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Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 02:00
Scheduled
Position#18
Record5-6
FormWWLWW
Points / game111.7
Allowed / game116.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.1/10
Around normal
4.4/10
Below normal
Position#8
Record9-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game120.6
Allowed / game111.7
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Memphis Grizzlies
20 Jan 2027
PHX v MEM
upcoming
29 Oct 2025
PHX113
MEM114
11 Feb 2025
PHX112
MEM119
31 Dec 2024
PHX112
MEM117
07 Jan 2024
PHX115
MEM121
02 Dec 2023
PHX116
MEM109
22 Jan 2023
PHX112
MEM110
23 Dec 2022
PHX100
MEM125
27 Dec 2021
PHX113
MEM114
15 Mar 2021
PHX122
MEM99
05 Jan 2020
PHX114
MEM121
11 Dec 2019
PHX108
MEM115
30 Mar 2019
PHX115
MEM120
04 Nov 2018
PHX102
MEM100
26 Dec 2017
PHX99
MEM97
21 Dec 2017
PHX97
MEM95
30 Jan 2017
PHX96
MEM115
21 Mar 2016
PHX97
MEM103
27 Feb 2016
PHX111
MEM106
02 Feb 2015
PHX101
MEM102
05 Nov 2014
PHX91
MEM102
14 Apr 2014
PHX91
MEM97
02 Jan 2014
PHX91
MEM99
06 Jan 2013
PHX81
MEM92
12 Dec 2012
PHX82
MEM80
10 Mar 2012
PHX98
MEM91
28 Jan 2012
PHX86
MEM84
08 Dec 2010
PHX98
MEM104
05 Nov 2010
PHX123
MEM118
02 Jan 2010
PHX103
MEM128
25 Nov 2009
PHX126
MEM111
13 Apr 2009
PHX119
MEM110
10 Nov 2008
PHX107
MEM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Memphis Grizzlies win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 99
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 99
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 99
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 99
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 99
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 99
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 99
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 99
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 99
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
101-96
101
96
+5
82avg 99
H13/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
28-22
27-28
17-26
29-20
229.9Avg total
114.6Scored
115.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)111.7116.1227.8-4.445%
Season at home (8)114.9114.0228.9+0.962%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)114.6115.3229.9-0.750%
Last 5 (5)109.8106.2216.0+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar (10)111.0110.9221.9+0.140%
vs Weaker (6)117.2105.8223.0+11.383%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrizzlies
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#29
W
110-105
110
105
+5
104avg 101
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
124-103
124
103
+21
121avg 101
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
136-105
136
105
+31
135avg 101
H01/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
L
134-135 OT
134
135
-1
133avg 101
H03/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
103-107
103
107
-4
97avg 101
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
97-128
97
128
-31
80avg 101
H07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
118-102
118
102
+16
120avg 101
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
118-123
118
123
-5
111avg 101
H12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
142-111
142
111
+31
145avg 101
A14/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
129-110
129
110
+19
128avg 101
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
28-31
31-24
21-29
25-25
33-33
33-25
33-20
27-21
39-34
42-25
28-25
28-34
34-25
33-41
29-24
24-32
28-22
30-26
21-27
28-35
21-36
27-27
21-30
25-26
34-27
30-28
29-21
24-35
28-30
38-29
28-29
35-28
35-30
35-28
37-25
38-23
33-31
32-30
26-26
234.0Avg total
121.1Scored
112.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)120.6111.7232.3+8.969%
Season at home (7)120.0115.9235.9+4.143%
Season away (6)121.3106.8228.2+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)121.1112.9234.0+8.260%
Last 5 (5)120.8114.8235.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)109.8128.6238.5-18.88%
vs Similar (5)114.4127.4241.8-13.040%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)120.3112.4232.8+7.967%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.7+1.7
Phoenix SunsMemphis Grizzlies
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#20
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H13/11
NBA
113.9Avg total
56.8Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.658.6116.2-1.047%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.756.9115.6+1.850%-
Last 30 away (12)55.961.2117.1-5.242%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.1113.9-0.350%-
Last 5 (5)55.051.2106.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar (10)58.357.0115.3+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)61.553.7115.2+7.883%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#29
