Pinheiros vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 May 2023

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 60-77

12-25 10-13 15-21 23-18

Position#6

Record23-13

FormWWWLW

Points / game81.8

Allowed / game78.0

Pinheiros

Sao Paulo 🏆

Position#3

Record23-11

FormLLWWL

Points / game86.4

Allowed / game80.6

NBBNBB - Quarter-finals

Other2022-23

Meetings · Pinheiros v Sao Paulo

SAO 107

SAO 100

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pinheiros winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sao Paulo winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pinheiros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

78-69

H11/03

NBB

Unifacisa

80-69

+11

A22/03

NBB

Cearense

#14

92-78

+14

A24/03

NBB

Bauru

71-82

-11

A29/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

89-82 OT

H05/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

94-70

+24

H08/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

73-59

+14

A18/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

78-60

+18

H22/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

77-92

-15

A28/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

115-107

115

107

H01/05

NBB

19-22

25-16

16-14

18-17

17-19

22-13

22-12

19-25

23-14

23-23

29-19

17-22

19-18

26-18

15-26

11-20

20-18

12-20

19-16

22-19

28-20

26-15

19-18

21-17

22-11

13-17

23-16

15-15

20-18

22-11

12-12

24-19

21-27

19-24

21-19

16-22

20-29

30-22

34-21

31-35

161.5Avg total

84.7Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	81.8	78.0	159.8	+3.7	64%
Season at home (18)	85.3	77.1	162.3	+8.2	78%
Season away (18)	78.2	79.0	157.2	-0.8	50%
Last 10 (10)	84.7	76.8	161.5	+7.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	87.4	77.6	165.0	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	72.7	83.3	156.0	-10.7	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	76.9	82.9	159.8	-6.0	33%
vs Weaker (17)	87.5	76.1	163.6	+11.4	88%

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao Paulo

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

70-64

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

99-76

+23

H07/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

88-72

+16

H10/03

NBB

Minas

76-87

-11

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

84-97

-13

A30/03

NBB

Flamengo

70-79

-9

A01/04

NBB

Paulistano

57-99

-42

A11/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

95-64

+31

H15/04

NBB

Pinheiros

92-77

+15

H28/04

NBB

Pinheiros

107-115

107

115

-8

A01/05

NBB

23-13

22-15

9-17

16-19

22-25

28-17

24-15

25-19

24-29

31-11

14-21

19-11

19-21

14-22

25-17

18-27

22-23

22-25

21-21

19-28

20-17

14-20

12-23

24-19

7-33

19-23

13-19

18-24

27-12

28-9

25-26

15-17

27-21

24-19

19-21

22-16

29-20

22-30

21-34

35-31

166.8Avg total

83.8Scored

83.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (34)	86.4	80.6	167.0	+5.8	68%
Season at home (17)	86.8	78.2	165.1	+8.6	76%
Season away (17)	86.0	82.9	168.9	+3.1	59%
Last 10 (10)	83.8	83.0	166.8	+0.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.2	86.8	171.0	-2.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	76.5	91.0	167.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (9)	85.6	84.7	170.2	+0.9	56%
vs Weaker (16)	88.1	77.9	166.0	+10.2	75%

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

PinheirosSao Paulo

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.5	19.0	40.5	+2.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	19.2	39.4	+1.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	21.0	43.2	+1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.3	18.0	34.3	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.6	20.2	38.8	-1.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	22.9	18.8	41.6	+4.1	71%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	21.6	43.4	+0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	21.4	43.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	23.8	44.8	-2.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.4	21.1	42.6	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	21.4	43.9	+1.0	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.9	42.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.9	39.7	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	17.8	39.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	20.7	24.3	45.0	-3.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.1	21.8	42.9	-0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.4	19.4	40.8	+2.0	53%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	18.1	39.5	+3.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.5	16.3	37.8	+5.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.1	20.2	41.4	+0.9	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	19.1	41.5	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.2	41.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	18.8	35.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	20.7	20.1	40.8	+0.6	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	22.4	16.9	39.2	+5.5	62%	-

PinheirosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Corinthians Paulista

44-38

H11/03

NBB

Unifacisa

39-32

A22/03

NBB

Cearense

#14

46-37

A24/03

NBB

Bauru

45-36

A29/03

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

32-38

-6

H05/04

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

54-35

+19

H08/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

35-28

A18/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#11

42-29

+13

H22/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

40-51

-11

A28/04

NBB

Sao Paulo

50-51

-1

H01/05

NBB

80.2Avg total

42.7Scored

37.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	40.0	82.0	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.1	38.6	82.7	+5.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.9	41.5	81.4	-1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	37.5	80.2	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	38.8	83.0	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	37.0	42.3	79.3	-5.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	39.7	42.0	81.7	-2.3	44%	-
vs Weaker (17)	44.3	38.2	82.5	+6.1	82%	-

This opponent (Sao Paulo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sao PauloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Caxias do Sul

#11

45-28

+17

H04/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#13

50-42

H07/03

NBB

Brasilia

#15

55-40

+15

H10/03

NBB

Minas

33-43

-10

A14/03

NBB

Sao Jose

#10

44-48

-4

A30/03

NBB

Flamengo

34-37

-3

A01/04

NBB

Paulistano

26-56

-30

A11/04

NBB

Cerrado

#17

55-21

+34

H15/04

NBB

Pinheiros

51-40

+11

H28/04

NBB

Pinheiros

51-50

A01/05

NBB

84.9Avg total

44.4Scored

40.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.8	82.9	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.6	39.3	82.9	+4.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.6	40.3	82.9	+2.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	40.5	84.9	+3.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	40.8	84.2	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.8	42.5	80.2	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	42.1	41.2	83.3	+0.9	56%	-
vs Weaker (16)	44.8	38.3	83.1	+6.5	69%	-

