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Poland vs Austria Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 28 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 90-78
22-18 21-21 26-21 21-18
Position#7
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Poland 🏆
vs
Position#54
Record5-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game89.2
Allowed / game76.2
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Polsat Plus Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Poland v Austria
28 Nov 2025
POLA90
AUST78
23 Feb 2023
POLA87
AUST72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Poland winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Austria winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoland
Date
Competition
Estonia
#10
W
88-86
88
86
+2
no box
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
48-82
48
82
-34
33avg 72
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
74-88
74
88
-14
67avg 72
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
105-95
105
95
+10
98avg 72
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 72
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
84-75
84
75
+9
82avg 72
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
76avg 72
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
69-70
69
70
-1
64avg 72
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 72
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
76avg 72
A09/09
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-25
18-17
22-21
26-23
18-15
14-22
10-25
6-20
19-26
20-19
16-22
19-21
29-25
18-21
33-23
25-26
19-14
18-12
11-25
18-13
19-16
22-16
20-19
23-24
24-27
20-14
11-19
21-23
17-16
16-23
25-19
11-12
14-23
26-21
22-17
18-11
19-19
13-27
18-19
27-26
157.3Avg total
76.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.780.6157.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)77.278.2155.4-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)75.185.7160.8-10.629%
vs Similar (10)83.675.0158.6+8.690%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)76.071.3147.3+4.767%
This opponent (Austria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustriaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAustria
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
L
71-85
71
85
-14
no box
H02/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
74-84
74
84
-10
no box
A05/08
EuroBasket
Armenia
#52
W
106-91
106
91
+15
no box
H22/02
World Cup
Albania
#72
W
99-63
99
63
+36
no box
A21/11
World Cup
Armenia
#52
W
129-80
129
80
+49
no box
A24/11
World Cup
Albania
#72
L
67-78
67
78
-11
no box
H23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
L
64-65
64
65
-1
no box
A02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
88-76
88
76
+12
no box
H06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
83-70
83
70
+13
no box
H13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
L
78-87
78
87
-9
no box
A16/08
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-28
25-25
14-16
19-16
17-22
23-19
18-22
16-21
23-29
31-19
25-20
27-23
27-18
23-17
32-12
17-16
39-22
29-6
36-25
25-27
16-19
15-16
17-22
19-21
12-21
23-13
14-18
15-13
24-14
24-14
28-25
12-23
19-10
20-21
30-17
14-22
17-23
20-15
22-24
19-25
163.8Avg total
85.9Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)89.276.2165.5+13.062%
Season at home (4)86.078.8164.8+7.275%
Season away (4)92.573.8166.2+18.850%
Last 10 (10)85.977.9163.8+8.050%
Last 5 (5)76.075.2151.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)71.684.0155.6-12.40%
vs Similar (10)70.375.6145.9-5.330%
vs Weaker (12)88.275.1163.3+13.267%
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
PolandAustria
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Estonia
#10
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A24/11
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#4
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H21/02
EuroBasket
North Macedonia
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A24/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#8
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A28/08
EuroBasket
Israel
#12
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H30/08
EuroBasket
Iceland
#22
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H31/08
EuroBasket
France
#5
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A02/09
EuroBasket
Belgium
#16
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#13
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A09/09
EuroBasket
78.3Avg total
38.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.238.876.0-1.637%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.636.373.9+1.350%-
Last 30 away (16)36.940.977.8-4.125%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.878.3-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.478.4-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)35.839.375.1-3.529%-
vs Similar (10)40.238.478.6+1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)35.037.072.0-2.033%-
This opponent (Austria) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AustriaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H02/08
EuroBasket
Norway
#28
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A05/08
EuroBasket
Armenia
#52
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H22/02
World Cup
Albania
#72
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A21/11
World Cup
Armenia
#52
W
68-28
68
28
+40
A24/11
World Cup
Albania
#72
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H23/02
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A02/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H06/08
World Cup
Netherlands
#56
W
39-31
39
31
+8
H13/08
World Cup
Bulgaria
#71
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A16/08
World Cup
81.1Avg total
44.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.576.8+1.750%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.836.776.5+3.153%-
Last 30 away (15)38.738.377.0+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)44.037.181.1+6.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.033.271.2+4.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.443.977.2-10.512%-
