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Philippines vs Italy Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 29 Aug 2023
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 83-90
23-20 16-28 21-25 23-17
Position#44
Record6-6
FormWWWLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game77.9
vs
Italy 🏆
Position#17
Record9-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game83.2
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2023
Meetings · Philippines v Italy
29 Aug 2023
PHIL83
ITAL90
31 Aug 2019
PHIL62
ITAL108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Philippines winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Italy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PhilippinesLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPhilippines
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
76-63
76
63
+13
no box
A13/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
107-96
107
96
+11
no box
H24/02
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
90-91
90
91
-1
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Malaysia
#5
W
94-49
94
49
+45
81avg 72
H09/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
68-79
68
79
-11
52avg 72
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games
Singapore
#7
W
105-45
105
45
+60
81avg 72
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
W
84-76
84
76
+8
75avg 72
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
W
80-69
80
69
+11
72avg 72
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Dominican Republic
#12
L
81-87
81
87
-6
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
15-9
24-20
21-18
25-19
28-22
29-23
25-32
14-33
27-27
23-10
26-21
33-12
25-10
26-16
10-11
14-26
17-21
16-19
21-13
29-5
27-14
30-15
19-11
20-24
18-21
22-20
24-11
21-22
23-11
20-18
16-18
18-22
24-20
22-24
17-21
19-12
14-24
19-20
18-24
159.0Avg total
85.5Scored
73.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.477.9157.3+1.550%
Season at home (6)81.780.3162.0+1.350%
Season away (6)77.275.5152.7+1.750%
Last 10 (10)85.573.5159.0+12.060%
Last 5 (5)84.071.4155.4+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)76.691.6168.2-15.010%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.080.4161.4+0.660%
vs Weaker (15)86.357.9144.2+28.587%
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormItaly
Date
Competition
Croatia
#12
W
81-76
81
76
+5
no box
H06/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
90-56
90
56
+34
no box
A08/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
no box
A11/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
85-93 OT
85
93
-8
no box
A14/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#7
L
84-88 OT
84
88
-4
no box
H11/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
A14/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
72-68
72
68
+4
no box
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
81-67
81
67
+14
no box
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
L
82-87
82
87
-5
no box
H27/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-17
20-17
13-25
26-17
29-20
18-17
20-17
23-2
20-28
25-23
21-17
28-18
20-27
11-11
31-18
15-21
18-22
15-14
16-19
21-15
24-19
19-21
17-18
25-26
23-21
20-22
15-14
27-18
13-16
20-13
19-15
20-24
23-17
20-23
18-17
20-10
19-13
20-25
17-31
26-18
161.9Avg total
83.9Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)86.383.2169.5+3.169%
Season at home (6)85.382.3167.7+3.067%
Season away (7)87.184.0171.1+3.171%
Last 10 (10)83.978.0161.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)81.076.2157.2+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)81.682.6164.2-1.038%
vs Similar ◀ (12)88.587.2175.7+1.358%
vs Weaker (10)85.573.4158.9+12.190%
This opponent (Philippines) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +6.2+6.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +4.6+4.6Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +6.2+6.2
PhilippinesItaly
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PhilippinesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saudi Arabia
#46
W
31-25
31
25
+6
A13/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
53-41
53
41
+12
H24/02
World Cup
Jordan
#37
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H27/02
World Cup
Malaysia
#5
W
58-22
58
22
+36
H09/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H11/05
Southeast Asian Games
Singapore
#7
W
56-19
56
19
+37
A13/05
Southeast Asian Games
Indonesia
#4
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A15/05
Southeast Asian Games
Cambodia
#2
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/05
Southeast Asian Games
Dominican Republic
#12
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/08
World Cup
Angola
#19
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H27/08
World Cup
79.7Avg total
42.7Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.536.176.6+4.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.535.375.8+5.167%-
Last 30 away (15)40.536.977.3+3.640%-
Last 10 (10)42.737.079.7+5.750%-
Last 5 (5)42.635.077.6+7.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.443.580.9-6.120%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)38.445.283.6-6.820%-
vs Weaker (15)43.228.171.3+15.187%-
This opponent (Italy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ItalyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Croatia
#12
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H06/09
EuroBasket
Great Britain
#14
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A08/09
EuroBasket
Serbia
#3
L
45-51
45
51
-6
