Sao Paulo vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 23:00

Final 92-77

27-21 24-19 19-21 22-16

Position#3

Record22-10

FormLLLLW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game79.6

Sao Paulo 🏆

Pinheiros

Position#6

Record22-12

FormLWWWW

Points / game80.9

Allowed / game76.8

NBBNBB - Quarter-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Sao Paulo v Pinheiros

SAO 100

SAO 100

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Pinheiros winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

79-99

-20

H17/02

NBB

Bauru

81-74

A02/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

70-64

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

99-76

+23

H07/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

88-72

+16

H10/03

NBB

Minas

76-87

-11

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

84-97

-13

A30/03

NBB

Flamengo

70-79

-9

A01/04

NBB

Paulistano

57-99

-42

A11/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

95-64

+31

H15/04

NBB

24-33

18-15

26-27

11-24

26-15

17-17

19-22

19-20

23-13

22-15

9-17

16-19

22-25

28-17

24-15

25-19

24-29

31-11

14-21

19-11

19-21

14-22

25-17

18-27

22-23

22-25

21-21

19-28

20-17

14-20

12-23

24-19

7-33

19-23

13-19

18-24

27-12

28-9

25-26

15-17

161.0Avg total

79.9Scored

81.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (32)	85.6	79.6	165.2	+6.0	69%
Season at home (16)	86.5	78.3	164.8	+8.2	75%
Season away (16)	84.7	80.9	165.6	+3.8	62%
Last 10 (10)	79.9	81.1	161.0	-1.2	50%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	85.2	161.6	-8.8	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.5	91.0	167.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	80.2	81.1	161.4	-0.9	50%
vs Weaker (17)	87.7	78.3	166.0	+9.4	71%

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Pinheiros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

99-82

+17

A03/03

NBB

Pato

#12

76-69

H09/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

78-69

H11/03

NBB

Unifacisa

80-69

+11

A22/03

NBB

Cearense

#14

92-78

+14

A24/03

NBB

Bauru

71-82

-11

A29/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

89-82 OT

H05/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

94-70

+24

H08/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

73-59

+14

A18/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-60

+18

H22/04

NBB

34-24

18-22

22-14

25-22

23-19

15-11

15-16

23-23

19-22

25-16

16-14

18-17

17-19

22-13

22-12

19-25

23-14

23-23

29-19

17-22

19-18

26-18

15-26

11-20

20-18

12-20

19-16

22-19

28-20

26-15

19-18

21-17

22-11

13-17

23-16

15-15

20-18

22-11

12-12

24-19

155.0Avg total

83.0Scored

72.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	80.9	76.8	157.7	+4.1	65%
Season at home (17)	83.5	75.3	158.8	+8.2	76%
Season away (17)	78.3	78.2	156.5	+0.1	53%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	72.0	155.0	+11.0	90%
Last 5 (5)	81.0	70.6	151.6	+10.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	83.3	156.0	-10.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (8)	72.0	76.1	148.1	-4.1	38%
vs Weaker (18)	87.4	76.0	163.4	+11.4	89%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sao PauloPinheiros

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	21.6	42.9	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	23.1	44.9	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	20.0	40.9	+0.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.2	40.2	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.8	21.9	41.6	-2.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.3	20.9	43.2	+1.4	59%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.8	39.7	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	19.1	39.1	+0.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	18.3	40.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.9	19.0	36.9	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	23.1	18.8	41.9	+4.3	72%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	17.7	38.9	+3.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	16.1	37.5	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.4	38.7	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	18.8	35.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.1	17.8	37.9	+2.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.2	17.4	39.6	+4.8	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.8	20.2	40.9	+0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	19.4	41.2	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.9	40.7	-1.2	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	16.6	36.8	+3.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	16.2	36.0	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.9	50%	-

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Unifacisa

42-48

-6

H17/02

NBB

Bauru

43-32

+11

A02/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

45-28

+17

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

50-42

H07/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

55-40

+15

H10/03

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

44-48

-4

A30/03

NBB

Flamengo

34-37

-3

A01/04

NBB

Paulistano

26-56

-30

A11/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

55-21

+34

H15/04

NBB

82.2Avg total

42.7Scored

39.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	39.3	81.7	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	39.3	82.3	+3.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	39.3	81.1	+2.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	39.5	82.2	+3.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	41.0	79.4	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	42.5	80.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	39.9	39.6	79.5	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.5	38.4	82.9	+6.2	71%	-

