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Pistoia vs Mantova Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 May 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 86-78 (OT)
14-15 13-17 20-16 13-12 26-18
Position#17
Record14-15
FormWLLWW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game77.2
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#16
Record16-15
FormWWWLW
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game75.5
ItalySerie A2Round 6
Other2020-21
Meetings · Pistoia v Mantova
06 Nov 2022
PIS83
MANT58
10 Apr 2022
PIS96
MANT63
16 May 2021
PIS86
MANT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mantova winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#10
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
A28/03
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
94-76
94
76
+18
H10/04
Serie A2
Latina
#24
W
77-69
77
69
+8
A18/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
90-83
90
83
+7
A25/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
L
71-82
71
82
-11
H28/04
Serie A2
Mantova
#16
L
82-85 OT
82
85
-3
A02/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
90-83
90
83
+7
H09/05
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
W
101-95
101
95
+6
A12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
11-15
7-24
22-17
15-17
18-29
14-24
25-11
17-22
18-23
18-11
27-26
27-29
28-15
17-19
22-13
21-21
22-20
19-6
15-22
25-17
21-27
19-23
25-16
17-18
15-17
23-25
16-22
14-23
21-18
27-16
16-21
21-21
24-20
18-20
27-22
28-22
27-27
19-21
27-25
163.0Avg total
81.8Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)75.977.2153.2-1.348%
Season at home (14)74.274.7148.9-0.557%
Season away (15)77.579.6157.1-2.140%
Last 10 (10)81.881.2163.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)86.885.6172.4+1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.680.1148.7-11.614%
vs Similar ◀ (19)78.979.2158.1-0.253%
vs Weaker (4)75.568.0143.5+7.575%
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MantovaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
79-74
79
74
+5
A14/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
W
75-64
75
64
+11
H17/03
Serie A2
Biella
#20
L
77-98
77
98
-21
A21/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
75-69
75
69
+6
H28/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#18
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H10/04
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H25/04
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
74-60
74
60
+14
A28/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H02/05
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A09/05
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H12/05
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
18-16
23-17
18-23
15-18
16-13
24-12
20-21
16-29
23-31
18-15
20-23
13-22
20-16
22-11
20-20
25-18
22-21
24-17
31-18
27-17
12-23
11-15
31-21
15-15
23-11
10-22
26-12
23-14
18-21
16-27
21-16
11-17
20-22
13-14
18-17
30-19
13-11
17-19
18-18
152.2Avg total
78.8Scored
73.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)75.575.5150.9-0.052%
Season at home (16)78.174.8152.9+3.469%
Season away (15)72.676.3148.9-3.733%
Last 10 (10)78.873.4152.2+5.480%
Last 5 (5)76.071.0147.0+5.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.882.2155.0-9.333%
vs Similar ◀ (24)75.972.8148.7+3.058%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: +2.7+2.7Q4: +3.4+3.4
PistoiaMantova
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ravenna
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#15
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A28/03
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
W
55-44
55
44
+11
H10/04
Serie A2
Latina
#24
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A18/04
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A25/04
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H28/04
Serie A2
Mantova
#16
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/05
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H09/05
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A12/05
Serie A2
83.2Avg total
41.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.439.176.5-1.743%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.536.673.1-0.143%-
Last 30 away (16)38.241.379.5-3.144%-
Last 10 (10)41.142.183.2-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)42.642.084.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.041.472.4-10.40%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)39.439.979.3-0.553%-
vs Weaker (4)39.231.570.8+7.875%-
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MantovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tortona
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A14/03
Serie A2
Trapani
#12
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H17/03
Serie A2
Biella
#20
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A21/03
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#22
L
33-38
33
38
-5
H28/03
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#18
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H10/04
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H25/04
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A28/04
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/05
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
31-39
31
39
-8
A09/05
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H12/05
Serie A2
75.2Avg total
38.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.238.176.2+0.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.137.577.5+2.660%-
Last 30 away (15)36.338.774.9-2.447%-
Last 10 (10)38.037.275.2+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)38.434.072.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.041.379.3-3.367%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)38.237.275.5+1.050%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mantovatheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Pistoia wins
1
Mantova wins
DateGameScore
02/05/21Mantova v Pistoia85-82 OT
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/21ATrapani101-95
09/05/21HAssigeco Piacenza90-83
02/05/21AMantova82-85 OT
28/04/21HTrapani71-82
25/04/21AAssigeco Piacenza90-83
18/04/21ALatina77-69
10/04/21HStella Azzurra94-76
28/03/21AFerrara80-82
17/03/21AForli72-81
14/03/21HRavenna61-76
Mantovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/05/21HBaltur Cento78-67
09/05/21ARavenna62-70
02/05/21HPistoia85-82 OT
28/04/21ABaltur Cento74-60
25/04/21HRavenna81-76
10/04/21HOrzinuovi102-74
28/03/21HAssigeco Piacenza75-69
21/03/21ABiella77-98
17/03/21HTrapani75-64
14/03/21ATortona79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW48%
HomeWLWLW57%
AwayLWWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %48%57%40%
Points / game75.974.277.5
Allowed / game77.274.779.6
Point differential-1.3-0.5-2.1
Avg total153.2148.9157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%29%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
Mantova
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW52%
HomeWWWWW69%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%69%33%
Points / game75.578.172.6
Allowed / game75.574.876.3
Point differential-0.0+3.4-3.7
Avg total150.9152.9148.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%44%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Basket Napoli2922776%76.868.1+8.7
2 Forli3021970%78.274.3+3.9
3 Scafati2920969%81.174.5+6.6
4 Basket Torino32211166%81.371.4+9.9
5 Tortona31201165%76.770.2+6.5
6 Verona32201262%81.376.4+4.9
7 Udine31191261%76.876.2+0.6
8 Eurobasket Roma30171357%77.676.6+1.0
9 Urania Milano31171455%76.076.9-1.0
10 Ravenna30161453%76.674.8+1.8
11 Trapani32171553%77.178.9-1.8
12 Mantova31161552%75.575.5-0.0
13 Treviglio31161552%80.981.2-0.3
14 Monferrato30151550%74.979.6-4.7
15 Capo d'Orlando31151648%83.585.6-2.2
16 Pistoia29141548%75.977.2-1.3
17 Ferrara29141548%77.679.5-1.9
18 Orzinuovi31141745%82.981.2+1.7
19 Chieti Basket29131645%72.475.3-3.0
20 Baltur Cento28121643%71.573.8-2.3
21 Assigeco Piacenza31131842%81.182.5-1.4
22 Bergamo30111937%75.376.6-1.2
23 Biella30111937%82.283.5-1.3
24 NPC Rieti2891932%74.079.2-5.2
25 Latina2992031%70.475.6-5.2
26 San Severo2872125%69.075.9-6.9
27 Stella Azzurra2862221%72.180.5-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 27 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pistoia141320132686
Mantova151716121878
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