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Polabi vs Valecnici Decin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Projected 79-83
Projected total 161.8
Scheduled
Position#17
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.7
Allowed / game86.4
Polabi
Czech Republic
Vs
38%
62%
■ POLA 38%■ VALE 62%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Valecnici Decin
Czech Republic
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game71.7
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 10· MSH Ostende
Other2026-27
Meetings · Polabi v Valecnici Decin
22 Nov 2026
POLA v VALE
upcoming
30 Jan 2026
POLA91
VALE84
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Polabi host Valecnici Decin in the 1. Liga. Pythia makes Valecnici Decin the favourite at 62% and projects 79-83, about 162 points in all. Overtime chance: 5%. Polabi are 2-7 this season (82.7 scored, 86.4 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Valecnici Decin are 7-0 this season (85.1 scored, 71.7 allowed a game), form WWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polabi win
37.6%fair 2.66
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Valecnici Decin win
62.4%fair 1.60
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolabiCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolabi
Date
Competition
Opava 2
#16
L
73-111
73
111
-38
53avg 75
A20/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
60avg 75
A18/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
88-72
88
72
+16
77avg 75
H27/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#19
L
93-98
93
98
-5
76avg 75
A04/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
73-77
73
77
-4
60avg 75
A11/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 75
H18/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#16
W
86-75
86
75
+11
80avg 75
A23/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
76avg 75
H01/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#10
L
93-100 OT
93
100
-7
no box
A06/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
82-103
82
103
-21
no box
H15/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-37
11-24
28-26
20-24
19-20
24-29
18-23
14-12
27-14
17-20
28-22
16-16
18-20
23-19
16-32
36-27
18-18
11-20
21-18
23-21
14-19
22-22
30-23
9-25
23-22
28-14
13-14
22-25
16-30
24-13
24-19
15-18
13-23
13-21
35-15
22-24
20-28
23-31
21-29
18-15
170.6Avg total
81.7Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)82.786.4169.1-3.822%
Season at home (4)81.086.0167.0-5.025%
Season away (5)84.086.8170.8-2.820%
Last 10 (10)81.788.9170.6-7.220%
Last 5 (5)83.089.4172.4-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)78.285.6163.8-7.420%
vs Similar (15)83.381.5164.8+1.753%
vs Weaker (5)92.287.2179.4+5.060%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 69
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
62avg 69
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 69
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#17
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 69
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
68-64 OT
68
64
+4
56avg 69
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#16
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 69
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#10
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 69
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
88-78
88
78
+10
73avg 69
A23/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
89-51
89
51
+38
no box
H06/11
1. Liga
Radotin
#19
W
91-73
91
73
+18
no box
A15/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-13
19-28
26-7
20-17
16-28
26-18
20-27
16-20
17-19
17-23
29-26
17-18
20-19
29-24
23-18
12-14
17-18
15-13
7-18
17-7
14-16
21-21
26-12
18-22
26-18
24-19
20-25
27-28
17-13
25-27
23-18
23-20
24-16
16-14
36-11
13-10
20-14
22-19
32-19
17-21
158.5Avg total
83.9Scored
74.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.171.7156.9+13.4100%
Season at home (4)87.271.8159.0+15.5100%
Season away (3)82.371.7154.0+10.7100%
Last 10 (10)83.974.6158.5+9.380%
Last 5 (5)88.872.6161.4+16.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.284.5158.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)81.775.9157.6+5.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.175.5162.6+11.587%
This opponent (Polabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156
Over 156
63.3%
Under 156
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 161
Over 161
51.1%
Under 161
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 166
Over 166
39.0%
Under 166
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Polabi total 78
Over 78
54.0%
Under 78
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polabi total 82
Over 82
38.2%
Under 82
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polabi total 86
Over 86
24.4%
Under 86
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valecnici Decin total 75
Over 75
78.1%
Under 75
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valecnici Decin total 79
Over 79
64.5%
Under 79
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valecnici Decin total 83
Over 83
48.6%
Under 83
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Polabi -3
POLA -3
29.1%
VALE +3
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
POLA
No market prices yet.
VALE
No market prices yet.
Spread Polabi 0
POLA 0
37.6%
VALE 0
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
POLA
No market prices yet.
VALE
No market prices yet.
Spread Polabi +3
POLA +3
46.3%
VALE -3
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
POLA
No market prices yet.
