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Philadelphia 76ers vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 17:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWWLWW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game111.0
vs
Position#9
Record7-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game118.8
Allowed / game112.4
USANBA· Xfinity Mobile Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Philadelphia 76ers v Minnesota Timberwolves
16 Jan 2027
PHI v MIN
upcoming
03 Apr 2026
PHI115
MIN103
17 Oct 2025
PHI126
MIN110
05 Apr 2025
PHI109
MIN114
20 Dec 2023
PHI127
MIN113
19 Nov 2022
PHI109
MIN112
27 Nov 2021
PHI120
MIN121
15 Aug 2021
PHI96
MIN99
03 Apr 2021
PHI122
MIN113
30 Oct 2019
PHI117
MIN95
15 Jan 2019
PHI149
MIN107
24 Mar 2018
PHI120
MIN108
03 Jan 2017
PHI93
MIN91
04 Jan 2016
PHI109
MIN99
30 Jan 2015
PHI103
MIN94
06 Jan 2014
PHI95
MIN126
23 Oct 2013
PHI102
MIN125
04 Dec 2012
PHI88
MIN105
04 Mar 2011
PHI111
MIN100
09 Feb 2010
PHI119
MIN97
25 Mar 2009
PHI96
MIN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philadelphia 76ers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Philadelphia 76ersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#28
W
120-97
120
97
+23
H05/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
108-114
108
114
-6
A08/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
106-144
106
144
-38
A11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
120-125 OT
120
125
-5
H16/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
106-100
106
100
+6
A20/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
114-106
114
106
+8
H22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
127-116
127
116
+11
H24/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
93-106
93
106
-13
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
114-109
114
109
+5
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
98-93
98
93
+5
H30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-32
39-26
21-21
27-18
33-33
25-23
23-37
27-21
20-24
22-39
27-41
37-40
28-34
32-24
34-26
21-31
23-25
31-33
29-18
23-24
18-35
27-34
37-21
32-16
34-25
30-35
33-27
30-29
22-34
22-22
25-23
24-27
25-25
37-27
13-36
39-21
29-21
24-23
24-24
21-25
221.6Avg total
110.6Scored
111.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)110.6111.0221.6-0.460%
Season at home (6)112.0107.2219.2+4.867%
Season away (4)108.5116.8225.2-8.250%
Last 10 (10)110.6111.0221.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)109.2106.0215.2+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)102.9115.4218.4-12.524%
vs Similar (6)111.5108.0219.5+3.567%
vs Weaker (7)119.3105.3224.6+14.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
125-124
125
124
+1
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
122-104
122
104
+18
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
106-128
106
128
-22
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
116-133
116
133
-17
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
131-106
131
106
+25
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
115-93
115
93
+22
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
117-94
117
94
+23
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
114-119
114
119
-5
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
127-101
127
101
+26
H31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
36-33
31-28
34-40
30-25
32-25
28-30
32-24
38-29
20-36
24-32
24-31
28-33
32-34
28-31
28-35
34-32
35-27
30-22
32-25
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
232.7Avg total
119.8Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.8112.4231.2+6.458%
Season at home (4)116.0110.5226.5+5.550%
Season away (8)120.2113.4233.6+6.962%
Last 10 (10)119.8112.9232.7+6.960%
Last 5 (5)119.6106.8226.4+12.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)104.5120.7225.2-16.233%
vs Similar (13)113.5114.4227.9-0.846%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)122.3112.5234.8+9.773%
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Philadelphia 76ersMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Philadelphia 76ersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#28
W
72-58
72
58
+14
H05/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A08/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
42-63
42
63
-21
A11/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
W
60-58
60
58
+2
H16/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A20/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
L
45-69
45
69
-24
H22/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#27
W
64-60
64
60
+4
H24/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
44-56
44
56
-12
H25/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A28/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
53-44
53
44
+9
H30/10
NBA
112.8Avg total
55.4Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.159.5114.6-4.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.958.7112.5-4.840%-
Last 30 away (15)56.360.3116.6-3.953%-
Last 10 (10)55.457.4112.8-2.060%-
Last 5 (5)53.656.2109.8-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)52.661.4114.0-8.729%-
vs Similar (6)54.356.2110.5-1.867%-
vs Weaker (7)61.757.7119.4+4.071%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#19
W
60-56
60
56
+4
A11/10
NBA
New York Knicks
#28
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A12/10
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#3
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H15/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A17/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#19
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A21/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#11
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#13
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#16
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#23
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
115.7Avg total
59.8Scored
55.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.756.2113.9+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (12)58.655.8114.4+2.858%-
Last 30 away (18)57.256.4113.6+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)59.855.9115.7+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)57.852.4110.2+5.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)49.857.3107.2-7.517%-
vs Similar (13)56.556.7113.2-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)63.554.9118.4+8.591%-
This opponent (Philadelphia 76ers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philadelphia 76erstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philadelphia 76ers: 109.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.626.5
53.4%
54.0%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.610.9
29.8%
34.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws30.123.8
79.1%
76.2%23.8
They take 86.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.4
52.3%
54.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.814.4
39.1%
34.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws31.122.5
72.3%
76.2%22.5
They take 87.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philadelphia 76ers
WWLWWWLLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLWWWLLWW
#8
League position
#9
-4.0
Net rating
+5.0
97.4
Offensive rating
106.1
101.4
Defensive rating
101.1
49.7%
Effective FG%
55.0%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
13.1%
Turnover %
14.7%
29.1%
Off. rebound %
47.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.8%
3-point %
39.1%
69.0%
Assist %
60.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.4 · 106.1Defence101.4 · 101.1Shooting49.7% · 55.0%3-point %29.8% · 39.1%Ball care13.1% · 14.7%Off. rebounds29.1% · 47.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Philadelphia 76ers   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26HNew York Knicks98-93
28/10/26AIndiana Pacers114-109
25/10/26HDetroit Pistons93-106
24/10/26HMilwaukee Bucks127-116
22/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-106
20/10/26ANew York Knicks106-100
16/10/26HBoston Celtics120-125 OT
11/10/26ABoston Celtics106-144
08/10/26ABrooklyn Nets108-114
05/10/26HNew York Knicks120-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
21/10/26AMiami Heat131-106
17/10/26AChicago Bulls116-133
15/10/26HDetroit Pistons106-128
12/10/26ANew York Knicks122-104
11/10/26AMiami Heat125-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW60%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game110.6112.0108.5
Allowed / game111.0107.2116.8
Point differential-0.4+4.8-8.2
Avg total221.6219.2225.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayWLWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %58%50%62%
Points / game118.8116.0120.2
Allowed / game112.4110.5113.4
Point differential+6.4+5.5+6.9
Avg total231.2226.5233.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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