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Pinheiros vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 08 Feb 2025
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 80-71
16-15 24-15 27-26 13-15
Position#5
Record12-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game74.7
vs
Position#13
Record10-13
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game79.1
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Poliesportivo Henrique Villaboim
Other2024-25
Meetings · Pinheiros v Sao Paulo
08 Feb 2025
PINH80
SAO 71
17 Nov 2023
PINH75
SAO 81
03 May 2023
PINH60
SAO 77
01 May 2023
PINH115
SAO 107
30 Jan 2023
PINH79
SAO 89
15 Feb 2022
PINH92
SAO 98
19 Nov 2020
PINH73
SAO 100
20 Nov 2019
PINH78
SAO 88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sao Paulo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PinheirosBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPinheiros
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
W
76-74
76
74
+2
66avg 65
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
77-76
77
76
+1
62avg 65
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
101-92 OT
101
92
+9
98avg 65
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
48avg 65
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
86-90
86
90
-4
66avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
75-63
75
63
+12
69avg 65
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
87-70
87
70
+17
85avg 65
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
65-86
65
86
-21
60avg 65
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
59-91
59
91
-32
49avg 65
A26/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#12
L
61-69
61
69
-8
32avg 65
H05/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
21-16
22-17
19-21
13-21
23-27
23-21
18-7
25-23
22-17
14-18
21-24
30-22
8-19
17-24
18-15
16-22
18-19
25-21
27-28
20-10
24-18
12-14
19-21
27-15
25-24
17-19
18-12
25-24
14-26
19-26
7-10
14-25
14-21
16-23
15-22
13-16
19-15
15-20
14-18
155.1Avg total
76.0Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)75.574.7150.3+0.855%
Season at home (11)74.576.4150.8-1.945%
Season away (11)76.673.1149.7+3.564%
Last 10 (10)76.079.1155.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)69.475.8145.2-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)67.173.8140.9-6.625%
vs Similar (13)75.477.2152.6-1.838%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)79.171.2150.4+7.988%
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulo
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
W
82-71
82
71
+11
74avg 74
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
85-83
85
83
+2
76avg 74
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
63-77
63
77
-14
58avg 74
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
77avg 74
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
70avg 74
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
69-80
69
80
-11
66avg 74
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
65-75
65
75
-10
56avg 74
A21/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
80-89
80
89
-9
75avg 74
H23/01
NBB
Minas
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
60avg 74
A25/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
66-90
66
90
-24
50avg 74
H04/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
18-14
20-25
17-13
30-23
27-25
13-21
15-14
21-14
19-13
13-24
10-26
15-24
29-19
18-21
14-16
21-18
12-23
20-18
20-16
14-26
20-19
15-24
20-11
13-16
15-20
20-19
17-20
23-22
18-20
19-28
20-19
24-16
14-20
18-25
10-21
18-22
14-31
18-18
16-19
152.7Avg total
72.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.079.1156.1-2.243%
Season at home (12)77.778.8156.4-1.150%
Season away (11)76.279.5155.7-3.436%
Last 10 (10)72.580.2152.7-7.720%
Last 5 (5)69.283.2152.4-14.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)75.980.5156.5-4.647%
vs Similar (10)80.183.0163.1-2.940%
vs Weaker (4)78.577.0155.5+1.550%
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -4.9-4.9Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
PinheirosSao Paulo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cearense
#17
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H14/12
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A17/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#15
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A21/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A23/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/12
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H09/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H11/01
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H18/01
NBB
Franca
#4
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#12
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H05/02
NBB
78.5Avg total
38.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.638.174.6-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.839.378.2-0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)34.837.171.9-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.540.078.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.038.877.8+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.037.071.0-3.050%-
