PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in
Players › NBA › III Marvin Bagley← All players

III Marvin Bagley

Denver Nuggets NBASeason 2026/2715 gamesForm 5.7
His team, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WLWWLWWLWW
Points
6.5
per game
Rebounds
4.4
per game
Assists
0.5
per game
Minutes
13.1
per game
FG%
54%
field goals
3P%
12%
0.1 made a game
PRA
11.4
pts + reb + ast
Sections

III Marvin Bagley plays for Denver Nuggets (NBA). This season, every competition, he averages 6.5 points, 4.4 rebounds and 0.5 assists in 13.1 minutes over 15 games, shooting 54% from the field. His form is 5.7 on the 0-10 scale (5 = his normal).

Photo: All-Pro Reels, CC BY-SA 2.0 (Wikimedia Commons)

🔥 1. Form

🔥 Player form
5.7out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Above his normal
🏀
Attack
Points per game
Last 5 v his normal 10.1
7.4▼ 2.7
🛡️
Defence
Steals + blocks per game
Last 5 v his normal 1.1
0.6▼ 0.5
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v his normal 64%
63%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v his normal 1.2
0.6▼ 0.6
Denver NuggetsLast 15 – points for & against, and III Marvin Bagley's form and points
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBagley
🏀 PointsBagley
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-113
96
113
-17
DNP
DNP
A24/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
96-112
96
112
-16
DNP
DNP
A26/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
W
125-113
125
113
+12
DNP
DNP
H28/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
98-110
98
110
-12
DNP
DNP
A01/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#12
L
84-96
84
96
-12
8per 36
2
11 min
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
22per 36
5
9 min
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
114-134
114
134
-20
21per 36
7
11 min
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
104-91
104
91
+13
16per 36
8
19 min
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
127-120
127
120
+7
8per 36
0
11 min
A31/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
110-118
110
118
-8
11per 36
6
12 min
H03/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
W
128-109
128
109
+19
27per 36
10
14 min
H05/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#21
W
114-102
114
102
+12
26per 36
10
12 min
A07/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-110
100
110
-10
18per 36
6
12 min
A10/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#8
W
123-118
123
118
+5
7per 36
4
12 min
A12/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#24
W
116-108
116
108
+8
22per 36
7
13 min
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-25
28-36
29-27
28-25
23-22
31-28
24-32
18-30
34-29
26-22
37-24
28-38
30-29
20-28
24-25
24-28
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
31-19
35-39
21-27
23-33
33-35
31-32
39-15
25-27
27-19
37-22
26-37
24-24
24-32
16-22
28-23
32-33
35-24
30-28
29-38
29-28
29-23
27-28
30-31
30-26
224.3Avg total
111.7Scored
112.6Allowed

📊 2. Game by game

📅 Window5Last 5 games10Last 10 games20Last 20 games30Last 30 games
Points per game
Total63Per game6.3
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 55NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 77GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 88NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 0PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 66PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 1010TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 1010INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 66HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 44MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 77NOPW 15/11
Dashed: the average over these games
Rebounds per game
Total37Per game3.7
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 44NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 22GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 55NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 55PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 44PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 22TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 33INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 33HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 22MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 77NOPW 15/11
Dashed: the average over these games
Assists per game
Total4Per game0.4
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 0NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 0GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 11NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 0PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 0PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 22TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 0INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 0HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 11MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 0NOPW 15/11
Dashed: the average over these games
Three-pointers made
Made03P%0%
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 0NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 0GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 0NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 0PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 0PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 0TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 0INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 0HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 0MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 0NOPW 15/11
Dotted line: 3-point % · dashed: the average
Field goals made
Made23FG%56%
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 22NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 22GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 33NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 0PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 22PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 44TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 33INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 22HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 22MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 33NOPW 15/11
Dotted line: field-goal % · dashed: the average
Free throws made
Made17FT%71%
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 11NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 33GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 22NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 0PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 22PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 22TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 44INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 22HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 0MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 11NOPW 15/11
Dotted line: free-throw % · dashed: the average
Minutes
Per game12.5
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 99NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 1111GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 1919NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 1111PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 1212PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 1414TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 1212INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 1212HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 1212MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 1313NOPW 15/11
Dashed: the average over these games
Points + rebounds + assists
Per game10.4Best14
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: 99NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: 99GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 1414NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: 55PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: 1010PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: 1414TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: 1313INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: 99HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: 77MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: 1414NOPW 15/11
Dashed: the average over these games
Plus / minus
Total-4
25 Oct 2026 v New Orleans Pelicans: -5-5NOPW 25/1027 Oct 2026 v Golden State Warriors: -5-5GSWL 27/1029 Oct 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: -3-3NOPW 29/1031 Oct 2026 @ Phoenix Suns: +1+1PHXW 31/1003 Nov 2026 v Portland Trail Blazers: -5-5PORL 03/1105 Nov 2026 v Toronto Raptors: +1+1TORW 05/1107 Nov 2026 @ Indiana Pacers: +8+8INDW 07/1110 Nov 2026 @ Houston Rockets: -7-7HOUL 10/1112 Nov 2026 @ Memphis Grizzlies: +1+1MEMW 12/1115 Nov 2026 @ New Orleans Pelicans: +10+10NOPW 15/11
Dashed: the average over these games

