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Sebastiani Rieti vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 73-88
22-22 18-29 22-21 11-16
Position#10
Record4-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game69.8
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#19
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.8
Allowed / game82.0
ItalySerie A2Round 6· PalaSojourner
Other2025-26
Meetings · Sebastiani Rieti v Pistoia
11 Oct 2026
SEBA78
PIS70
19 Oct 2025
SEBA73
PIS88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sebastiani Rieti winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
W
65-61
65
61
+4
54avg 68
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
89-81
89
81
+8
86avg 68
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
59-83
59
83
-24
53avg 68
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
74-89
74
89
-15
67avg 68
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
77-84 OT
77
84
-7
61avg 68
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
60-72
60
72
-12
50avg 68
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
77-75
77
75
+2
74avg 68
A28/09
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
90-60
90
60
+30
92avg 68
H05/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 68
A08/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
73-67
73
67
+6
64avg 68
H12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
8-12
27-9
13-19
25-14
22-19
22-21
20-27
20-26
14-21
7-14
18-22
18-15
10-31
26-27
20-16
10-19
17-7
24-14
17-28
22-17
13-22
11-17
14-16
20-20
23-23
23-18
11-14
16-11
20-10
38-13
16-26
22-21
28-16
14-14
20-24
20-25
21-10
16-16
16-16
149.5Avg total
74.8Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)76.869.8146.6+7.080%
Season at home (3)74.366.3140.7+8.067%
Season away (2)80.575.0155.5+5.5100%
Last 10 (10)74.874.7149.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)76.869.8146.6+7.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.480.2151.6-8.820%
vs Similar (20)74.573.2147.8+1.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)85.471.4156.8+14.0100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
74avg 69
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
62-86
62
86
-24
51avg 69
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
93-90
93
90
+3
89avg 69
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
65-89
65
89
-24
47avg 69
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
72-86
72
86
-14
60avg 69
A11/05
Lega A
Verona
#2
L
69-74
69
74
-5
58avg 69
A21/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
93-83
93
83
+10
76avg 69
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
91-87 OT
91
87
+4
77avg 69
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
59avg 69
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
82-76
82
76
+6
70avg 69
A12/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
21-24
17-26
18-22
13-28
15-21
18-25
16-12
20-16
25-16
27-25
21-33
15-21
19-27
14-22
17-19
20-22
16-18
22-22
14-24
16-16
17-20
21-22
15-16
21-18
19-20
25-26
28-19
16-15
19-19
21-20
21-23
18-13
17-27
16-27
18-23
18-25
17-19
20-22
27-10
163.2Avg total
77.6Scored
85.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Season at home (2)81.086.5167.5-5.550%
Season away (3)80.779.0159.7+1.767%
Last 10 (10)77.685.6163.2-8.040%
Last 5 (5)80.882.0162.8-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)77.088.4165.4-11.519%
vs Similar (4)96.092.5188.5+3.550%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +4.5+4.5Q3: -3.6-3.6Q4Q4: -4.3-4.3Q4: -0.6-0.6
Sebastiani RietiPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#12
L
25-33
25
33
-8
H12/05
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A16/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A24/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
28-46
28
46
-18
A26/05
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H29/05
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H24/09
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A28/09
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H05/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A08/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H12/10
Serie A2
72.6Avg total
36.6Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.073.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.733.269.9+3.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.777.8+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)36.636.072.6+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.035.076.0+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)32.840.072.8-7.220%-
vs Similar (20)38.035.973.8+2.145%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.832.275.0+10.6100%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A13/04
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H19/04
Lega A
Venezia
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A27/04
Lega A
Cremona
#13
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H04/05
Lega A
Reggiana
#7
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A11/05
Lega A
Verona
#2
L
33-36
33
36
-3
A21/09
Serie A2
Blu Basket Bergamo
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H28/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A05/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H08/10
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A12/10
Serie A2
77.4Avg total
36.6Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.244.282.4-6.027%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.846.184.9-7.320%-
Last 30 away (15)37.642.279.8-4.633%-
Last 10 (10)36.640.877.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.474.0-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)37.243.881.0-6.623%-
vs Similar (4)44.846.591.2-1.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 74.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.216.9
49.4%
50.8%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.7
30.2%
34.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws23.817.3
72.7%
74.4%17.3
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.917.6
50.4%
50.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.38.4
33.2%
34.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
74.4%15.4
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWWLLLLWW
Pistoia
WLWWLLLWLL
#10
League position
#19
+0.4
Net rating
-12.3
102.1
Offensive rating
99.3
101.7
Defensive rating
111.6
47.7%
Effective FG%
50.2%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
22.6%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.2%
3-point %
33.2%
64.6%
Assist %
43.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence102.1 · 99.3Defence101.7 · 111.6Shooting47.7% · 50.2%3-point %30.2% · 33.2%Ball care18.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.7% · 22.6%Free throws0.40 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Sebastiani Rieti   ■ Pistoia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
0
Pistoia wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25HCento73-67
08/10/25ACividale84-75
05/10/25HForli90-60
28/09/25ARimini77-75
24/09/25HAvellino Basket60-72
29/05/25HCantu77-84 OT
26/05/25ACantu74-89
24/05/25ACantu59-83
16/05/25AUrania Milano89-81
12/05/25HUrania Milano65-61
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/25ARuvo Di Puglia82-76
08/10/25HLibertas Livorno69-90
05/10/25ABasket Torino91-87 OT
28/09/25HBlu Basket Bergamo93-83
21/09/25AVerona69-74
11/05/25AReggiana72-86
04/05/25HCremona65-89
27/04/25AVenezia93-90
19/04/25HVirtus Bologna62-86
13/04/25AOlimpia Milano80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %80%67%100%
Points / game76.874.380.5
Allowed / game69.866.375.0
Point differential+7.0+8.0+5.5
Avg total146.6140.7155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeWL50%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game80.881.080.7
Allowed / game82.086.579.0
Point differential-1.2-5.5+1.7
Avg total162.8167.5159.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Brindisi65183%80.066.0+14.0
2 Sebastiani Rieti54180%76.869.8+7.0
3 Pesaro54180%83.877.2+6.6
4 Verona54180%79.874.8+5.0
5 Libertas Livorno53260%75.069.4+5.6
6 Fortitudo Bologna53260%87.882.4+5.4
7 Rimini53260%82.477.4+5.0
8 Basket Torino53260%77.475.6+1.8
9 Blu Basket Bergamo53260%85.685.0+0.6
10 Pistoia53260%80.882.0-1.2
11 Mestre53260%78.480.0-1.6
12 Avellino Basket52340%75.076.6-1.6
13 Scafati52340%78.880.8-2.0
14 Cento52340%72.675.4-2.8
15 JuVi Cremona52340%73.881.6-7.8
16 Cividale62433%76.777.3-0.7
17 Roseto51420%86.291.2-5.0
18 Forli51420%70.080.6-10.6
19 Urania Milano61517%81.086.8-5.8
20 Ruvo Di Puglia61517%73.384.5-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sebastiani Rieti2218221173
Pistoia2229211688
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