PythiaBasketballBETA
NBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Pinheiros face Cruzeiro in the NBB on 19 November 2026, with the model rating Pinheiros as the clear favourite at 88% because of their 6-2 record, 85.2 points per game and 73.1 allowed per game, placing them third in the league, while Cruzeiro sits at 3-3 with 76.2 points scored and 78.8 allowed, ninth in the standings; Pinheiros have won both of their previous meetings, including a 101-79 win on 12 March 2026, and their last five games show four victories and one loss, with a recent 91-79 win over Corinthians Paulista away, whereas Cruzeiro's last five include two wins and three losses, with a recent 78-74 win over Bauru away; the projected score is 88-75, giving a projected total of 163.5 points, and the model gives Pinheiros a 88% chance to win and 12% to lose, with a 3% chance of overtime, while the home team's line is 88-75 and the probability that Pinheiros cover it is 88%. The game will be decided by Pinheiros' strong offensive output and defensive consistency, as reflected in their season numbers.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 85.2 | 73.1 | 158.4 | +12.1 | 75% |
| Season at home (4) | 84.8 | 72.0 | 156.8 | +12.8 | 75% |
| Season away (4) | 85.8 | 74.2 | 160.0 | +11.5 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 85.2 | 76.2 | 161.4 | +9.0 | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.8 | 75.6 | 164.4 | +13.2 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (7) | 79.1 | 83.9 | 163.0 | -4.7 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 86.4 | 74.4 | 160.9 | +12.0 | 83% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 76.2 | 78.8 | 155.0 | -2.7 | 50% |
| Season at home (2) | 78.0 | 78.5 | 156.5 | -0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (4) | 75.2 | 79.0 | 154.2 | -3.8 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 81.5 | 85.7 | 167.2 | -4.2 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.0 | 82.4 | 159.4 | -5.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 83.8 | 93.3 | 177.1 | -9.5 | 19% |
| vs Similar (7) | 79.7 | 79.7 | 159.4 | +0.0 | 43% |
| vs Weaker (7) | 81.6 | 74.3 | 155.9 | +7.3 | 86% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.0 | 38.7 | 81.7 | +4.2 | 63% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.6 | 37.1 | 81.7 | +7.5 | 77% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 41.7 | 40.0 | 81.7 | +1.7 | 53% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.9 | 36.6 | 78.5 | +5.3 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 35.2 | 78.2 | +7.8 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (7) | 42.6 | 43.9 | 86.4 | -1.3 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 43.1 | 37.2 | 80.3 | +5.9 | 65% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 40.3 | 42.6 | 83.0 | -2.3 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (11) | 42.9 | 41.1 | 84.0 | +1.8 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (19) | 38.8 | 43.5 | 82.4 | -4.7 | 32% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 41.1 | 43.1 | 84.2 | -2.0 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.2 | 38.2 | 78.4 | +2.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (16) | 40.7 | 46.7 | 87.4 | -6.0 | 25% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 42.6 | 37.3 | 79.9 | +5.3 | 71% | - |
| vs Weaker (7) | 37.3 | 38.7 | 76.0 | -1.4 | 57% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.3 | 16.7 | 49.8% | 33.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 32.3 | 11.1 | 31.6% | 33.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 18.4 | 12.7 | 71.3% | 12.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 40.3 | 20.4 | 49.8% | 40.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 23.6 | 8.0 | 31.6% | 24.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 17.7 | 13.1 | 71.3% | 13.1 |
Pinheiros
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 | Pinheiros v Cruzeiro | 101-79 |
| 23/11/25 | Cruzeiro v Pinheiros | 89-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Corinthians Paulista | 91-79 |
| 09/11/26 | H | Mogi | 70-85 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Sao Jose | 103-87 |
| 02/11/26 | H | Caxias do Sul | 91-53 |
| 29/10/26 | A | Osasco | 89-74 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Uniao Corinthians | 75-63 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Cearense | 98-63 |
| 19/10/26 | A | Unifacisa | 65-81 |
| 07/06/26 | A | Franca | 76-85 |
| 04/06/26 | H | Franca | 94-92 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWLW | 75% |
| Home | WWWL | 75% |
| Away | LWWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 4 | 4 |
| Win % | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Points / game | 85.2 | 84.8 | 85.8 |
| Allowed / game | 73.1 | 72.0 | 74.2 |
| Point differential | +12.1 | +12.8 | +11.5 |
| Avg total | 158.4 | 156.8 | 160.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 50% |
| Home | LW | 50% |
| Away | WLWL | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 2 | 4 |
| Win % | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Points / game | 76.2 | 78.0 | 75.2 |
| Allowed / game | 78.8 | 78.5 | 79.0 |
| Point differential | -2.7 | -0.5 | -3.8 |
| Avg total | 155.0 | 156.5 | 154.2 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 17% | 0% | 25% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Minas | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 85.1 | 65.4 | +19.8 |
| 2 |  Mogi | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 83.1 | 73.9 | +9.3 |
| 3 | Pinheiros | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 85.2 | 73.1 | +12.1 |
| 4 |  Flamengo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 80.9 | 73.4 | +7.4 |
| 5 |  Unifacisa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 79.4 | 75.1 | +4.3 |
| 6 |  Franca | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 78.9 | 71.6 | +7.2 |
| 7 |  Uniao Corinthians | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 72.3 | 74.7 | -2.4 |
| 8 |  Brasilia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 80.6 | 79.8 | +0.9 |
| 9 | Cruzeiro | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 76.2 | 78.8 | -2.7 |
| 10 |  Corinthians Paulista | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 79.0 | +1.0 |
| 11 |  Bauru | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 77.7 | -1.0 |
| 12 |  Sao Jose | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.3 | 81.7 | -1.4 |
| 13 |  Paulistano | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 69.6 | 73.9 | -4.3 |
| 14 |  Botafogo | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 76.7 | 83.0 | -6.3 |
| 15 |  Pato | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 72.6 | 81.5 | -8.9 |
| 16 |  Osasco | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17% | 77.8 | 86.8 | -9.0 |
| 17 |  Cearense | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 65.6 | 83.7 | -18.1 |
| 18 |  Caxias do Sul | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 64.7 | 79.6 | -14.9 |
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