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Philippines vs Australia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 66-93
13-14 20-24 20-30 13-25
Position#45
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game62.0
vs
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Mall of Asia Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Philippines v Australia
01 Mar 2026
PHIL66
AUST93
02 Jul 2018
PHIL53
AUST89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Australia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
84-91
84
91
-7
no box
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
70-87
70
87
-17
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
83avg 71
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-94
86
94
-8
74avg 71
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
W
66-57
66
57
+9
56avg 71
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
95-88 OT
95
88
+7
93avg 71
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
60-84
60
84
-24
46avg 71
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
87-46
87
46
+41
no box
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
95-71
95
71
+24
no box
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
66-69
66
69
-3
no box
H26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
25-25
16-24
23-20
15-30
18-23
22-21
15-13
16-27
18-16
28-30
25-22
18-23
23-32
27-19
18-20
12-18
21-15
22-7
11-17
25-15
15-22
20-22
19-20
12-29
16-19
22-21
10-15
17-17
23-12
24-7
23-10
32-15
18-21
22-19
23-16
21-25
16-12
9-20
20-12
157.8Avg total
79.6Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.762.0144.7+20.767%
Season at home (2)80.570.0150.5+10.550%
Season away (1)87.046.0133.0+41.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.678.2157.8+1.440%
Last 5 (5)80.671.6152.2+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.981.9155.8-8.033%
vs Similar (7)90.781.1171.9+9.657%
vs Weaker (11)85.859.9145.7+25.991%
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustralia
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
W
114-64
114
64
+50
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
97-61
97
61
+36
93avg 89
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
93-80
93
80
+13
91avg 89
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
110-82
110
82
+28
111avg 89
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
84-60
84
60
+24
78avg 89
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
92-48
92
48
+44
95avg 89
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
W
90-89
90
89
+1
80avg 89
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
no box
H28/11
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A01/12
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
93-80
93
80
+13
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-18
30-17
25-18
33-11
25-17
23-14
20-16
29-14
31-14
27-24
26-22
9-20
22-20
24-23
31-20
33-19
29-12
19-16
21-22
15-10
27-20
24-9
29-8
12-11
17-25
25-21
26-25
22-18
28-25
14-24
24-18
18-12
23-21
16-16
18-25
22-15
17-17
29-16
27-26
20-21
165.6Avg total
93.6Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.378.7164.0+6.7100%
Season at home (1)84.079.0163.0+5.0100%
Season away (2)86.078.5164.5+7.5100%
Last 10 (10)93.672.0165.6+21.6100%
Last 5 (5)87.674.6162.2+13.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)87.079.0166.0+8.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)91.066.6157.6+24.489%
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +6.2+6.2
PhilippinesAustralia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A20/02
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
33-53
33
53
-20
A23/02
Asia Cup
Chinese Taipei
#9
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A05/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H07/08
Asia Cup
Iraq
#16
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A09/08
Asia Cup
Saudi Arabia
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A11/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A13/08
Asia Cup
Guam
#93
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A28/11
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H01/12
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H26/02
World Cup
79.9Avg total
38.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.239.079.2+1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.339.281.5+3.138%-
Last 30 away (17)38.638.977.5-0.341%-
Last 10 (10)38.141.879.9-3.730%-
Last 5 (5)39.037.476.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)35.843.779.5-7.88%-
vs Similar (7)41.041.082.0+0.029%-
vs Weaker (11)44.532.777.2+11.782%-
This opponent (Australia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustraliaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Thailand
#12
W
56-35
56
35
+21
H23/02
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H06/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
W
58-38
58
38
+20
A08/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A10/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H13/08
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
51-29
51
29
+22
H16/08
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H17/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#15
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H28/11
World Cup
New Zealand
#15
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A01/12
World Cup
Guam
#93
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A26/02
World Cup
84.5Avg total
47.6Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.434.381.7+13.183%-
Last 30 at home (17)47.033.980.9+13.176%-
Last 30 away (12)48.034.882.8+13.292%-
Last 10 (10)47.636.984.5+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.882.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)43.531.074.5+12.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.734.582.2+13.281%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.722.9