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Rio Claro

#16

52-46

A03/03

NBB

Pato

#12

38-30

H09/03

NBB

Corinthians Paulista

44-38

H11/03

NBB

Unifacisa

39-32

A22/03

NBB

Cearense

#14

46-37

A24/03

NBB

Bauru

45-36

A29/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

32-38

-6

H05/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

54-35

+19

H08/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

35-28

A18/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

42-29

+13

H22/04

NBB

77.6Avg total

42.7Scored

34.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	38.9	80.7	+2.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.8	37.8	81.6	+6.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.7	40.1	79.7	-0.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	34.9	77.6	+7.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	33.2	74.8	+8.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	42.3	79.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	37.9	38.2	76.1	-0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker (18)	44.4	38.2	82.6	+6.2	83%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.5	41.0	+1.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	19.3	41.1	+2.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.1	19.7	40.9	+1.4	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	20.8	39.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	23.0	37.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	20.6	20.2	40.9	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (17)	23.3	18.2	41.5	+5.1	53%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.7	38.8	+1.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.7	17.6	37.3	+2.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	19.9	40.3	+0.5	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	16.3	35.5	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.6	35.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	25.0	48.3	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	17.2	18.8	36.0	-1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	20.6	17.4	37.9	+3.2	72%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.4	41.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.5	39.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.3	43.8	-2.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.4	20.8	39.2	-2.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	19.9	21.8	41.6	-1.9	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	19.6	38.8	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.0	19.6	37.6	-1.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	19.9	39.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.3	16.0	28.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	16.9	19.1	36.0	-2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (18)	21.6	19.9	41.4	+1.7	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	40.9	82.7	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.9	38.8	80.7	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.6	43.1	84.7	-1.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	41.6	78.8	-4.4	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.0	44.2	82.2	-6.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	44.5	80.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	40.4	41.5	81.9	-1.1	25%	-
vs Weaker (17)	43.2	39.9	83.1	+3.2	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	38.3	77.6	+0.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.1	37.2	77.3	+2.9	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.4	39.5	77.9	-1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.7	36.2	74.9	+2.5	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	35.6	71.8	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	41.0	76.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (8)	34.1	37.9	72.0	-3.8	38%	-
vs Weaker (18)	42.1	37.3	79.4	+4.8	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sao Paulo wins

Pinheiros wins

Date	Game	Score
30/01/23	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	79-89
21/01/23	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	100-78
01/11/22	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	76-72
15/02/22	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	92-98
18/11/21	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	86-70
10/02/21	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	100-74
19/11/20	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	73-100
20/11/19	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	78-88

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/23	H	Cerrado	95-64
11/04/23	A	Paulistano	57-99
01/04/23	A	Flamengo	70-79
30/03/23	A	Sao Jose	84-97
14/03/23	A	Minas	76-87
10/03/23	H	Brasilia	88-72
07/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	99-76
04/03/23	H	Caxias do Sul	70-64
02/03/23	A	Bauru	81-74
17/02/23	H	Unifacisa	79-99

Pinheiroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/04/23	H	Caxias do Sul	78-60
18/04/23	A	Caxias do Sul	73-59
08/04/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-70
05/04/23	H	Caxias do Sul	89-82 OT
29/03/23	A	Bauru	71-82
24/03/23	A	Cearense	92-78
22/03/23	A	Unifacisa	80-69
11/03/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	78-69
09/03/23	H	Pato	76-69
03/03/23	A	Rio Claro	99-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	69%
Home	LWWWW	75%
Away	WLLLL	62%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	32	16	16
Win %	69%	75%	62%
Points / game	85.6	86.5	84.7
Allowed / game	79.6	78.3	80.9
Point differential	+6.0	+8.2	+3.8
Avg total	165.2	164.8	165.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	44%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

Pinheiros

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	65%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	WWWLW	53%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	65%	76%	53%
Points / game	80.9	83.5	78.3
Allowed / game	76.8	75.3	78.2
Point differential	+4.1	+8.2	+0.1
Avg total	157.7	158.8	156.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	41%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	32	32	0	100%	90.5	77.0	+13.5
2	Flamengo	33	29	4	88%	84.8	68.6	+16.1
3	Minas	33	23	10	70%	86.5	79.0	+7.5
4	Sao Paulo	32	22	10	69%	85.6	79.6	+6.0
5	Pinheiros	34	22	12	65%	80.9	76.8	+4.1
6	Paulistano	36	23	13	64%	78.9	73.6	+5.4
7	Bauru	36	21	15	58%	77.8	72.0	+5.9
8	Unifacisa	34	18	16	53%	78.3	79.1	-0.8
9	Corinthians Paulista	34	17	17	50%	80.7	79.5	+1.2
10	Sao Jose	35	16	19	46%	80.7	82.5	-1.8
11	Caxias do Sul	34	12	22	35%	72.5	76.4	-3.9
12	Pato	35	11	24	31%	77.4	84.3	-7.0
13	Uniao Corinthians	32	10	22	31%	78.6	82.4	-3.9
14	Cearense	32	9	23	28%	73.8	83.8	-10.0
15	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	77.7	87.8	-10.2
16	Rio Claro	32	7	25	22%	75.9	88.4	-12.5
17	Cerrado	32	5	27	16%	81.3	92.4	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sao Paulo	27	24	19	22	92
Pinheiros	21	19	21	16	77

← all games of the day

Sao Paulo vs Pinheiros Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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