vs Similar (10)37.536.574.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker (12)44.634.278.8+10.475%-
This opponent (Poland) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polandtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poland: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.216.0
53.0%
-32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.3
32.4%
-24.9
🏀 Free throws25.019.0
76.0%
-19.0
They take 55.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Austriatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Austria: 69.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.7
51.6%
-35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.07.6
29.2%
-22.8
🏀 Free throws16.411.4
69.5%
-11.4
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poland
LWLLWWWLLW
Austria
LWWLLWWWLL
#7
League position
#54
-5.5
Net rating
-16.8
106.9
Offensive rating
94.9
112.3
Defensive rating
111.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
48.3%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
19.9%
Turnover %
21.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.45
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.4%
3-point %
29.2%
61.7%
Assist %
64.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Poland   ■ Austria
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Poland wins
0
Austria wins
DateGameScore
23/02/23Poland v Austria87-72
28/08/22Austria v Poland55-91
Polandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/09/25ATurkey77-91
07/09/25HBosnia & Herzegovina80-72
04/09/25HBelgium69-70
02/09/25AFrance76-83
31/08/25HIceland84-75
30/08/25HIsrael66-64
28/08/25ASlovenia105-95
24/02/25ANorth Macedonia74-88
21/02/25HLithuania48-82
24/11/24AEstonia88-86
Austrialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/08/25ABulgaria78-87
13/08/25HNetherlands83-70
06/08/25HBulgaria88-76
02/08/25ANetherlands64-65
23/02/25HAlbania67-78
24/11/24AArmenia129-80
21/11/24AAlbania99-63
22/02/24HArmenia106-91
05/08/23ANorway74-84
02/08/23HBulgaria71-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Poland
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Austria
World Cup 2027
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL62%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game89.286.092.5
Allowed / game76.278.873.8
Point differential+13.0+7.2+18.8
Avg total165.5164.8166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
3 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
4 Greece110100%91.064.0+27.0
5 South Sudan220100%94.067.0+27.0
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
8 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
9 Saudi Arabia110100%75.051.0+24.0
10 Turkey110100%93.071.0+22.0
11 Portugal110100%83.062.0+21.0
12 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
13 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
14 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
15 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
16 Jordan110100%74.059.0+15.0
17 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
18 Guinea110100%82.070.0+12.0
19 Spain110100%74.064.0+10.0
20 Tunisia110100%88.078.0+10.0
21 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
22 Iceland110100%81.076.0+5.0
23 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
24 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
25 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
26 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
27 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
28 Lithuania110100%89.088.0+1.0
29 Ukraine54180%81.473.2+8.2
30 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
31 Switzerland118373%76.864.8+12.0
32 Romania96367%75.774.0+1.7
33 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
34 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
35 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
36 Cameroon21150%77.076.5+0.5
37 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
38 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
39 Cape Verde21150%80.593.0-12.5
40 Denmark52340%75.878.8-3.0
41 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
42 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
43 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
44 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
45 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
46 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
47 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
48 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
49 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
50 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
51 Great Britain1010%88.089.0-1.0
52 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
53 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
54 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
55 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
56 Italy1010%76.081.0-5.0
57 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
58 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
59 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
60 Nigeria1010%78.088.0-10.0
61 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
62 Rwanda1010%70.082.0-12.0
63 Georgia1010%79.092.0-13.0
64 Libya2020%63.078.0-15.0
65 Syria1010%59.074.0-15.0
66 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
67 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
68 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
69 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
70 Montenegro1010%62.083.0-21.0
71 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
72 India1010%51.075.0-24.0
73 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
74 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
75 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
76 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
77 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 77 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Poland2221262190
Austria1821211878
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