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Polzela vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-88
28-24 28-24 11-23 15-17
Position#11
Record0-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game90.8
Polzela
Slovenia
vs
LTH Castings 🏆
Slovenia
Position#7
Record2-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game89.6
Allowed / game87.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 6· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2023-24
Meetings · Polzela v LTH Castings
09 Mar 2024
POLZ81
LTH 76
04 Nov 2023
POLZ82
LTH 88
21 Apr 2023
POLZ76
LTH 78
13 Jan 2023
POLZ73
LTH 86
28 Mar 2018
POLZ107
LTH 64
31 Oct 2016
POLZ98
LTH 77
20 Apr 2016
POLZ87
LTH 81
09 Jan 2016
POLZ73
LTH 80
23 Mar 2013
POLZ83
LTH 72
02 Feb 2013
POLZ73
LTH 64
24 Mar 2012
POLZ84
LTH 71
05 Nov 2011
POLZ73
LTH 58
20 Nov 2010
POLZ87
LTH 45
24 Mar 2010
POLZ80
LTH 66
24 Oct 2009
POLZ79
LTH 66
20 Dec 2008
POLZ114
LTH 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
85-80
85
80
+5
no box
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
no box
H21/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
88-128
88
128
-40
no box
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
87-105
87
105
-18
no box
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
81-100
81
100
-19
78avg 72
H29/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
83-109
83
109
-26
72avg 72
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
73-78
73
78
-5
73avg 72
H13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#33
W
99-72
99
72
+27
no box
A18/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-71
68
71
-3
61avg 72
H23/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
83-96
83
96
-13
78avg 72
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
24-18
19-21
16-22
20-26
18-18
16-16
22-18
23-32
21-28
26-30
18-38
27-32
21-26
17-24
22-23
22-26
20-23
23-28
16-23
29-22
15-34
22-28
17-25
19-20
14-26
21-17
19-15
30-23
20-21
22-19
27-9
16-20
18-23
16-20
18-8
24-29
21-24
20-24
18-19
174.0Avg total
82.3Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.690.8168.4-13.20%
Season at home (3)74.083.0157.0-9.00%
Season away (2)83.0102.5185.5-19.50%
Last 10 (10)82.391.7174.0-9.420%
Last 5 (5)81.285.2166.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)78.490.0168.4-11.729%
vs Similar ◀ (5)74.078.4152.4-4.420%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
80-95
80
95
-15
no box
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
78-76
78
76
+2
no box
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
66-80
66
80
-14
no box
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
99-95
99
95
+4
85avg 81
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
79-96
79
96
-17
64avg 81
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
108-72
108
72
+36
113avg 81
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
72-77
72
77
-5
64avg 81
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
81avg 81
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#36
W
100-44
100
44
+56
no box
A30/10
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-25
21-20
29-27
18-23
26-20
18-18
16-16
18-22
23-24
24-14
12-21
21-26
12-22
15-20
19-22
20-16
33-25
20-21
21-19
25-30
23-22
18-27
20-18
18-29
28-17
27-18
25-18
28-19
21-19
14-15
23-24
14-19
22-18
25-32
20-22
23-25
28-12
26-10
23-12
23-10
166.9Avg total
85.2Scored
81.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.687.4177.0+2.240%
Season at home (3)99.088.0187.0+11.067%
Season away (2)75.586.5162.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)85.281.7166.9+3.540%
Last 5 (5)89.877.2167.0+12.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)73.685.8159.4-12.229%
vs Similar ◀ (11)86.483.6170.0+2.755%
vs Weaker (1)80.068.0148.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: -4.9-4.9Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -1.1-1.1
PolzelaLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
A17/04
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#9
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H21/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
44-60
44
60
-16
A30/04
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#2
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H07/05
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
42-49
42
49
-7
H29/09
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
44-56
44
56
-12
A04/10
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H13/10
Liga Nova KBM
Vrani Vransko
#33
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A18/10
Slovenian Cup
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H23/10
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A27/10
Liga Nova KBM
91.8Avg total
42.8Scored
49.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.343.784.0-3.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.042.382.3-2.327%-
Last 30 away (15)40.745.185.8-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)42.849.091.8-6.220%-
