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Pistoia vs Sebastiani Rieti Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 27 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 19:30
Scheduled
Position#8
Record6-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.1
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.2/10
Above normal
4.9/10
Around normal
Position#6
Record7-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game73.8
ItalySerie A2Round 32· PalaCarrara
Other2026-27
Meetings · Pistoia v Sebastiani Rieti
27 Mar 2027
PIS v SEBA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PIS85
SEBA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
62-63
62
63
-1
49avg 68
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
77-84
77
84
-7
28avg 68
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
L
70-78
70
78
-8
63avg 68
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
89-70
89
70
+19
84avg 68
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
96-52
96
52
+44
103avg 68
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 68
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
64-66
64
66
-2
54avg 68
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
86-71
86
71
+15
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
78-70
78
70
+8
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
79-65
79
65
+14
no box
A14/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
18-18
15-11
13-15
20-30
23-19
20-18
14-17
23-24
15-21
12-12
20-21
21-18
27-15
21-20
20-17
24-10
25-13
23-20
24-9
21-20
15-21
14-12
25-19
21-16
17-25
13-13
13-12
14-18
12-22
31-16
29-15
21-22
15-14
20-14
22-20
14-21
13-16
24-16
28-12
146.7Avg total
77.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Season at home (4)77.072.5149.5+4.550%
Season away (6)78.066.8144.8+11.267%
Last 10 (10)77.669.1146.7+8.560%
Last 5 (5)76.468.8145.2+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)73.683.0156.6-9.420%
vs Similar (12)78.382.7161.0-4.333%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)81.270.2151.5+11.075%
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Caserta
#15
W
81-73
81
73
+8
69avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
79-64
79
64
+15
78avg 70
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
72avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
71-93
71
93
-22
55avg 70
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
W
70-63
70
63
+7
73avg 70
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
73-96
73
96
-23
57avg 70
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
73-65
73
65
+8
66avg 70
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
68-63
68
63
+5
no box
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
80-62
80
62
+18
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
78-89
78
89
-11
no box
A15/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
17-19
19-21
18-15
24-15
26-17
16-15
13-17
24-23
21-15
12-12
21-20
11-25
33-30
15-13
12-25
18-17
18-20
13-15
21-11
25-32
14-28
14-10
20-26
21-16
15-23
14-7
23-19
17-10
11-17
24-15
16-21
23-13
12-13
23-19
22-17
14-29
20-22
18-19
26-19
148.9Avg total
75.1Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)75.173.8148.9+1.370%
Season at home (5)76.466.6143.0+9.8100%
Season away (5)73.881.0154.8-7.240%
Last 10 (10)75.173.8148.9+1.370%
Last 5 (5)74.475.0149.4-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)76.582.3158.8-5.833%
vs Similar (15)75.976.2152.1-0.347%
vs Weaker (9)80.474.0154.4+6.489%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +0.2+0.2
PistoiaSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A27/09
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H04/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#6
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A11/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
49-23
49
23
+26
A21/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A08/11
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H11/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A14/11
Serie A2
75.7Avg total
37.5Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.480.1-2.623%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.940.680.5-0.636%-
Last 30 away (16)37.842.179.8-4.312%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.275.7-0.720%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.071.6-6.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)36.240.376.5-4.120%-
vs Similar (12)41.544.586.0-3.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)37.938.075.9-0.125%-
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caserta
#15
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/09
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
50-32
50
32
+18
A04/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H11/10
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
44-55
44
55
-11
A18/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H21/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A25/10
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H01/11
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/11
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
35-26
35
26
+9
H11/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
A15/11
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.778.2-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.678.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)37.540.778.2-3.327%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.440.675.0-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.046.285.2-7.233%-
vs Similar (15)38.140.878.9-2.727%-
vs Weaker (9)38.833.472.2+5.367%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.3
50.6%
51.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.76.7
29.5%
34.5%20.1
🏀 Free throws21.916.1
73.5%
71.0%16.1
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.715.2
49.5%
51.2%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.1
29.6%
34.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
71.0%17.7
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WWWLWWWLLL
Sebastiani Rieti
LWWWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#6
+12.8
Net rating
-1.7
98.5
Offensive rating
94.2
85.6
Defensive rating
95.9
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.0%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
8.8%
Turnover %
10.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.5%
3-point %
29.6%
54.0%
Assist %
49.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 94.2Defence85.6 · 95.9Shooting48.1% · 47.0%3-point %29.5% · 29.6%Ball care8.8% · 10.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
2
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
11/10/26Sebastiani Rieti v Pistoia78-70
25/01/26Pistoia v Sebastiani Rieti85-86 OT
19/10/25Sebastiani Rieti v Pistoia73-88
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AUrania Milano79-65
11/11/26HCaserta78-70
08/11/26AMontecatini86-71
01/11/26HFortitudo Bologna64-66
25/10/26AJuVi Cremona75-72
21/10/26ACento96-52
18/10/26HVigevano89-70
11/10/26ASebastiani Rieti70-78
04/10/26HBasket Torino77-84
27/09/26ALibertas Livorno62-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AFortitudo Bologna78-89
11/11/26HMontecatini80-62
08/11/26ARuvo Di Puglia68-63
01/11/26HJuVi Cremona73-65
25/10/26ARimini73-96
21/10/26HBrindisi70-63
18/10/26AForli71-93
11/10/26HPistoia78-70
04/10/26AVigevano79-64
27/09/26HCaserta81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW60%
HomeLWLW50%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game77.677.078.0
Allowed / game69.172.566.8
Point differential+8.5+4.5+11.2
Avg total146.7149.5144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL70%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %70%100%40%
Points / game75.176.473.8
Allowed / game73.866.681.0
Point differential+1.3+9.8-7.2
Avg total148.9143.0154.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno109190%80.968.5+12.4
2 Avellino Basket109190%80.873.9+6.9
3 Fortitudo Bologna108280%80.474.7+5.7
4 Rimini107370%81.272.5+8.7
5 Brindisi107370%78.274.4+3.8
6 Sebastiani Rieti107370%75.173.8+1.3
7 Basket Torino96367%72.972.0+0.9
8 Pistoia106460%77.669.1+8.5
9 Forli105550%82.078.9+3.1
10 Sassari105550%76.275.6+0.6
11 Mestre105550%76.076.1-0.1
12 Pesaro105550%79.679.7-0.1
13 Cividale105550%72.575.5-3.0
14 Vigevano104640%76.580.3-3.8
15 Caserta93633%79.682.2-2.7
16 JuVi Cremona102820%75.178.6-3.5
17 Ruvo Di Puglia102820%74.080.9-6.9
18 Cento102820%73.482.5-9.1
19 Urania Milano101910%74.682.7-8.1
20 Montecatini101910%67.181.9-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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