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Phoenix Suns vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 109-106
19-22 30-20 32-35 28-29
Position#28
Record24-44
FormLLLWW
Points / game107.1
Allowed / game111.7
vs
Position#4
Record45-24
FormLWLWW
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game104.8
USANBA· Talking Stick Resort Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Boston Celtics
04 Jan 2027
PHX v BOS
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
PHX81
BOS97
26 Mar 2025
PHX102
BOS132
09 Mar 2024
PHX107
BOS117
07 Dec 2022
PHX98
BOS125
10 Dec 2021
PHX111
BOS90
07 Feb 2021
PHX100
BOS91
18 Nov 2019
PHX85
BOS99
08 Nov 2018
PHX109
BOS116
26 Mar 2018
PHX94
BOS102
05 Mar 2017
PHX109
BOS106
26 Mar 2016
PHX99
BOS102
23 Feb 2015
PHX110
BOS115
19 Feb 2014
PHX100
BOS94
22 Feb 2013
PHX88
BOS113
28 Jan 2011
PHX88
BOS71
30 Dec 2009
PHX116
BOS98
22 Feb 2009
PHX108
BOS128
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
91-110
91
110
-19
A09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
115-97
115
97
+18
H11/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
102-133
102
133
-31
A12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
108-110
108
110
-2
H14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
137-101
137
101
+36
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
121-128 OT
121
128
-7
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
96-100
96
100
-4
A26/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
112-130
112
130
-18
A01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
120-103
120
103
+17
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
118-111
118
111
+7
H04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
23-22
27-33
26-31
28-26
28-17
30-33
29-21
24-38
29-39
24-34
25-22
28-29
30-24
22-24
28-33
32-15
36-33
34-28
35-25
25-24
29-28
25-28
29-28
23-21
24-21
26-35
23-23
27-25
29-30
29-38
27-37
28-32
33-26
33-33
26-12
23-28
35-27
29-24
31-32
224.3Avg total
112.0Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)107.1111.7218.8-4.635%
Season at home (33)107.8109.8217.7-2.042%
Season away (35)106.4113.5219.9-7.029%
Last 10 (10)112.0112.3224.3-0.340%
Last 5 (5)113.4114.4227.8-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)107.2112.3219.5-5.130%
vs Similar (7)110.4105.4215.9+5.057%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
120-111
120
111
+9
A10/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
112-104
112
104
+8
A12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
111-98
111
98
+13
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
116-108
116
108
+8
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
103-104
103
104
-1
A17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
97-107
97
107
-10
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
98-114
98
114
-16
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
W
103-99
103
99
+4
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
115-95
115
95
+20
A04/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-32
27-23
28-21
43-35
33-23
25-21
19-21
35-39
30-28
31-22
22-32
28-16
29-29
32-32
26-18
29-29
25-22
33-30
20-29
25-23
29-18
26-27
22-29
20-33
27-23
27-27
25-24
25-24
24-24
23-27
24-33
27-30
20-26
29-24
25-21
29-28
35-26
35-19
23-33
22-17
211.7Avg total
107.9Scored
103.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)107.7104.8212.4+2.965%
Season at home (33)109.0105.5214.6+3.570%
Season away (36)106.4104.0210.5+2.461%
Last 10 (10)107.9103.8211.7+4.170%
Last 5 (5)103.4102.6206.0+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)110.1108.7218.8+1.567%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)112.0105.0217.0+7.078%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Phoenix SunsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A09/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
56-43
56
43
+13
H11/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
53-77
53
77
-24
A12/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H14/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
68-48
68
48
+20
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
54-52
54
52
+2
A25/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A26/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A01/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H03/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H04/03
NBA
107.8Avg total
54.9Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.855.2109.0-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.655.8112.4+0.862%-
Last 30 away (14)50.654.5105.1-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)54.952.9107.8+2.080%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.4107.6+2.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)53.756.6110.3-2.948%-
vs Similar (7)54.050.6104.6+3.457%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A10/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A12/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
61-50
61
50
+11
A14/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A04/03
NBA
106.5Avg total
56.2Scored