Last 5 (5)41.248.489.6-7.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)40.844.485.2-3.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.040.276.2-4.220%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H15/04
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A21/04
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatorog Lasko
#11
W
47-38
47
38
+9
A29/04
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#3
L
27-42
27
42
-15
H06/05
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H02/10
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
41-49
41
49
-8
A07/10
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
55-35
55
35
+20
H16/10
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
35-34
35
34
+1
A20/10
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H25/10
Liga Nova KBM
Gorica
#36
W
54-22
54
22
+32
A30/10
Slovenian Cup
83.5Avg total
43.6Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.140.679.7-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.540.780.2-1.236%-
Last 30 away (16)38.740.579.2-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.983.5+3.760%-
Last 5 (5)46.438.084.4+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)36.342.278.5-5.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.040.582.5+1.545%-
vs Weaker (1)39.033.072.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers13.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.417.6
51.2%
52.9%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.84.6
27.4%
33.0%13.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.8
76.2%
74.0%12.8
They take 51.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 16.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 89.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.421.0
59.3%
52.9%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.4
39.9%
33.0%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.013.0
61.9%
74.0%13.0
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/5 games with a box score before 04 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
LLWLLLLLLW
LTH Castings
WLLWLWLLWL
#11
League position
#7
-16.7
Net rating
+3.9
97.3
Offensive rating
115.7
114.0
Defensive rating
111.8
47.9%
Effective FG%
59.5%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
22.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
28.5%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
27.4%
3-point %
39.9%
66.7%
Assist %
56.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 115.7Defence114.0 · 111.8Shooting47.9% · 59.5%3-point %27.4% · 39.9%Ball care22.1% · 18.0%Off. rebounds28.5% · 29.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 40%
■ Polzela   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Polzela wins
5
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
21/04/23Polzela v LTH Castings76-78
13/01/23Polzela v LTH Castings73-86
16/11/22LTH Castings v Polzela79-80
21/04/18LTH Castings v Polzela106-102
28/03/18Polzela v LTH Castings107-64
27/01/17LTH Castings v Polzela74-83 OT
31/10/16Polzela v LTH Castings98-77
20/04/16Polzela v LTH Castings87-81
23/03/16LTH Castings v Polzela102-90 OT
09/01/16Polzela v LTH Castings73-80
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23APerspektiva Ilirija83-96
23/10/23HKK Triglav Kranj68-71
18/10/23AVrani Vransko99-72
13/10/23HTajfun Sentjur73-78
04/10/23AKK Krka Novo mesto83-109
29/09/23HHelios Domzale81-100
07/05/23HHelios Domzale87-105
30/04/23AKK Krka Novo mesto88-128
21/04/23HLTH Castings76-78
17/04/23AZlatorog Lasko85-80
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23AGorica100-44
25/10/23HKK Krka Novo mesto90-97
20/10/23AHelios Domzale72-77
16/10/23HSencur108-72
07/10/23ARogaska79-96
02/10/23HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek99-95
06/05/23HKK Krka Novo mesto66-80
29/04/23AZlatorog Lasko80-85
21/04/23APolzela78-76
15/04/23HPerspektiva Ilirija80-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL0%
HomeLLL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game77.674.083.0
Allowed / game90.883.0102.5
Point differential-13.2-9.0-19.5
Avg total168.4157.0185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL40%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game89.699.075.5
Allowed / game87.488.086.5
Point differential+2.2+11.0-11.0
Avg total177.0187.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto550100%95.071.2+23.8
2 Helios Domzale550100%84.675.2+9.4
3 Tajfun Sentjur64267%74.778.7-4.0
4 Perspektiva Ilirija63350%70.572.3-1.8
5 Sencur63350%77.380.8-3.5
6 LTH Castings52340%89.687.4+2.2
7 Rogaska52340%68.868.6+0.2
8 KK Triglav Kranj62433%68.772.3-3.7
9 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek51420%80.487.2-6.8
10 Polzela5050%77.690.8-13.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polzela2828111582
LTH Castings2424231788
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