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Podgorica vs Lovcen Cetinje Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game73.0
Podgorica
Montenegro
vs
Lovcen Cetinje
Montenegro
Position#10
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game83.8
Allowed / game86.0
MontenegroPrva A LigaRound 12· Bemax Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Podgorica v Lovcen Cetinje
16 Jan 2027
PODG v LOVC
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
PODG63
LOVC69
26 Jan 2025
PODG88
LOVC87
11 Dec 2023
PODG85
LOVC78
30 Nov 2022
PODG106
LOVC71
11 Dec 2021
PODG74
LOVC84
05 Apr 2021
PODG91
LOVC93
11 Feb 2021
PODG85
LOVC92
17 Nov 2020
PODG83
LOVC76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Podgorica win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Lovcen Cetinje win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PodgoricaMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPodgorica
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
82-73
82
73
+9
74avg 78
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
92-73
92
73
+19
no box
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
90-84
90
84
+6
81avg 78
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
84-85
84
85
-1
73avg 78
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
86-78
86
78
+8
82avg 78
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
109-117 OT
109
117
-8
106avg 78
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
L
64-76
64
76
-12
54avg 78
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
127-47
127
47
+80
no box
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
89-99
89
99
-10
no box
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
L
96-112
96
112
-16
no box
H03/11
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
25-13
15-16
20-16
27-20
24-14
21-15
20-24
18-20
32-23
18-14
22-27
18-18
20-23
23-20
23-24
21-15
27-17
14-22
24-24
26-23
18-26
29-29
29-24
21-18
16-19
15-14
12-25
33-13
32-13
32-15
30-6
20-15
23-32
20-31
26-21
25-20
27-30
21-31
23-31
176.3Avg total
91.9Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)108.073.0181.0+35.050%
Season at home (1)127.047.0174.0+80.0100%
Season away (1)89.099.0188.0-10.00%
Last 10 (10)91.984.4176.3+7.550%
Last 5 (5)97.090.2187.2+6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)76.185.6161.8-9.512%
vs Similar (9)80.380.3160.7+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.475.5163.9+12.877%
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeMontenegroLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCetinje
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
90-66
90
66
+24
90avg 75
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
L
65-72
65
72
-7
59avg 75
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
87-59
87
59
+28
92avg 75
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
59-81
59
81
-22
43avg 75
H03/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
74-99
74
99
-25
68avg 75
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
79-109
79
109
-30
71avg 75
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
L
77-87
77
87
-10
no box
A27/10
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
no box
H02/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
88-109
88
109
-21
no box
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
W
99-69
99
69
+30
no box
H15/11
Prva A Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
23-8
23-19
26-19
20-20
24-20
7-16
14-16
27-18
17-16
18-18
25-7
14-13
20-20
15-18
10-30
13-22
23-28
18-25
20-24
21-29
10-25
22-27
26-28
17-24
19-21
27-16
14-26
20-19
22-21
11-30
18-9
19-28
31-25
18-25
20-31
21-16
24-11
30-23
24-19
161.9Avg total
78.9Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.886.0169.8-2.225%
Season at home (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
Season away (2)82.598.0180.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)78.983.0161.9-4.130%
Last 5 (5)82.890.6173.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)73.393.1166.4-19.80%
vs Similar (11)81.771.1152.8+10.682%
vs Weaker (10)81.474.2155.6+7.270%
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.1+4.1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.2-1.2
PodgoricaLovcen Cetinje
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PodgoricaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tivat
#12
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H07/03
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#9
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H11/03
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H15/03
Prva A Liga
Decic
#10
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Jedinstvo
#6
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H26/03
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A04/04
Prva A Liga
Hercegovac
#2
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/10
ABA League 2
Lim Berane
#13
W
65-26
65
26
+39
H25/10
Prva A Liga
Primorje
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A01/11
Prva A Liga
Sloboda
#1
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H03/11
ABA League 2
87.5Avg total
47.5Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.779.0+3.657%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.838.982.7+4.862%-
