109.9
53.1%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
21.7%
Turnover %
19.3%
26.6%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
36.0%
3-point %
29.8%
60.8%
Assist %
61.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 99.5Defence108.6 · 109.9Shooting53.1% · 50.2%3-point %36.0% · 29.8%Ball care21.7% · 19.3%Off. rebounds26.6% · 26.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Petrol Olimpija   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Petrol Olimpija wins
2
Zadar wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/16HKK Primorska75-71
07/12/16HValencia72-75
05/12/16HKK Krka Novo mesto79-64
03/12/16ACedevita87-102
02/12/16ALTH Castings97-67
30/11/16AHapoel M. Jerusalem69-81
28/11/16HCrvena zvezda67-85
25/11/16HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek82-68
23/11/16HUlm76-72
20/11/16ABuducnost74-84
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/16HGorica97-53
02/12/16HKarpos93-74
27/11/16ACibona73-82
25/11/16HOsijek73-64
20/11/16AZabok84-87
19/11/16HPartizan69-76
13/11/16AMornar Bar110-104
10/11/16HHermes92-76
06/11/16AJolly Sibenik57-87
03/11/16HIgokea83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Petrol Olimpija
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW33%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayLWLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%60%14%
Points / game81.277.683.7
Allowed / game83.879.087.3
Point differential-2.7-1.4-3.6
Avg total165.0156.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)100% (1)20% (5)
Overtime %25%20%29%
Zadar
ABA League 2016
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW42%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %42%57%20%
Points / game80.278.682.6
Allowed / game88.481.498.2
Point differential-8.2-2.9-15.6
Avg total168.7160.0180.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda13130100%84.965.5+19.5
2 Partizan1310377%78.872.6+6.2
3 Buducnost1310377%82.676.5+6.1
4 Cedevita139469%89.479.2+10.2
5 Cibona139469%83.979.7+4.2
6 Igokea137654%75.876.4-0.6
7 Zadar125742%80.288.4-8.2
8 KK Krka Novo mesto135838%73.881.4-7.5
9 Petrol Olimpija124833%81.283.8-2.7
10 Mornar Bar134931%76.578.8-2.3
11 Mega Bemax134931%81.584.7-3.2
12 MZT Skopje134931%76.483.0-6.6
13 FMP Beograd1331023%73.180.3-7.2
14 Karpos1331023%73.882.3-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Petrol Olimpija2421102378
Zadar2116211876
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