50.1%
-45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.38.4
31.9%
-25.2
🏀 Free throws16.812.0
71.4%
-12.0
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Australiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Australia: 98.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.025.3
57.5%
-50.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.1
36.5%
-33.3
🏀 Free throws20.214.3
70.8%
-14.3
They take 74.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Philippines
LWWLWWLLLL
Australia
WWWWWWWWWW
#45
League position
#1
+6.1
Net rating
+40.6
110.9
Offensive rating
123.0
104.8
Defensive rating
82.4
49.3%
Effective FG%
56.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
39.9%
12.8%
Turnover %
13.6%
35.7%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.9%
3-point %
36.5%
64.5%
Assist %
63.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 100%
■ Philippines   ■ Australia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Philippines wins
3
Australia wins
DateGameScore
13/08/25Australia v Philippines84-60
02/07/18Philippines v Australia53-89
22/02/18Australia v Philippines84-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26HNew Zealand66-69
01/12/25HGuam95-71
28/11/25AGuam87-46
13/08/25AAustralia60-84
11/08/25ASaudi Arabia95-88 OT
09/08/25AIraq66-57
07/08/25HNew Zealand86-94
05/08/25AChinese Taipei87-95
23/02/25ANew Zealand70-87
20/02/25AChinese Taipei84-91
Australialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/02/26AGuam93-80
01/12/25ANew Zealand79-77
28/11/25HNew Zealand84-79
17/08/25HChina90-89
16/08/25HIran92-48
13/08/25HPhilippines84-60
10/08/25AQatar110-82
08/08/25ALebanon93-80
06/08/25HSouth Korea97-61
23/02/25HThailand114-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philippines
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWL50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game82.780.587.0
Allowed / game62.070.046.0
Point differential+20.7+10.5+41.0
Avg total144.7150.5133.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Australia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.384.086.0
Allowed / game78.779.078.5
Point differential+6.7+5.0+7.5
Avg total164.0163.0164.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Croatia770100%94.369.6+24.7
4 Ivory Coast220100%93.069.5+23.5
5 Spain330100%83.363.7+19.7
6 Canada330100%100.382.7+17.7
7 Uruguay330100%79.362.0+17.3
8 Turkey330100%86.769.7+17.0
9 Angola220100%86.570.0+16.5
10 Brazil330100%84.770.7+14.0
11 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
12 Mali220100%85.075.0+10.0
13 Australia330100%85.378.7+6.7
14 Poland330100%86.381.0+5.3
15 Colombia220100%83.078.0+5.0
16 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
17 Netherlands75271%80.474.4+6.0
18 Ukraine75271%80.174.7+5.4
19 Philippines32167%82.762.0+20.7
20 Argentina32167%76.359.3+17.0
21 Slovenia32167%95.378.7+16.7
22 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
23 Germany32167%86.775.3+11.3
24 Greece32167%77.366.3+11.0
25 Italy32167%83.773.0+10.7
26 Portugal32167%83.373.3+10.0
27 Iran32167%80.070.7+9.3
28 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
29 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
30 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
31 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 France32167%76.372.3+4.0
34 Estonia32167%91.389.0+2.3
35 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
36 Finland32167%78.777.0+1.7
37 Jamaica32167%95.093.7+1.3
38 Serbia32167%80.780.0+0.7
39 Iceland32167%83.783.7+0.0
40 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
41 Montenegro32167%69.774.3-4.7
42 Czech Republic32167%84.390.3-6.0
43 Switzerland138562%74.267.8+6.4
44 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
45 Hungary74357%81.174.7+6.4
46 Romania116555%76.276.8-0.6
47 Senegal21150%89.578.0+11.5
48 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
49 Dominican Republic21150%90.087.0+3.0
50 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
53 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
54 D.R. Congo21150%73.087.5-14.5
55 Austria115645%84.678.8+5.8
56 Latvia31233%82.079.3+2.7
57 Israel31233%78.076.0+2.0
58 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%75.775.7+0.0
59 Lithuania31233%85.085.3-0.3
60 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
61 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
62 Georgia31233%76.384.3-8.0
63 Great Britain31233%78.388.7-10.3
64 Panama31233%75.386.0-10.7
65 Bahamas31233%87.3100.3-13.0
66 Syria31233%61.781.3-19.7
67 Denmark72529%74.481.6-7.1
68 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
69 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
70 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
71 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
72 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
73 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
74 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
75 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
76 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
77 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
78 Puerto Rico3030%89.095.0-6.0
79 Venezuela2020%81.087.0-6.0
80 Belgium3030%71.379.0-7.7
81 Egypt2020%74.584.5-10.0
82 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
83 Sweden3030%80.093.0-13.0
84 Chile3030%68.782.0-13.3
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Uganda2020%70.587.0-16.5
88 Madagascar2020%72.593.0-20.5
89 Cuba3030%66.089.7-23.7
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua1010%72.099.0-27.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus3030%59.392.3-33.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Philippines1320201366
Australia1424302593
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