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Pinheiros vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 75-81
20-19 21-18 16-22 18-22
Position#13
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game77.4
vs
Position#11
Record1-5
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game85.2
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim (Sao Paulo)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Pinheiros v Sao Paulo
08 Feb 2025
PINH80
SAO 71
17 Nov 2023
PINH75
SAO 81
03 May 2023
PINH60
SAO 77
01 May 2023
PINH115
SAO 107
30 Jan 2023
PINH79
SAO 89
15 Feb 2022
PINH92
SAO 98
19 Nov 2020
PINH73
SAO 100
20 Nov 2019
PINH78
SAO 88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
78-60
78
60
+18
no box
H22/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
77-92
77
92
-15
no box
A28/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
115-107
115
107
+8
no box
H01/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
60-77
60
77
-17
no box
H04/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
no box
A06/05
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
69-62
69
62
+7
75avg 70
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
76-94
76
94
-18
68avg 70
A23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
68-72
68
72
-4
57avg 70
H09/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
70-74
70
74
-4
66avg 70
A11/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
88-85
88
85
+3
86avg 70
A13/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
22-11
12-12
24-19
21-27
19-24
21-19
16-22
20-29
30-22
34-21
31-35
12-25
10-13
15-21
23-18
22-27
15-17
21-17
15-24
18-12
21-13
19-15
11-22
25-25
17-24
11-24
23-21
12-21
22-22
18-20
16-9
24-19
18-18
14-19
14-18
21-29
31-12
21-20
15-24
158.2Avg total
77.4Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)74.277.4151.6-3.240%
Season at home (1)68.072.0140.0-4.00%
Season away (4)75.878.8154.5-3.050%
Last 10 (10)77.480.8158.2-3.440%
Last 5 (5)74.277.4151.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.479.2152.6-5.820%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.681.1156.7-5.530%
vs Weaker (14)85.374.6159.9+10.786%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
H31/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
92-94
92
94
-2
no box
H03/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
86-81
86
81
+5
no box
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
68-92
68
92
-24
no box
A10/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
92-100
92
100
-8
80avg 66
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
66-87
66
87
-21
55avg 66
A24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
52-71
52
71
-19
34avg 66
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 66
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
94-86
94
86
+8
99avg 66
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
78-81
78
81
-3
70avg 66
A14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
22-15
19-27
24-27
27-23
20-29
25-19
20-23
34-24
8-18
23-24
21-15
13-27
21-18
16-19
18-28
27-18
16-24
22-27
27-31
11-21
21-24
22-24
12-18
9-17
16-17
14-19
13-18
24-23
19-26
12-19
15-18
21-19
24-19
21-24
28-24
16-19
18-20
19-18
25-24
164.4Avg total
77.8Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.385.2160.5-9.817%
Season at home (2)82.086.0168.0-4.050%
Season away (4)72.084.8156.8-12.80%
Last 10 (10)77.886.6164.4-8.820%
Last 5 (5)72.082.2154.2-10.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)80.683.7164.3-3.146%
vs Similar ◀ (11)80.082.6162.6-2.645%
vs Weaker (6)85.878.7164.5+7.267%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.7-3.7Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -2.7-2.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: -2.3-2.3
PinheirosSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H22/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
40-51
40
51
-11
A28/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H01/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
22-38
22
38
-16
H04/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A06/05
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
39-25
39
25
+14
A21/10
NBB
Brasilia
#19
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A23/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H09/11
NBB
Bauru
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A11/11
NBB
Franca
#1
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A13/11
NBB
80.8Avg total
40.0Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.880.2+2.663%-
Last 30 at home (12)41.237.778.8+3.558%-
Last 30 away (18)41.639.681.2+1.967%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.880.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.080.8+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.640.880.4-1.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.339.979.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker (14)43.736.880.5+6.986%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H31/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H03/06
NBB
Franca
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A08/06
NBB
Franca
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A10/06
NBB
Franca
#1
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
25-34
25
34
-9
A02/11
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H06/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H08/11
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A14/11
NBB
80.2Avg total
38.2Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.440.081.3+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.838.983.6+5.971%-
Last 30 away (16)38.440.979.3-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)38.242.080.2-3.830%-
Last 5 (5)35.841.076.8-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)39.240.779.8-1.546%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.140.380.4-0.255%-
vs Weaker (6)48.537.886.3+10.767%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 73.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.415.2
46.9%
51.8%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.011.0
42.3%
33.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws16.29.6
59.3%
72.6%9.6
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.816.0
47.3%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.2
33.5%
33.9%27.5
🏀 Free throws18.814.5
77.0%
72.6%14.5
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
WLLLWLLWLW
Sao Paulo
LWLLLLLWLL
#13
League position
#11
-5.9
Net rating
-15.0
97.9
Offensive rating
102.4
103.9
Defensive rating
117.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
23.1%
Turnover %
13.7%
23.8%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.31
42.3%
3-point %
33.5%
73.3%
Assist %
62.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.9 · 102.4Defence103.9 · 117.4Shooting54.3% · 48.6%3-point %42.3% · 33.5%Ball care23.1% · 13.7%Off. rebounds23.8% · 20.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pinheiros wins
9
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
06/05/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros85-73
04/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo60-77
01/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo115-107
28/04/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros92-77
30/01/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo79-89
21/01/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros100-78
01/11/22Sao Paulo v Pinheiros76-72
15/02/22Pinheiros v Sao Paulo92-98
18/11/21Sao Paulo v Pinheiros86-70
10/02/21Sao Paulo v Pinheiros100-74
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/23AFranca88-85
11/11/23ABauru70-74
09/11/23HPaulistano68-72
23/10/23ABrasilia76-94
21/10/23ACerrado69-62
06/05/23ASao Paulo73-85
04/05/23HSao Paulo60-77
01/05/23HSao Paulo115-107
28/04/23ASao Paulo77-92
22/04/23HCaxias do Sul78-60
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23ACorinthians Paulista78-81
08/11/23HUnifacisa94-86
06/11/23HCearense70-86
02/11/23APaulistano52-71
24/10/23ABauru66-87
21/10/23AFranca92-100
10/06/23AFranca68-92
08/06/23AFranca86-81
03/06/23HFranca92-94
31/05/23HFranca80-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeL0%
AwayWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %40%0%50%
Points / game74.268.075.8
Allowed / game77.472.078.8
Point differential-3.2-4.0-3.0
Avg total151.6140.0154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL17%
HomeLW50%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %17%50%0%
Points / game75.382.072.0
Allowed / game85.286.084.8
Point differential-9.8-4.0-12.8
Avg total160.5168.0156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas660100%85.070.5+14.5
2 Flamengo65183%82.569.7+12.8
3 Cearense65183%77.272.2+5.0
4 Vasco75271%70.166.1+4.0
5 Franca64267%89.380.7+8.7
6 Caxias do Sul64267%74.073.3+0.7
7 Paulistano64267%68.568.7-0.2
8 Corinthians Paulista53260%78.876.2+2.6
9 Uniao Corinthians74357%76.676.9-0.3
10 Pato95456%76.677.1-0.6
11 Unifacisa63350%74.271.0+3.2
12 Bauru84450%75.177.8-2.6
13 Sao Jose52340%77.074.0+3.0
14 Pinheiros52340%74.277.4-3.2
15 Brasilia72529%75.784.0-8.3
16 Sao Paulo61517%75.385.2-9.8
17 Cerrado71614%71.176.0-4.9
18 Botafogo81712%73.983.2-9.4
19 Mogi6060%69.078.0-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros2021161875
Sao Paulo1918222281
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