50.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.252.6108.8+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.753.7109.4+2.053%-
Last 30 away (13)56.851.2108.0+5.769%-
Last 10 (10)56.250.3106.5+5.960%-
Last 5 (5)55.048.2103.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)54.952.2107.1+2.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.253.6112.8+5.756%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀19%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.8 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.235.4
52.7%
50.2%70.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.1
33.8%
35.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws25.219.9
79.0%
77.0%19.9
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 24% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 107.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.225.7
53.3%
50.2%51.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.012.3
37.3%
35.7%36.9
🏀 Free throws24.919.6
78.7%
77.0%19.6
They take 81.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLLLWLLWL
Boston Celtics
WWLWLLWWWW
#28
League position
#4
-0.3
Net rating
+4.1
107.5
Offensive rating
109.1
107.8
Defensive rating
104.9
52.2%
Effective FG%
54.4%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
26.1%
Off. rebound %
18.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.8%
3-point %
37.3%
55.8%
Assist %
62.1%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.5 · 109.1Defence107.8 · 104.9Shooting52.2% · 54.4%3-point %33.8% · 37.3%Ball care15.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds26.1% · 18.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Phoenix Suns wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17HOklahoma City Thunder118-111
03/03/17HCharlotte Hornets120-103
01/03/17AMemphis Grizzlies112-130
26/02/17AMilwaukee Bucks96-100
25/02/17AChicago Bulls121-128 OT
16/02/17HLos Angeles Lakers137-101
14/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans108-110
12/02/17AHouston Rockets102-133
11/02/17HChicago Bulls115-97
09/02/17AMemphis Grizzlies91-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers115-95
02/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers103-99
28/02/17HAtlanta Hawks98-114
26/02/17ADetroit Pistons104-98
25/02/17AToronto Raptors97-107
17/02/17AChicago Bulls103-104
16/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers116-108
14/02/17ADallas Mavericks111-98
12/02/17AUtah Jazz112-104
10/02/17APortland Trail Blazers120-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW35%
HomeWLWWW42%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683335
Win %35%42%29%
Points / game107.1107.8106.4
Allowed / game111.7109.8113.5
Point differential-4.6-2.0-7.0
Avg total218.8217.7219.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%9%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won48% (27)46% (13)50% (14)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW65%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWLLWW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693336
Win %65%70%61%
Points / game107.7109.0106.4
Allowed / game104.8105.5104.0
Point differential+2.9+3.5+2.4
Avg total212.4214.6210.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%24%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won68% (22)80% (10)58% (12)
Overtime %4%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors69571283%117.0104.9+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs67521578%105.797.7+7.9
3 Houston Rockets69482170%115.4108.5+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers67442366%110.2106.5+3.7
5 Boston Celtics69452465%107.7104.8+2.9
6 Utah Jazz68412760%100.195.9+4.2
7 Washington Wizards67402760%107.7104.8+2.9
8 Los Angeles Clippers68402859%106.4104.7+1.7
9 Toronto Raptors69402958%107.3103.8+3.5
10 Memphis Grizzlies69402958%101.8100.3+1.5
11 Atlanta Hawks69393057%103.1103.2-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder66372956%106.2105.9+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers68353351%105.4106.0-0.6
14 Chicago Bulls69343549%102.7103.0-0.2
15 Detroit Pistons68333549%101.3101.1+0.2
16 Miami Heat71333846%102.5101.6+0.9
17 Milwaukee Bucks67313646%103.8104.3-0.5
18 Denver Nuggets70323846%109.9110.6-0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers68303844%107.3109.4-2.1
20 Minnesota Timberwolves69303943%104.4104.0+0.4
21 Charlotte Hornets69303943%103.5104.0-0.5
22 New York Knicks69294042%106.0108.6-2.6
23 Sacramento Kings66273941%102.5105.4-2.9
24 Dallas Mavericks68274140%97.4100.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans68254337%103.3106.8-3.5
26 Orlando Magic69254436%99.6105.7-6.1
27 Philadelphia 76ers69254436%101.3107.7-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns68244435%107.1111.7-4.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers70214930%104.2110.5-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets67115616%105.0114.1-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Phoenix Suns19303228109
Boston Celtics22203529106
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