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Portugal vs Latvia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 01 Sep 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 62-78
21-23 7-27 15-15 19-13
Position#17
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game61.7
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Latvia 🏆
Position#11
Record1-2
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game82.3
EuropeEuroBasketRound 4· Xiaomi Arena
Other2025
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portugal winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Latvia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPortugal
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
L
82-90
82
90
-8
no box
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
70-72
70
72
-2
no box
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
78avg 63
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
L
82-83
82
83
-1
73avg 63
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
78-84
78
84
-6
69avg 63
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
60-88
60
88
-28
42avg 63
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
62-50
62
50
+12
54avg 63
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
69-80
69
80
-11
56avg 63
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
54-95
54
95
-41
41avg 63
A30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
21-24
18-27
24-20
19-19
17-19
17-18
17-16
26-16
21-16
15-27
17-18
22-10
27-14
15-24
18-26
17-24
32-20
19-22
14-17
18-18
14-29
21-18
25-19
17-24
15-17
18-30
10-17
13-10
19-19
13-11
17-10
19-23
14-20
16-21
20-16
13-22
14-29
10-22
17-22
151.1Avg total
71.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)61.775.0136.7-13.333%
Season at home (1)69.080.0149.0-11.00%
Season away (2)58.072.5130.5-14.550%
Last 10 (10)71.879.3151.1-7.530%
Last 5 (5)64.679.4144.0-14.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)63.678.3141.9-14.720%
vs Similar (6)80.380.2160.5+0.233%
vs Weaker (14)78.467.6146.0+10.779%
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLatvia
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
W
98-63
98
63
+35
no box
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
64-52
64
52
+12
no box
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
68avg 73
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
W
85-83
85
83
+2
79avg 73
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
83-66
83
66
+17
79avg 73
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
89-68
89
68
+21
86avg 73
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
62avg 73
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
W
72-70
72
70
+2
64avg 73
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
80-84
80
84
-4
74avg 73
H30/08
EuroBasket
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
21-18
28-9
21-16
23-14
17-23
17-20
22-18
15-10
16-17
14-11
19-14
17-25
25-19
17-13
16-15
16-20
20-21
22-25
27-17
20-17
21-17
22-16
20-16
20-15
19-18
30-18
20-17
21-24
18-23
16-25
18-21
17-21
21-21
25-19
9-9
18-22
20-20
18-25
24-17
152.4Avg total
79.8Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)75.082.3157.3-7.333%
Season at home (2)76.588.5165.0-12.00%
Season away (1)72.070.0142.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.872.6152.4+7.280%
Last 5 (5)79.476.2155.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.092.7168.7-16.70%
vs Similar (9)83.877.2161.0+6.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)83.268.2151.3+15.0100%
This opponent (Portugal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -5.8-5.8Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: +3.6+3.6
PortugalLatvia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PortugalLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bulgaria
#13
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A26/02
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H22/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A25/02
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-24
49
24
+25
H22/11
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Israel
#5
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A21/02
EuroBasket
Ukraine
#36
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H24/02
EuroBasket
Czech Republic
#23
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A27/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H29/08
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A30/08
EuroBasket
76.9Avg total
37.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.437.076.4+2.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.436.476.9+4.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.437.676.0+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.276.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.242.273.4-11.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)33.237.170.3-3.940%-
vs Similar (6)41.741.383.0+0.333%-
vs Weaker (14)42.835.177.9+7.679%-
This opponent (Latvia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LatviaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lithuania
#9
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H09/09
World Cup
Spain
#22
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A22/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H25/02
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H22/11
EuroBasket
Belgium
#18
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A25/11
EuroBasket
Spain
#22
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H20/02
EuroBasket
Slovakia
#23
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A23/02
EuroBasket
Turkey
#2
L
39-47
39
47
-8
H27/08
EuroBasket
Estonia
#18
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A29/08
EuroBasket
Serbia
#6
L
38-42
38
42
-4
H30/08
EuroBasket
77.8Avg total
39.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.237.278.4+4.163%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.235.976.2+4.369%-
Last 30 away (17)42.038.180.1+3.959%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.577.8+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.678.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)39.744.083.7-4.30%-
vs Similar (9)39.940.780.6-0.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)42.234.376.4+7.989%-
This opponent (Portugal) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Portugaltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Portugal: 70.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.317.5
45.7%
52.4%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.77.7
27.8%
33.4%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.012.5
69.4%
73.1%12.5
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Latviatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Latvia: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.715.4
52.1%
52.4%30.9
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.1
35.1%
33.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.815.7
75.4%
73.1%15.7
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/9 games with a box score before 01 Sep 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Portugal
LLWLLLWWLL
Latvia
LWLWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#11
-10.9
Net rating
+5.5
95.4
Offensive rating
108.7
106.3
Defensive rating
103.2
44.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
20.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
34.7%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.8%
3-point %
35.1%
65.5%
Assist %
70.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence95.4 · 108.7Defence106.3 · 103.2Shooting44.0% · 52.4%3-point %27.8% · 35.1%Ball care20.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds34.7% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Portugal   ■ Latvia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Portugal wins
0
Latvia wins
No previous meetings.
Portugallast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/25ATurkey54-95
29/08/25HSerbia69-80
27/08/25ACzech Republic62-50
24/02/25HUkraine60-88
21/02/25AIsrael78-84
25/11/24ASlovenia82-83
22/11/24HSlovenia82-74
25/02/24AUkraine79-77
22/02/24HIsrael70-72
26/02/23ABulgaria82-90
Latvialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/08/25HSerbia80-84
29/08/25AEstonia72-70
27/08/25HTurkey73-93
23/02/25ASlovakia89-68
20/02/25HSpain83-66
25/11/24ABelgium85-83
22/11/24HBelgium75-72
25/02/24HSlovakia64-52
22/02/24ASpain79-75
09/09/23HLithuania98-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portugal
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game61.769.058.0
Allowed / game75.080.072.5
Point differential-13.3-11.0-14.5
Avg total136.7149.0130.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Latvia
EuroBasket 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game75.076.572.0
Allowed / game82.388.570.0
Point differential-7.3-12.0+2.0
Avg total157.3165.0142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Germany440100%109.576.0+33.5
2 Greece330100%88.362.7+25.7
3 Turkey440100%91.067.2+23.8
4 Finland330100%95.778.0+17.7
5 Serbia330100%87.371.0+16.3
6 Poland330100%85.078.0+7.0
7 Spain32167%82.765.7+17.0
8 Lithuania32167%92.081.3+10.7
9 Italy32167%80.072.0+8.0
10 France32167%88.080.3+7.7
11 Israel32167%76.368.7+7.7
12 Slovenia31233%92.092.3-0.3
13 Bosnia & Herzegovina31233%79.082.7-3.7
14 Latvia31233%75.082.3-7.3
15 Belgium31233%68.080.7-12.7
16 Portugal31233%61.775.0-13.3
17 Georgia31233%66.080.3-14.3
18 Sweden41325%83.086.0-3.0
19 Estonia41325%71.882.2-10.5
20 Montenegro41325%73.891.5-17.8
21 Iceland3030%70.079.3-9.3
22 Czech Republic3030%67.781.0-13.3
23 Cyprus3030%60.092.7-32.7
24 Great Britain4040%66.2100.2-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Portugal217151962
Latvia2327151378
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