Last 30 away (14)38.436.374.7+2.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.540.087.5+7.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.241.890.0+6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)37.640.578.1-2.938%-
vs Similar (9)40.937.978.8+3.056%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)43.835.879.6+7.969%-
This opponent (Lovcen Cetinje) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lovcen CetinjeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mornar Bar
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H16/03
Prva A Liga
Danilovgrad
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A21/03
Prva A Liga
Kotor
#8
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/03
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
W
34-33
34
33
+1
H03/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H11/04
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A18/04
Prva A Liga
Studentski Centar
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A27/10
Prva A Liga
Mornar Bar
#2
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H02/11
Prva A Liga
Sutjeska
#1
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A06/11
Prva A Liga
Decic
#12
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H15/11
Prva A Liga
80.7Avg total
40.3Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.680.5+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.837.177.9+3.767%-
Last 30 away (15)41.042.183.1-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.340.480.7-0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.884.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)37.345.382.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (11)43.436.880.2+6.564%-
vs Weaker (10)41.437.578.9+3.970%-
This opponent (Podgorica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Podgoricatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Podgorica: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.022.0
52.4%
58.8%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.17.4
32.0%
31.5%22.2
🏀 Free throws23.616.8
71.2%
69.7%16.8
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lovcen Cetinjetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lovcen Cetinje: 79.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 87.9 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.317.4
59.4%
58.8%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.010.6
32.1%
31.5%31.8
🏀 Free throws18.912.8
67.7%
69.7%12.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Podgorica
LLWLLWLWWW
Lovcen Cetinje
WLLLLLLWLW
#7
League position
#10
+0.0
Net rating
+3.1
103.7
Offensive rating
112.2
103.7
Defensive rating
109.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
53.5%
50.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
5.2%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
32.0%
3-point %
32.1%
58.2%
Assist %
62.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.7 · 112.2Defence103.7 · 109.0Shooting50.8% · 53.5%3-point %32.0% · 32.1%Ball care5.2% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Podgorica   ■ Lovcen Cetinje
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Podgorica wins
4
Lovcen Cetinje wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Podgorica v Lovcen Cetinje63-69
12/10/25Lovcen Cetinje v Podgorica86-79
26/01/25Podgorica v Lovcen Cetinje88-87
13/10/24Lovcen Cetinje v Podgorica46-89
06/03/24Lovcen Cetinje v Podgorica72-71
11/12/23Podgorica v Lovcen Cetinje85-78
04/03/23Lovcen Cetinje v Podgorica63-80
30/11/22Podgorica v Lovcen Cetinje106-71
03/04/22Lovcen Cetinje v Podgorica88-92
15/12/21Lovcen Cetinje v Podgorica76-75
Podgoricalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HSloboda96-112
01/11/26APrimorje89-99
25/10/26HLim Berane127-47
22/10/26AHercegovac64-76
04/04/26AMornar Bar109-117 OT
26/03/26HJedinstvo86-78
21/03/26ADecic84-85
15/03/26HPrimorje90-84
11/03/26HStudentski Centar92-73
07/03/26HTivat82-73
Lovcen Cetinjelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HDecic99-69
06/11/26ASutjeska88-109
02/11/26HMornar Bar71-79
27/10/26AStudentski Centar77-87
18/04/26ASutjeska79-109
11/04/26HSutjeska74-99
03/04/26HSutjeska59-81
28/03/26AKotor87-59
21/03/26ADanilovgrad65-72
16/03/26HMornar Bar90-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Podgorica
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game108.0127.089.0
Allowed / game73.047.099.0
Point differential+35.0+80.0-10.0
Avg total181.0174.0188.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lovcen Cetinje
Prva A Liga 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game83.885.082.5
Allowed / game86.074.098.0
Point differential-2.2+11.0-15.5
Avg total169.8159.0180.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sutjeska440100%96.873.2+23.5
2 Mornar Bar440100%93.074.2+18.8
3 Primorje220100%92.083.5+8.5
4 Kotor32167%83.774.7+9.0
5 Studentski Centar32167%87.780.7+7.0
6 Danilovgrad32167%72.778.0-5.3
7 Podgorica21150%108.073.0+35.0
8 Vukovi Zeta42250%84.271.0+13.2
9 Jedinstvo31233%69.788.3-18.7
10 Lovcen Cetinje41325%83.886.0-2.2
11 Tivat41325%80.086.2-6.2
12 Decic4040%67.588.8-21.2
13 Lim Berane4040%64.8106.2-41.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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