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Polzela vs LTH Castings Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 81-76 (OT)
19-20 14-19 16-12 18-16 14-9
Position#11
Record4-15
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game86.9
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#7
Record10-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game85.1
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 20· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2023-24
Meetings · Polzela v LTH Castings
09 Mar 2024
POLZ81
LTH 76
04 Nov 2023
POLZ82
LTH 88
21 Apr 2023
POLZ76
LTH 78
13 Jan 2023
POLZ73
LTH 86
28 Mar 2018
POLZ107
LTH 64
31 Oct 2016
POLZ98
LTH 77
20 Apr 2016
POLZ87
LTH 81
09 Jan 2016
POLZ73
LTH 80
23 Mar 2013
POLZ83
LTH 72
02 Feb 2013
POLZ73
LTH 64
24 Mar 2012
POLZ84
LTH 71
05 Nov 2011
POLZ73
LTH 58
20 Nov 2010
POLZ87
LTH 45
24 Mar 2010
POLZ80
LTH 66
24 Oct 2009
POLZ79
LTH 66
20 Dec 2008
POLZ114
LTH 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LTH Castings winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 70
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-111
92
111
-19
85avg 70
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
79avg 70
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 70
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
79avg 70
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 70
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 70
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 70
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
80-60
80
60
+20
86avg 70
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
65-85
65
85
-20
61avg 70
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-15
25-18
10-27
16-18
26-34
21-25
27-27
18-25
21-27
26-28
18-23
19-24
12-20
25-26
11-33
24-17
22-19
20-23
14-36
25-25
20-21
11-20
28-17
15-18
15-20
13-17
19-21
12-19
19-22
19-21
17-12
14-22
29-16
20-18
13-9
18-17
19-22
17-24
20-16
9-23
160.7Avg total
74.2Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.486.9164.4-9.521%
Season at home (9)76.884.6161.3-7.822%
Season away (10)78.089.1167.1-11.120%
Last 10 (10)74.286.5160.7-12.310%
Last 5 (5)69.475.0144.4-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)82.899.2182.0-16.414%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.680.6157.2-4.031%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCastings
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
72-79
72
79
-7
72avg 73
A15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
82-73
82
73
+9
no box
H18/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
62-85
62
85
-23
no box
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
79-78
79
78
+1
68avg 73
H26/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
64-101
64
101
-37
43avg 73
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
76-74
76
74
+2
70avg 73
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
68-91
68
91
-23
54avg 73
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
74-76
74
76
-2
67avg 73
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
72-87
72
87
-15
63avg 73
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
86-75
86
75
+11
74avg 73
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
20-17
18-16
17-24
14-20
27-17
25-11
16-25
13-19
13-33
22-17
14-16
23-16
14-10
23-32
19-20
21-25
24-25
13-25
6-26
21-20
20-11
17-28
18-15
14-22
13-31
23-20
18-18
18-18
18-20
16-12
22-26
9-30
25-16
21-20
17-21
25-19
25-19
14-21
22-16
155.4Avg total
73.5Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)83.385.1168.4-1.753%
Season at home (10)88.183.0171.1+5.170%
Season away (9)78.087.3165.3-9.333%
Last 10 (10)73.581.9155.4-8.440%
Last 5 (5)75.280.6155.8-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)78.986.0164.9-7.130%
vs Similar ◀ (17)82.983.6166.5-0.659%
vs Weaker (2)90.573.0163.5+17.5100%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -3.8-3.8Q4: -3.8-3.8
PolzelaLTH Castings
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
W
49-34
49
34
+15
H06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A01/03
Liga Nova KBM
83.1Avg total
39.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.546.688.1-5.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.946.487.3-5.414%-
Last 30 away (16)42.046.888.8-4.825%-
Last 10 (10)39.543.683.1-4.120%-
Last 5 (5)36.440.276.6-3.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)43.349.492.6-6.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.043.082.0-4.023%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (LTH Castings) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LTH CastingsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sencur
#5
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A15/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H18/12
Slovenian Cup
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
26-52
26
52
-26
A23/12
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H26/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A03/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H04/03
Liga Nova KBM
78.4Avg total
37.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.240.581.7+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.979.0+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)41.343.284.5-1.947%-
Last 10 (10)37.441.078.4-3.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.641.278.8-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.040.979.9-1.940%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.241.883.0-0.559%-
vs Weaker (2)45.537.583.0+8.050%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 73.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.920.9
48.7%
52.9%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.36.8
31.9%
33.0%20.4
🏀 Free throws16.711.4
68.3%
74.0%11.4
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
LTH Castingstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

LTH Castings: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.419.6
51.0%
52.9%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.1
31.2%
33.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws17.613.2
75.0%
74.0%13.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
LWLLLLLLLL
LTH Castings
WLLLWLWLWL
#11
League position
#7
-15.7
Net rating
-8.2
95.4
Offensive rating
101.6
111.1
Defensive rating
109.9
48.4%
Effective FG%
49.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
21.5%
Turnover %
20.0%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.27
31.9%
3-point %
31.2%
68.6%
Assist %
52.0%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 101.6Defence111.1 · 109.9Shooting48.4% · 49.3%3-point %31.9% · 31.2%Ball care21.5% · 20.0%Off. rebounds31.2% · 31.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)10% · 40%
■ Polzela   ■ LTH Castings
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Polzela wins
5
LTH Castings wins
DateGameScore
13/01/24LTH Castings v Polzela76-74
04/11/23Polzela v LTH Castings82-88
21/04/23Polzela v LTH Castings76-78
13/01/23Polzela v LTH Castings73-86
16/11/22LTH Castings v Polzela79-80
21/04/18LTH Castings v Polzela106-102
28/03/18Polzela v LTH Castings107-64
27/01/17LTH Castings v Polzela74-83 OT
31/10/16Polzela v LTH Castings98-77
20/04/16Polzela v LTH Castings87-81
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija65-85
06/02/24HSencur80-60
27/01/24ARogaska69-77
20/01/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek59-77
13/01/24ALTH Castings74-76
06/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-103
22/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-96
16/12/23ATajfun Sentjur84-102
10/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto92-111
04/12/23AHelios Domzale66-78
LTH Castingslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/24HKK Triglav Kranj86-75
03/02/24ATajfun Sentjur72-87
27/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija74-76
20/01/24AKK Triglav Kranj68-91
13/01/24HPolzela76-74
03/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto64-101
26/12/23HHelios Domzale79-78
23/12/23APerspektiva Ilirija62-85
18/12/23HPerspektiva Ilirija82-73
15/12/23ASencur72-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL21%
HomeWLLLW22%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %21%22%20%
Points / game77.476.878.0
Allowed / game86.984.689.1
Point differential-9.5-7.8-11.1
Avg total164.4161.3167.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%0%10%
LTH Castings
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW53%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %53%70%33%
Points / game83.388.178.0
Allowed / game85.183.087.3
Point differential-1.7+5.1-9.3
Avg total168.4171.1165.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%20%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)75% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto2016480%91.377.8+13.5
2 Helios Domzale1915479%85.777.2+8.5
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1913668%81.376.6+4.6
4 LTH Castings1910953%83.385.1-1.7
5 Sencur20101050%76.878.8-2.0
6 Tajfun Sentjur1981142%79.885.2-5.3
7 KK Triglav Kranj1971237%75.377.0-1.7
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1971237%81.785.6-3.9
9 Rogaska1961332%74.977.9-3.1
10 Polzela1941521%77.486.9-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Polzela191416181481
LTH Castings20191216976
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