PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Pistoia vs Sebastiani Rieti Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-86 (OT)
15-20 20-14 24-22 15-18 11-12
Position#19
Record6-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#10
Record14-9
FormWLWWW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game76.6
ItalySerie A2Round 24· PalaCarrara
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pistoia v Sebastiani Rieti
27 Mar 2027
PIS v SEBA
upcoming
25 Jan 2026
PIS85
SEBA86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sebastiani Rieti winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
65-78
65
78
-13
53avg 66
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
91-80
91
80
+11
89avg 66
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
72-85
72
85
-13
61avg 66
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
78-81
78
81
-3
66avg 66
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
L
68-76
68
76
-8
60avg 66
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
56avg 66
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
79-82
79
82
-3
no box
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
89avg 66
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
no box
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 66
A21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-24
12-14
17-19
22-21
26-17
24-17
14-23
27-23
27-19
18-29
19-21
8-16
23-25
25-18
14-20
16-18
22-20
21-10
15-19
10-27
20-25
14-20
23-27
12-23
20-21
17-26
12-18
30-17
19-23
19-25
24-28
23-9
20-21
16-13
20-26
11-21
20-29
23-21
6-11
19-20
158.9Avg total
75.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)77.682.9160.4-5.326%
Season at home (11)78.482.6161.0-4.327%
Season away (12)76.883.1159.9-6.225%
Last 10 (10)75.183.8158.9-8.710%
Last 5 (5)75.487.6163.0-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.384.8160.1-9.517%
vs Similar (7)79.482.4161.9-3.043%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRieti
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
79-95
79
95
-16
72avg 73
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 73
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
64-75
64
75
-11
58avg 73
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
87-76
87
76
+11
88avg 73
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
73-91
73
91
-18
60avg 73
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
68-62
68
62
+6
57avg 73
H28/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
82-89
82
89
-7
73avg 73
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
82-54
82
54
+28
79avg 73
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
86-82 OT
86
82
+4
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
83-65
83
65
+18
81avg 73
H21/01
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
14-26
21-26
17-22
17-19
23-20
22-18
10-25
16-20
14-22
13-18
21-15
23-20
21-19
19-22
24-15
13-18
19-25
19-25
22-23
20-20
15-13
15-16
18-13
20-26
17-13
28-29
17-21
22-16
17-11
24-15
19-12
22-18
13-14
15-22
22-18
13-22
18-16
26-12
26-15
154.7Avg total
77.6Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.076.6156.6+3.361%
Season at home (12)78.671.8150.3+6.867%
Season away (11)81.581.9163.4-0.555%
Last 10 (10)77.677.1154.7+0.550%
Last 5 (5)80.270.4150.6+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.281.2154.3-8.017%
vs Similar (16)75.272.4147.7+2.869%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)89.179.2168.4+9.975%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -4.8-4.8Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
PistoiaSebastiani Rieti
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
26-38
26
38
-12
H26/11
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H30/11
Serie A2
Forli
#17
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A21/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A28/12
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H04/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
A11/01
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H18/01
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
81.7Avg total
40.0Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.940.878.7-2.937%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.540.777.1-4.240%-
Last 30 away (15)39.340.980.3-1.633%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.781.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.882.4-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.040.377.3-3.339%-
vs Similar (7)41.042.483.4-1.429%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Sebastiani Rieti) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sebastiani RietiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Scafati
#1
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A07/12
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
30-42
30
42
-12
H14/12
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H17/12
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A21/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H28/12
Serie A2
Cento
#18
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A04/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H09/01
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A17/01
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H21/01
Serie A2
74.3Avg total
36.4Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.275.8-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.736.171.8-0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.640.379.9-0.740%-
Last 10 (10)36.437.974.3-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.869.2+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.840.375.2-5.533%-
vs Similar (16)37.237.274.5+0.044%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)40.538.579.0+2.062%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.517.9
50.4%
50.8%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.5
32.8%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.313.4
82.2%
74.4%13.4
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sebastiani Rietitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sebastiani Rieti: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.120.7
54.3%
50.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.5
33.6%
34.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.413.7
74.5%
74.4%13.7
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
LLLLLLLLWL
Sebastiani Rieti
WWWLWLWLLL
#19
League position
#10
-11.1
Net rating
+2.5
100.1
Offensive rating
104.1
111.2
Defensive rating
101.6
49.9%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.3%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.8%
3-point %
33.6%
51.1%
Assist %
62.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.1 · 104.1Defence111.2 · 101.6Shooting49.9% · 52.9%3-point %32.8% · 33.6%Ball care17.7% · 17.3%Off. rebounds24.9% · 26.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 50%
■ Pistoia   ■ Sebastiani Rieti
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Pistoia wins
0
Sebastiani Rieti wins
DateGameScore
19/10/25Sebastiani Rieti v Pistoia73-88
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26AJuVi Cremona68-81
18/01/26HVerona67-81
11/01/26AAvellino Basket94-99 OT
04/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia79-82
28/12/25ARimini69-95
21/12/25ABrindisi68-76
14/12/25HCividale78-81
08/12/25AForli72-85
30/11/25HCento91-80
26/11/25HAvellino Basket65-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/01/26HRimini83-65
17/01/26AForli86-82 OT
09/01/26HCividale82-54
04/01/26ACento82-89
28/12/25HFortitudo Bologna68-62
21/12/25APesaro73-91
17/12/25HBrindisi87-76
14/12/25HLibertas Livorno64-75
07/12/25ABasket Torino72-82
26/11/25AScafati79-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL26%
HomeLWLLL27%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %26%27%25%
Points / game77.678.476.8
Allowed / game82.982.683.1
Point differential-5.3-4.3-6.2
Avg total160.4161.0159.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%18%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)0% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Sebastiani Rieti
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeLWWWW67%
AwayLLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %61%67%55%
Points / game80.078.681.5
Allowed / game76.671.881.9
Point differential+3.3+6.8-0.5
Avg total156.6150.3163.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)-75% (4)
Overtime %4%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro2316770%81.877.7+4.1
2 Libertas Livorno2315865%78.672.8+5.8
3 Rimini2315865%81.075.6+5.3
4 Brindisi2315865%76.871.8+5.0
5 Verona2315865%77.673.6+4.0
6 Cividale2315865%77.676.0+1.7
7 Scafati2415962%82.577.8+4.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti2314961%80.076.6+3.3
9 Fortitudo Bologna24141058%76.573.2+3.3
10 Avellino Basket23131057%81.178.0+3.1
11 Basket Torino23121152%74.172.7+1.4
12 Blu Basket Bergamo23111248%80.481.5-1.1
13 JuVi Cremona23101343%74.778.0-3.3
14 Mestre24101442%77.080.7-3.7
15 Cento2391439%78.780.9-2.2
16 Forli2481633%76.680.9-4.3
17 Urania Milano2481633%77.582.9-5.4
18 Ruvo Di Puglia2481633%76.085.7-9.7
19 Pistoia2361726%77.682.9-5.3
20 Roseto2341917%78.784.8-6.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Pistoia152024151185
Sebastiani Rieti201422181286
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.