This opponent (Pinheiros) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.9	39.3	+1.6	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	17.9	38.5	+2.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	19.9	40.1	+0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.3	38.3	+3.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.2	39.0	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	23.3	25.0	48.3	-1.7	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.9	19.0	37.9	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (17)	20.6	17.4	38.0	+3.2	71%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.1	41.7	+1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.1	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.6	20.9	42.4	+0.7	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	21.4	39.7	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	24.6	42.6	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	14.5	23.0	37.5	-8.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	21.2	21.4	42.7	-0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	23.4	18.4	41.8	+4.9	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	20.5	40.0	-0.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.7	41.9	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	21.1	40.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.6	43.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	12.3	16.0	28.3	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	18.3	21.9	40.2	-3.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	21.6	20.0	41.6	+1.6	53%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	21.3	42.3	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.2	19.2	39.5	+1.0	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	23.6	45.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	21.4	44.2	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.0	21.5	42.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	22.2	22.0	44.2	+0.2	44%	-
vs Weaker (16)	19.9	21.1	41.1	-1.2	56%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	39.3	79.3	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	38.6	80.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.2	40.1	78.3	-1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.4	38.4	78.8	+2.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.2	38.8	82.0	+4.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	35.7	41.0	76.7	-5.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	37.2	40.9	78.1	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (17)	42.2	37.4	79.6	+4.8	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.4	84.0	+1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.8	38.7	80.5	+3.1	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	43.6	44.4	88.0	-0.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	42.5	81.9	-3.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.8	46.0	86.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.5	44.5	80.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (9)	43.4	43.4	86.9	+0.0	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	43.3	39.6	82.9	+3.8	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Pinheiros wins

Sao Paulo wins

Date	Game	Score
01/05/23	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	115-107
28/04/23	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	92-77
30/01/23	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	79-89
21/01/23	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	100-78
01/11/22	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	76-72
15/02/22	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	92-98
18/11/21	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	86-70
10/02/21	Sao Paulo v Pinheiros	100-74
19/11/20	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	73-100
20/11/19	Pinheiros v Sao Paulo	78-88

Pinheiroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/23	H	Sao Paulo	115-107
28/04/23	A	Sao Paulo	77-92
22/04/23	H	Caxias do Sul	78-60
18/04/23	A	Caxias do Sul	73-59
08/04/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-70
05/04/23	H	Caxias do Sul	89-82 OT
29/03/23	A	Bauru	71-82
24/03/23	A	Cearense	92-78
22/03/23	A	Unifacisa	80-69
11/03/23	H	Corinthians Paulista	78-69

Sao Paulolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
01/05/23	A	Pinheiros	107-115
28/04/23	H	Pinheiros	92-77
15/04/23	H	Cerrado	95-64
11/04/23	A	Paulistano	57-99
01/04/23	A	Flamengo	70-79
30/03/23	A	Sao Jose	84-97
14/03/23	A	Minas	76-87
10/03/23	H	Brasilia	88-72
07/03/23	H	Uniao Corinthians	99-76
04/03/23	H	Caxias do Sul	70-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pinheiros

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	64%
Home	WWWWW	78%
Away	WWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	64%	78%	50%
Points / game	81.8	85.3	78.2
Allowed / game	78.0	77.1	79.0
Point differential	+3.7	+8.2	-0.8
Avg total	159.8	162.3	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	33%	39%	28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	100% (1)	40% (5)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

Sao Paulo

NBB 2022-23

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	68%
Home	WWWWW	76%
Away	LLLLL	59%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	34	17	17
Win %	68%	76%	59%
Points / game	86.4	86.8	86.0
Allowed / game	80.6	78.2	82.9
Point differential	+5.8	+8.6	+3.1
Avg total	167.0	165.1	168.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	47%	41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	6%	12%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Franca	34	33	1	97%	90.4	77.6	+12.8
2	Flamengo	35	30	5	86%	84.6	69.5	+15.1
3	Minas	35	24	11	69%	85.9	78.7	+7.2
4	Sao Paulo	34	23	11	68%	86.4	80.6	+5.8
5	Pinheiros	36	23	13	64%	81.8	78.0	+3.7
6	Paulistano	38	24	14	63%	78.7	73.7	+5.0
7	Bauru	38	22	16	58%	78.1	72.5	+5.6
8	Unifacisa	36	19	17	53%	78.8	79.6	-0.9
9	Corinthians Paulista	34	17	17	50%	80.7	79.5	+1.2
10	Sao Jose	35	16	19	46%	80.7	82.5	-1.8
11	Caxias do Sul	34	12	22	35%	72.5	76.4	-3.9
12	Pato	35	11	24	31%	77.4	84.3	-7.0
13	Uniao Corinthians	32	10	22	31%	78.6	82.4	-3.9
14	Cearense	32	9	23	28%	73.8	83.8	-10.0
15	Brasilia	32	7	25	22%	77.7	87.8	-10.2
16	Rio Claro	32	7	25	22%	75.9	88.4	-12.5
17	Cerrado	32	5	27	16%	81.3	92.4	-11.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Pinheiros	12	10	15	23	60
Sao Paulo	25	13	21	18	77

← all games of the day

Pinheiros vs Sao Paulo Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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