💪 3. Player strengths

Where he ranks
Points per game
245thof 3606.5
Rebounds per game
=114thof 360 · 2 level4.4
Assists per game
328thof 3600.5
Threes made per game
325thof 3600.1
Ranked against 360 players in the NBA 2026-27 with at least 40% of the most games played (and this player), every position included. Ties share a place (=). Each chart below draws the top 40, plus this player where he falls outside them.
Where he ranks · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
43rdof 32653.6%
2-point accuracy
=74thof 303 · 2 level59.0%
Free-throw accuracy
=237thof 287 · 7 level66.7%
Accuracy needs volume to be ranked: 30+ field-goal attempts, 20+ two-pointers, 15+ threes, 10+ free throws, so a percentage off a handful of tries is left out rather than ranked.
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
53.6%+7.6pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#43 of 326 in NBA
✋ 2-pointers
59.0%+4.9pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#74 of 303 in NBA
🌟 3-pointers
12.5%-22.9pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
1 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
Below the attempts floor to be ranked.
🏹 Free throws
66.7%-11.3pp v the NBA average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
7 of 10 shots go in · line = the NBA average
#237 of 287 in NBA
Him v the league average
III Marvin BagleyNBA average
23.6
Points per 48 min
21.7
16.1
Rebounds per 48 min
9.0
1.9
Assists per 48 min
5.0
13.1
Minutes / game
20.8
54%
FG%
46%
67%
FT%
77%
The better figure is green. League average = every player with enough games.
Shape
Points23.6 · 21.7Rebounds16.1 · 9.0Assists1.9 · 5.0Minutes13.1 · 20.8FG%54% · 46%FT%67% · 77%
Each axis: the league's best = the outer ring.

🎯 4. Shooting

Where his points come from
🏀🏀 74%
🏀🏀🏀 3%
🏀 23%
■ 2-pointers 4.8 pts a game   ■ 3-pointers 0.2   ■ free throws 1.5 · 12% of his shots are threes

🎲 5. Player props

Last 10 games · n=10
10+ points20%
n=10
15+ points0%
n=10
20+ points0%
n=10
25+ points0%
n=10
5+ rebounds30%
n=10
8+ rebounds0%
n=10
5+ assists0%
n=10
8+ assists0%
n=10
2+ threes0%
n=10
3+ threes0%
n=10
PRA 20+0%
n=10
PRA 30+0%
n=10
Last 30 games · n=30
10+ points27%
n=30
15+ points13%
n=30
20+ points10%
n=30
25+ points3%
n=30
5+ rebounds57%
n=30
8+ rebounds20%
n=30
5+ assists3%
n=30
8+ assists0%
n=30
2+ threes10%
n=30
3+ threes7%
n=30
PRA 20+17%
n=30
PRA 30+10%
n=30
This season · n=15
10+ points27%
n=15
15+ points0%
n=15
20+ points0%
n=15
25+ points0%
n=15
5+ rebounds47%
n=15
8+ rebounds7%
n=15
5+ assists0%
n=15
8+ assists0%
n=15
2+ threes0%
n=15
3+ threes0%
n=15
PRA 20+7%
n=15
PRA 30+0%
n=15
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🔀 6. Splits