A11/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A14/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#7
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H11/11
World Cup
Georgia
#32
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A14/11
World Cup
Ukraine
#34
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H23/02
World Cup
Spain
#7
W
33-29
33
29
+4
A26/02
World Cup
Angola
#19
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A25/08
World Cup
Dominican Republic
#12
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H27/08
World Cup
78.5Avg total
39.9Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.283.4+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.039.183.1+4.973%-
Last 30 away (15)42.341.483.7+0.953%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.678.5+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)40.238.078.2+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)41.440.581.9+0.950%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.741.282.9+0.458%-
vs Weaker (10)46.338.885.1+7.580%-
This opponent (Philippines) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Philippinestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Philippines: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 12% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.624.0
51.5%
-48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.8
31.0%
-26.4
🏀 Free throws19.010.6
55.8%
-10.6
They take 75.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Italytheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Philippines wins
1
Italy wins
DateGameScore
31/08/19Philippines v Italy62-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/23HAngola70-80
25/08/23ADominican Republic81-87
16/05/23ACambodia80-69
15/05/23AIndonesia84-76
13/05/23ASingapore105-45
11/05/23HCambodia68-79
09/05/23HMalaysia94-49
27/02/23HJordan90-91
24/02/23HLebanon107-96
13/11/22ASaudi Arabia76-63
Italylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/08/23HDominican Republic82-87
25/08/23AAngola81-67
26/02/23ASpain72-68
23/02/23HUkraine85-75
14/11/22AGeorgia85-84
11/11/22HSpain84-88 OT
14/09/22AFrance85-93 OT
11/09/22ASerbia94-86
08/09/22AGreat Britain90-56
06/09/22HCroatia81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Philippines
World Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.481.777.2
Allowed / game77.980.375.5
Point differential+1.5+1.3+1.7
Avg total157.3162.0152.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Italy
World Cup 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL69%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayWWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %69%67%71%
Points / game86.385.387.1
Allowed / game83.282.384.0
Point differential+3.1+3.0+3.1
Avg total169.5167.7171.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%17%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %15%17%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1817194%85.671.2+14.4
3 Canada1413193%99.668.5+31.1
4 Australia1513287%85.560.2+25.3
5 Germany1513287%81.871.6+10.2
6 Spain1412286%84.868.1+16.6
7 South Sudan1412286%80.667.4+13.2
8 New Zealand119282%92.870.5+22.3
9 Dominican Republic1512380%82.372.8+9.5
10 Lithuania1411379%79.470.4+9.0
11 Ivory Coast1411379%74.268.1+6.1
12 Puerto Rico129375%82.279.7+2.5
13 France1511473%80.666.9+13.7
14 Angola1511473%73.563.5+10.1
15 Montenegro1813572%77.971.2+6.8
16 China1410471%77.970.4+7.5
17 Serbia1410471%83.676.4+7.2
18 Italy139469%86.383.2+3.1
19 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
20 Argentina128467%78.772.1+6.6
21 Greece128467%78.775.2+3.5
22 Slovenia149564%84.479.3+5.1
23 Lebanon159660%86.579.5+7.1
24 Egypt159660%74.868.0+6.8
25 Finland159660%80.982.1-1.2
26 Brazil127558%87.272.6+14.7
27 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
28 Nigeria127558%69.564.5+5.0
29 Venezuela148657%77.670.5+7.1
30 Jordan148657%78.975.3+3.6
31 Georgia148657%79.878.4+1.4
32 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
33 Cape Verde137654%71.871.1+0.8
34 Mexico137654%80.481.4-1.0
35 Japan158753%77.877.1+0.7
36 Sweden168850%81.175.8+5.4
37 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
38 Belgium126650%72.069.4+2.6
39 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
40 Philippines126650%79.477.9+1.5
41 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
42 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
43 Uruguay105550%71.974.2-2.3
44 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%77.282.2-5.0
45 Hungary126650%72.679.5-6.9
46 Iran146843%70.371.1-0.8
47 Saudi Arabia125742%68.275.0-6.8
48 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
49 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
50 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
51 Turkey114736%77.575.1+2.4
52 Israel124833%78.779.0-0.3
53 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
54 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
55 Estonia124833%72.581.4-8.9
56 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
57 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
58 Colombia103730%77.091.8-14.8
59 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
60 Czech Republic123925%73.280.7-7.5
61 Panama123925%68.578.7-10.2
62 Bahamas123925%77.691.9-14.3
63 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
64 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain101910%69.783.2-13.5
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 India100100%61.189.5-28.4
81 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Philippines2316212383
Italy2028251790
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