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Phoenix Suns vs Washington Wizards Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 02 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#19
Record4-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game118.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#21
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game113.4
USANBA· Mortgage Matchup Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Phoenix Suns v Washington Wizards
01 Mar 2027
PHX v WAS
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
PHX112
WAS93
25 Jan 2025
PHX119
WAS109
17 Dec 2023
PHX112
WAS108
20 Dec 2022
PHX110
WAS113
16 Dec 2021
PHX118
WAS98
10 Apr 2021
PHX134
WAS106
27 Nov 2019
PHX132
WAS140
27 Mar 2019
PHX121
WAS124
07 Dec 2017
PHX99
WAS109
07 Mar 2017
PHX127
WAS131
01 Apr 2016
PHX99
WAS106
28 Jan 2015
PHX106
WAS98
24 Jan 2014
PHX95
WAS101
20 Mar 2013
PHX79
WAS88
20 Feb 2012
PHX104
WAS88
05 Dec 2010
PHX125
WAS108
19 Dec 2009
PHX121
WAS95
21 Mar 2009
PHX128
WAS96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Phoenix Suns win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Phoenix SunsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSuns
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
83-124
83
124
-41
61avg 102
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
131-122
131
122
+9
133avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
114-125
114
125
-11
102avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
120-127
120
127
-7
117avg 102
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
113-116
113
116
-3
104avg 102
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
119-132
119
132
-13
105avg 102
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
117-104
117
104
+13
110avg 102
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
102-99
102
99
+3
100avg 102
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
96-122
96
122
-26
76avg 102
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
133-110
133
110
+23
131avg 102
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-43
27-29
27-35
17-17
22-25
35-29
45-38
29-30
27-33
26-34
32-32
29-26
37-32
30-39
26-32
27-24
31-19
26-32
36-42
20-23
34-29
25-43
26-32
34-28
33-26
30-25
33-22
21-31
35-23
12-24
29-28
26-24
25-31
21-30
22-32
28-29
29-18
35-29
35-25
34-38
230.9Avg total
112.8Scored
118.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Season at home (7)116.9116.6233.4+0.357%
Season away (3)103.3121.7225.0-18.30%
Last 10 (10)112.8118.1230.9-5.340%
Last 5 (5)113.4113.4226.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)109.6118.7228.4-9.121%
vs Similar ◀ (11)110.4111.4221.7-1.036%
vs Weaker (5)120.4107.8228.2+12.680%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
102-112
102
112
-10
91avg 97
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
124-120
124
120
+4
118avg 97
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
103-110
103
110
-7
94avg 97
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
111-121
111
121
-10
105avg 97
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
95-79
95
79
+16
92avg 97
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
101avg 97
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
105-120
105
120
-15
96avg 97
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
132-139
132
139
-7
126avg 97
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
75-114
75
114
-39
54avg 97
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
111-122
111
122
-11
96avg 97
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-34
31-26
25-21
25-31
28-27
29-35
40-20
27-38
21-19
23-35
24-26
35-30
42-34
27-25
23-33
19-29
22-26
29-20
28-13
16-20
28-33
32-26
19-9
24-26
32-37
29-31
24-25
20-27
32-28
27-38
35-39
38-34
19-25
17-32
23-33
16-24
32-31
26-37
29-35
24-19
219.2Avg total
106.1Scored
113.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)108.1113.4221.5-5.336%
Season at home (4)107.5106.8214.2+0.850%
Season away (7)108.4117.1225.6-8.729%
Last 10 (10)106.1113.1219.2-7.030%
Last 5 (5)105.2117.8223.0-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)111.8129.2241.0-17.40%
vs Similar ◀ (3)117.0108.3225.3+8.767%
vs Weaker (4)112.5106.2218.8+6.275%
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: -4.7-4.7Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -3.4-3.4
Phoenix SunsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Phoenix SunsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
39-72
39
72
-33
A22/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H25/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
53-67
53
67
-14
A27/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#15
L
67-71
67
71
-4
H31/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A03/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
H05/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H06/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H08/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
46-61
46
61
-15
H10/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H11/11
NBA
114.5Avg total
55.2Scored
59.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.859.1116.9-1.243%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.957.3116.2+1.647%-
Last 30 away (13)56.561.4117.8-4.938%-
Last 10 (10)55.259.3114.5-4.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.855.6111.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)55.461.9117.2-6.529%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)58.757.6116.4+1.145%-
vs Weaker (5)62.854.4117.2+8.480%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#16
L
52-60
52
60
-8
H23/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
57-62
57
62
-5
A25/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A26/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
69-59
69
59
+10
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
W
51-46
51
46
+5
H30/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#23
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A03/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
61-68
61
68
-7
H05/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A07/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#8
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A08/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#9
L
58-68
58
68
-10
A10/11
NBA
114.6Avg total
54.7Scored
59.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.662.9117.5-8.213%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.762.4117.1-7.88%-
Last 30 away (18)54.663.2117.8-8.617%-
Last 10 (10)54.759.9114.6-5.230%-
Last 5 (5)54.863.6118.4-8.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)54.365.4119.8-11.14%-
vs Similar ◀ (3)62.054.3116.3+7.767%-
vs Weaker (4)50.854.5105.2-3.825%-
This opponent (Phoenix Suns) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Phoenix Sunstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Phoenix Suns: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.8
56.4%
54.0%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.913.9
36.7%
35.0%41.7
🏀 Free throws19.715.4
78.2%
76.8%15.4
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.731.7
55.9%
54.0%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.9
34.2%
35.0%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.518.7
79.6%
76.8%18.7
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Phoenix Suns
WLWWLLLLWL
Washington Wizards
LLLLWWLLWL
#19
League position
#21
-4.4
Net rating
-5.8
110.8
Offensive rating
108.3
115.2
Defensive rating
114.2
55.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
14.5%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
22.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.7%
3-point %
34.2%
61.9%
Assist %
58.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence110.8 · 108.3Defence115.2 · 114.2Shooting55.8% · 54.2%3-point %36.7% · 34.2%Ball care14.5% · 13.6%Off. rebounds29.9% · 22.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Phoenix Suns   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Phoenix Suns wins
2
Washington Wizards wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HLos Angeles Clippers133-110
10/11/26HSan Antonio Spurs96-122
08/11/26HHouston Rockets102-99
06/11/26HOrlando Magic117-104
05/11/26HPortland Trail Blazers119-132
03/11/26AGolden State Warriors113-116
31/10/26HDenver Nuggets120-127
27/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder114-125
25/10/26HGolden State Warriors131-122
22/10/26APortland Trail Blazers83-124
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ADetroit Pistons111-122
08/11/26AOklahoma City Thunder75-114
07/11/26AAtlanta Hawks132-139
05/11/26HAtlanta Hawks105-120
03/11/26AOrlando Magic103-94
30/10/26HCharlotte Hornets95-79
28/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers111-121
26/10/26ACharlotte Hornets103-110
25/10/26AChicago Bulls124-120
23/10/26HToronto Raptors102-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Phoenix Suns
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW40%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1073
Win %40%57%0%
Points / game112.8116.9103.3
Allowed / game118.1116.6121.7
Point differential-5.3+0.3-18.3
Avg total230.9233.4225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %36%50%29%
Points / game108.1107.5108.4
Allowed / game113.4106.8117.1
Point differential-5.3+0.8-8.7
Avg total221.5214.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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