SplitGPMINPTSREBASTPRAFG%
All games1513.16.54.40.511.454%
Home512.06.63.80.410.852%
Away1013.76.44.70.611.754%
Team won913.67.44.60.412.460%
Team lost612.55.04.20.79.842%
vs stronger teams413.27.24.20.211.850%
vs similar teams412.07.22.50.810.559%
vs weaker teams713.75.65.60.611.754%
Per game, this season (2026/27), every competition. Green / red = above / below his own season average. Opponent strength: the opponent's point differential per game against his team's (within 4 points = similar).

📅 7. Season v history

Metric2019-20
NBA n=17
2020-21
NBA n=43
2021-22
NBA n=50
2022-23
NBA n=45
2023-24
NBA n=54
2024-25
NBA n=38
2025-26
NBA n=63
2026-27
NBA n=15
Trend
Points / game14.513.711.311.511.74.910.56.5
Rebounds / game7.87.36.96.26.23.06.24.4
Assists / game0.61.00.70.81.10.51.50.5
Threes / game0.40.80.50.40.20.20.40.1
Minutes / game26.125.523.722.920.89.819.913.1
FG%46%51%51%53%59%53%62%54%
3P%24%34%23%28%42%26%45%12%
FT%80%55%64%73%76%68%65%67%
Game score / 3616.816.515.015.619.910.919.817.5
Every season and competition with box scores, oldest to newest. Trend: green = up on the first season, red = down.

🆚 8. Player comparison

Compare with
III Marvin Bagley
15 games · 6.5 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.5 ast
5.7
Murray Jamal
15 games · 22.5 pts · 4.6 reb · 5.5 ast
5.9
Mirrored comparison
6.5
Points / game
22.5
4.4
Rebounds / game
4.6
0.5
Assists / game
5.5
0.1
Threes / game
2.9
13.1
Minutes / game
32.7
23.6
Points per 48 min
32.9
54%
FG%
51%
67%
FT%
86%
5.7
Form (0-10)
5.9
Shape
Points6.5 · 22.5Rebounds4.4 · 4.6Assists0.5 · 5.5Threes0.1 · 2.9Minutes13.1 · 32.7Points /4823.6 · 32.9FG%54% · 51%FT%67% · 86%
Same league and season, per game. The better figure is green. Pick anyone in the league above.

👥 9. Teammates

PlayerGPMINPTSREBASTPRATS%3PM · 3P%UsageTeam pts share+/-StocksForm
Murray Jamal1532.722.54.65.532.665%2.9 · 46%25%20%+5.91.55.9
Jokic Nikola1631.619.69.18.637.360%0.9 · 29%26%19%+2.12.54.1
Strawther Julian418.513.22.81.017.061%2.5 · 43%29%3%-0.50.5–
Gordon Aaron1525.712.35.11.618.958%1.3 · 33%20%11%+2.71.11.2
Johnson Cameron1324.711.33.31.516.163%2.2 · 43%17%9%+3.71.15.1
Braun Christian1629.010.84.21.816.856%1.2 · 32%15%10%+4.22.13.9
DeRozan DeMar1420.99.11.92.713.650%0.2 · 17%20%8%-3.40.91.8
BHB. Hopkins311.37.71.70.39.777%0.3 · -21%1%+4.30.7–
Whitmore Cam711.97.31.30.49.056%0.4 · 23%24%3%-4.70.33.8
III Marvin Bagley1513.16.54.40.511.458%0.1 · -20%6%+0.60.95.7
TBT. Brazile516.05.24.20.610.063%0.4 · -12%2%+1.40.4–
JSJones Spencer417.25.02.20.57.867%1.0 · -10%1%-0.80.85.7
Nnaji Zeke67.84.22.00.26.354%0.2 · -26%1%-2.80.38.7
HDHolmes DaRon II87.23.81.50.65.957%0.2 · 20%21%2%-0.10.53.1
RNR. Nembhard79.93.40.72.16.357%0.3 · -15%1%+0.00.43.4
Jones Tyus1612.12.60.83.26.648%0.3 · 25%11%2%-2.60.87.3
MEMiller Emanuel23.02.51.00.03.5-0.0 · -37%0%+0.00.0–
ILIV Lonnie Walker28.52.01.51.04.5-0.5 · -15%0%-2.01.0–
This season, his team, per game. TS% = true shooting, points per shooting possession (threes and free throws counted properly; 20+ attempts). Usage = his share of the team's plays (field-goal attempts, 0.44 x free-throw attempts, turnovers) while he is on the floor. Team pts share = his share of the team's points. +/- = the score while he is on the floor, per game; stocks = steals + blocks. Click a column to sort.