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A27/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A30/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#28
W
66-55
66
55
+11
H01/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H03/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H05/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
49-71
49
71
-22
H07/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
59-53
59
53
+6
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#10
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A14/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
71-54
71
54
+17
H15/11
NBA
117.6Avg total
59.7Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.261.0118.2-3.933%-
Last 30 at home (16)56.760.4117.1-3.725%-
Last 30 away (14)57.761.8119.5-4.143%-
Last 10 (10)59.757.9117.6+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)60.260.2120.4+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)54.363.9118.2-9.68%-
vs Similar (5)55.862.6118.4-6.80%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)60.857.2118.1+3.675%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.026.3
56.0%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.714.3
36.0%
35.1%42.9
🏀 Free throws18.014.3
79.4%
77.3%14.3
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 119.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.127.2
53.2%
54.0%54.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.615.5
40.2%
35.1%46.5
🏀 Free throws22.218.4
82.9%
77.3%18.4
They take 89.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WWLWWLLLLW
Memphis Grizzlies
WWLWLLLWWW
#18
League position
#8
-3.5
Net rating
+8.3
110.0
Offensive rating
116.1
113.5
Defensive rating
107.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
56.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
13.9%
Turnover %
14.6%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
35.8%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.25
36.0%
3-point %
40.2%
62.8%
Assist %
65.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 116.1Defence113.5 · 107.8Shooting55.1% · 56.2%3-point %36.0% · 40.2%Ball care13.9% · 14.6%Off. rebounds29.2% · 35.8%Free throws0.21 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Memphis Grizzlies
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Phoenix Suns wins
6
Memphis Grizzlies wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HCharlotte Hornets101-96
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HBrooklyn Nets129-110
14/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans142-111
12/11/26HDenver Nuggets118-123
10/11/26AToronto Raptors118-102
07/11/26HOklahoma City Thunder97-128
05/11/26HIndiana Pacers103-107
03/11/26HNew Orleans Pelicans134-135 OT
01/11/26HSacramento Kings136-105
30/10/26APortland Trail Blazers124-103
27/10/26AUtah Jazz110-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW45%
HomeWWLWW62%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1183
Win %45%62%0%
Points / game111.7114.9103.3
Allowed / game116.1114.0121.7
Point differential-4.4+0.9-18.3
Avg total227.8228.9225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW69%
HomeLLLLW43%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %69%43%100%
Points / game120.6120.0121.3
Allowed / game111.7115.9106.8
Point differential+8.9+4.1+14.5
Avg total232.3235.9228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%43%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Antonio Spurs1311285%119.5106.2+13.2
2 Los Angeles Lakers1311285%122.2114.2+7.9
3 Boston Celtics1210283%114.2103.1+11.2
4 Philadelphia 76ers1411379%112.6110.4+2.1
5 Houston Rockets1310377%116.2107.4+8.8
6 Portland Trail Blazers129375%119.6111.8+7.8
7 Minnesota Timberwolves139469%118.3106.8+11.5
8 Memphis Grizzlies139469%120.6111.7+8.9
9 Detroit Pistons128467%115.7110.2+5.4
10 Denver Nuggets117464%114.6112.8+1.8
11 Golden State Warriors138562%116.7112.4+4.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder138562%111.2107.4+3.8
13 Atlanta Hawks137654%118.2116.8+1.3
14 Dallas Mavericks137654%113.5113.3+0.2
15 Miami Heat137654%118.7119.8-1.2
16 New York Knicks126650%109.8103.7+6.1
17 Cleveland Cavaliers147750%117.5115.9+1.6
18 Phoenix Suns115645%111.7116.1-4.4
19 Toronto Raptors125742%114.2112.8+1.4
20 Orlando Magic125742%108.3112.8-4.4
21 Indiana Pacers145936%112.1114.5-2.4
22 Charlotte Hornets124833%98.6109.6-11.0
23 Washington Wizards134931%110.0115.8-5.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans1441029%115.9124.9-9.1
25 Los Angeles Clippers113827%112.3117.5-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets123925%110.2116.4-6.2
27 Chicago Bulls123925%114.6125.9-11.3
28 Sacramento Kings121118%108.2120.9-12.8
29 Utah Jazz131128%107.5118.6-11.2
30 Milwaukee Bucks131128%106.2120.2-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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