vs Similar (13)37.140.877.8-3.738%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)39.433.873.1+5.675%-
This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#18
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/12
NBB
Minas
#1
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A23/12
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A28/12
NBB
Bauru
#4
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A11/01
NBB
Mogi
#16
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#2
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H23/01
NBB
Minas
#2
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A25/01
Super 8
Corinthians Paulista
#8
L
32-53
32
53
-21
H04/02
NBB
79.6Avg total
39.2Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.278.1-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.740.378.0-2.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.940.278.1-2.244%-
Last 10 (10)39.240.479.6-1.250%-
Last 5 (5)34.642.477.0-7.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.540.476.9-3.933%-
vs Similar (10)40.141.781.8-1.640%-
vs Weaker (4)37.237.074.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Pinheiros) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pinheirostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pinheiros: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.619.1
50.8%
50.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.87.4
28.7%
33.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.014.8
67.3%
72.7%14.8
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sao Paulotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Paulo: 71.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.4
52.9%
50.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.3
29.3%
33.0%21.9
🏀 Free throws20.514.6
71.2%
72.7%14.6
They take 57.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Feb 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pinheiros
LLLWWLLWWW
Sao Paulo
LLLLLLLLWW
#5
League position
#13
-3.9
Net rating
-11.4
100.8
Offensive rating
97.5
104.7
Defensive rating
108.9
47.6%
Effective FG%
49.0%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
19.6%
Turnover %
20.9%
33.2%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.35
28.7%
3-point %
29.3%
54.7%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence100.8 · 97.5Defence104.7 · 108.9Shooting47.6% · 49.0%3-point %28.7% · 29.3%Ball care19.6% · 20.9%Off. rebounds33.2% · 25.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Pinheiros   ■ Sao Paulo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Pinheiros wins
8
Sao Paulo wins
DateGameScore
05/11/24Sao Paulo v Pinheiros69-76
29/02/24Sao Paulo v Pinheiros79-74
17/11/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo75-81
06/05/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros85-73
04/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo60-77
01/05/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo115-107
28/04/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros92-77
30/01/23Pinheiros v Sao Paulo79-89
21/01/23Sao Paulo v Pinheiros100-78
01/11/22Sao Paulo v Pinheiros76-72
Pinheiroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/02/25HPaulistano61-69
26/01/25AFranca59-91
18/01/25HFlamengo65-86
11/01/25HVasco87-70
09/01/25HBotafogo75-63
27/12/24APato86-90
23/12/24AUniao Corinthians73-80
21/12/24ACaxias do Sul101-92 OT
17/12/24ASao Jose77-76
14/12/24HCearense76-74
Sao Paulolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/25HCorinthians Paulista66-90
25/01/25AMinas66-82
23/01/25HSao Jose80-89
21/01/25AFranca65-75
17/01/25HMogi69-80
11/01/25ABauru73-75
28/12/24APaulistano76-80
23/12/24AMinas63-77
21/12/24ABrasilia85-83
15/12/24HBotafogo82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL55%
HomeWWWLL45%
AwayWWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %55%45%64%
Points / game75.574.576.6
Allowed / game74.776.473.1
Point differential+0.8-1.9+3.5
Avg total150.3150.8149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%27%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Sao Paulo
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL43%
HomeLWLLL50%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %43%50%36%
Points / game77.077.776.2
Allowed / game79.178.879.5
Point differential-2.2-1.1-3.4
Avg total156.1156.4155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)67% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2118386%83.371.2+12.1
2 Flamengo2116576%84.172.8+11.4
3 Brasilia2415962%82.080.5+1.5
4 Uniao Corinthians2213959%78.478.3+0.1
5 Franca2112957%80.978.0+2.9
6 Paulistano22121055%78.074.7+3.4
7 Pinheiros22121055%75.574.7+0.8
8 Bauru22121055%78.580.2-1.7
9 Sao Jose23121152%78.877.0+1.7
10 Unifacisa23121152%75.975.1+0.8
11 Vasco24121250%74.675.3-0.7
12 Corinthians Paulista23111248%81.480.2+1.2
13 Sao Paulo23101343%77.079.1-2.2
14 Pato2491538%81.883.9-2.1
15 Mogi2491538%73.879.2-5.4
16 Caxias do Sul2371630%73.078.6-5.6
17 Cearense2361726%70.277.3-7.2
18 Botafogo2361726%72.680.8-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pinheiros1624271380
Sao Paulo1515261571
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