📋 10. Game log

DateOpponentResultMINPTSREBASTFG3PFTGame score /36
15 Nov 26@ New Orleans PelicansW 116-108137703/50/01/221.6
12 Nov 26@ Memphis GrizzliesW 123-118124212/60/00/06.9
10 Nov 26@ Houston RocketsL 100-110126302/20/02/418.3
07 Nov 26@ Indiana PacersW 114-1021210303/60/14/425.5
05 Nov 26v Toronto RaptorsW 128-1091410224/50/12/227.0
03 Nov 26v Portland Trail BlazersL 110-118126402/60/12/411.4
31 Oct 26@ Phoenix SunsW 127-120110500/00/00/08.2
29 Oct 26@ New Orleans PelicansW 104-91198513/60/12/215.5
27 Oct 26v Golden State WarriorsL 114-134117202/30/03/420.6
25 Oct 26v New Orleans PelicansW 141-13595402/20/01/221.6
23 Oct 26@ Oklahoma City ThunderL 84-96112311/30/00/08.2
17 Oct 26@ Los Angeles LakersW 121-1061713806/101/20/125.4
15 Oct 26@ Los Angeles ClippersL 110-122154631/30/12/415.8
07 Oct 26@ Utah JazzW 117-1061510504/50/02/225.4
04 Oct 26v Utah JazzL 97-109145702/70/11/210.3
11 Apr 26@ San Antonio SpursL 120-13982111/40/20/02.9
09 Apr 26@ Phoenix SunsL 107-1122620828/113/61/228.4
08 Apr 26@ Los Angeles ClippersL 103-1162621918/111/14/430.0
05 Apr 26v Los Angeles LakersW 134-128219404/71/10/013.2
28 Mar 26@ Portland Trail BlazersW 100-9327269311/143/51/434.7
26 Mar 26@ Denver NuggetsL 135-142177333/80/21/212.3
24 Mar 26v Golden State WarriorsL 131-137159033/41/22/321.8
22 Mar 26v Los Angeles ClippersL 131-1382517717/82/21/325.3
19 Mar 26v Atlanta HawksL 120-135162701/20/00/010.1
17 Mar 26@ New Orleans PelicansL 111-129199914/71/10/020.7
15 Mar 26@ Cleveland CavaliersW 130-120166502/41/21/213.7
13 Mar 26v Cleveland CavaliersL 105-138274402/50/10/04.4
13 Mar 26@ Memphis GrizzliesW 120-112196903/50/10/015.5
10 Mar 26@ Atlanta HawksL 112-124217663/71/20/018.0
08 Mar 26@ Toronto RaptorsL 92-122206722/60/12/213.5
27 Feb 26v Sacramento KingsL 121-1302910905/60/00/015.3
25 Feb 26@ Brooklyn NetsW 123-11420225110/130/02/434.7
22 Feb 26@ Indiana PacersW 134-13026121115/90/02/418.1
21 Feb 26@ Minnesota TimberwolvesL 111-12224151305/91/24/425.8
13 Feb 26@ Los Angeles LakersL 104-124207403/70/11/28.8
11 Feb 26@ Phoenix SunsL 111-120249824/40/01/418.0
07 Feb 26@ San Antonio SpursL 125-13824161226/141/13/721.6
04 Feb 26v New York KnicksL 101-1321611614/70/03/424.8
01 Feb 26v Sacramento KingsW 116-1121915627/81/10/031.5
19 Jan 26v Los Angeles ClippersL 106-110176812/50/02/216.9
Last 40 games, every competition. Game score /36 = the form composite of each game.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.