VALE
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.9-4.9Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +6.1+6.1Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.3+0.3
PolabiValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolabiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Opava 2
#16
L
25-61
25
61
-36
A20/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#1
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A18/09
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H27/09
1. Liga
Radotin
#19
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A04/10
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A11/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H18/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#16
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A23/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#8
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/11
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#10
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A06/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
43-59
43
59
-16
H15/11
1. Liga
82.2Avg total
37.8Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.741.581.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.942.683.5-1.740%-
Last 30 away (15)38.540.478.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.482.2-6.630%-
Last 5 (5)39.244.683.8-5.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.942.680.5-4.720%-
vs Similar (15)39.041.680.6-2.640%-
vs Weaker (5)45.439.084.4+6.480%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#17
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#16
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#10
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/11
1. Liga
Radotin
#19
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A15/11
1. Liga
78.5Avg total
40.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.479.2+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.038.477.4+0.647%-
Last 30 away (15)40.640.581.1+0.153%-
Last 10 (10)40.538.078.5+2.560%-
Last 5 (5)41.835.477.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.882.2-7.225%-
vs Similar (11)38.638.076.6+0.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)41.339.180.3+2.260%-
This opponent (Polabi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polabitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polabi: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.6
47.4%
51.2%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.810.6
30.5%
27.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.211.8
55.7%
61.8%11.8
They take 74.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.9
55.7%
51.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.46.0
21.1%
27.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.016.1
61.9%
61.8%16.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polabi
LLLWLLLWLL
Valecnici Decin
WWWWWWWLLW
#17
League position
#1
-7.0
Net rating
+5.8
83.0
Offensive rating
85.0
90.0
Defensive rating
79.2
46.6%
Effective FG%
46.4%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
15.7%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
30.5%
3-point %
21.1%
57.9%
Assist %
57.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence83.0 · 85.0Defence90.0 · 79.2Shooting46.6% · 46.4%3-point %30.5% · 21.1%Ball care15.7% · 14.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Polabi   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Polabi wins
2
Valecnici Decin wins
DateGameScore
18/09/26Valecnici Decin v Polabi84-75
30/01/26Polabi v Valecnici Decin91-84
16/11/25Valecnici Decin v Polabi83-68
Polabilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HLitomerice82-103
06/11/26ASokol Prazsky93-100 OT
01/11/26HCZ.ACADEMY79-80
23/10/26ASlavia Prague Tygri86-75
18/10/26HJindrichuv Hradec75-89
11/10/26AUSK Prague B73-77
04/10/26ARadotin93-98
27/09/26HLiberecko88-72
18/09/26AValecnici Decin75-84
20/03/26AOpava 273-111
Valecnici Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26ARadotin91-73
06/11/26HLiberecko89-51
23/10/26ALitomerice88-78
16/10/26HSokol Prazsky97-90
02/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri79-71
27/09/26AJindrichuv Hradec68-64 OT
18/09/26HPolabi84-75
11/04/26HZlin80-86
08/04/26AZlin78-93
29/03/26HPardubice 285-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polabi
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeWLLL25%
AwayLLLWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %22%25%20%
Points / game82.781.084.0
Allowed / game86.486.086.8
Point differential-3.8-5.0-2.8
Avg total169.1167.0170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %11%0%20%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.282.3
Allowed / game71.771.871.7
Point differential+13.4+15.5+10.7
Avg total156.9159.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%25%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin770100%85.171.7+13.4
2 Jindrichuv Hradec98189%85.971.8+14.1
3 Novy Jicin98189%86.673.4+13.1
4 Zlin97278%87.867.9+19.9
5 Svitavy97278%91.484.1+7.3
6 USK Prague B86275%80.173.9+6.2
7 Brno U2395456%85.780.4+5.2
8 CZ.ACADEMY63350%80.278.2+2.0
9 Litomerice84450%81.881.5+0.2
10 Sokol Prazsky94544%85.087.1-2.1
11 Vysoka94544%73.275.4-2.2
12 SK Zabovresky94544%72.278.6-6.3
13 Pardubice 283538%75.180.0-4.9
14 Opava 293633%73.877.3-3.6
15 Liberecko72529%67.379.7-12.4
16 Slavia Prague Tygri82625%79.081.9-2.9
17 Polabi92722%82.786.4-3.8
18 MS Academy92722%75.686.3-10.8
19 Radotin92722%73.186.7-13.6
20 Basketbal Olomouc81712%65.986.5-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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