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Prienai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 89-59
15-17 25-16 21-10 28-16
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game80.7
Prienai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis
Lithuania
Position#11
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game87.7
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Prienai v Nevezis
04 Feb 2023
PRI86
NEV98
18 Apr 2022
PRI86
NEV97
30 Jan 2022
PRI93
NEV102
21 Oct 2021
PRI89
NEV59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
99avg 83
A19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
82avg 83
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
82avg 83
A04/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-92
65
92
-27
69avg 83
H12/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
no box
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
79-87
79
87
-8
no box
H17/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-13
15-16
15-22
19-36
18-27
26-27
21-25
25-17
22-20
21-31
21-12
16-27
24-14
16-27
21-23
14-24
18-12
13-26
32-16
20-27
13-13
15-19
26-15
15-25
22-27
23-16
17-20
19-22
22-27
13-22
14-22
16-21
16-13
13-24
16-13
22-17
18-19
21-21
28-21
12-26
162.3Avg total
76.9Scored
85.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)81.080.7161.7+0.367%
Season at home (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season away (2)81.078.5159.5+2.5100%
Last 10 (10)76.985.4162.3-8.520%
Last 5 (5)74.682.4157.0-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)73.483.0156.4-9.620%
vs Similar (4)79.889.5169.2-9.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)92.775.7168.3+17.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#9
W
85-56
85
56
+29
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
57-79
57
79
-22
no box
H25/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
no box
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
102avg 83
H19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
78avg 83
H22/09
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
no box
H28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#4
L
95-97 OT
95
97
-2
no box
A03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
66-81
66
81
-15
76avg 83
A11/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
70-83
70
83
-13
no box
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
76-88
76
88
-12
78avg 83
A18/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-14
29-13
15-18
9-11
18-19
12-24
19-17
8-19
21-25
22-24
15-18
13-22
20-22
31-21
12-21
27-16
28-22
14-14
24-12
7-27
12-18
26-13
16-32
27-20
22-21
22-21
15-22
25-20
25-17
10-24
17-18
14-22
23-28
10-26
16-16
21-13
20-23
22-26
13-20
21-19
157.5Avg total
76.4Scored
81.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.087.7169.7-5.70%
Season at home (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Season away (2)82.590.0172.5-7.50%
Last 10 (10)76.481.1157.5-4.720%
Last 5 (5)77.686.4164.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)73.784.1157.7-10.411%
vs Similar (12)76.481.0157.4-4.642%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: -5.3-5.3Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -3.2-3.2Q4Q4: -6.4-6.4Q4: -1.7-1.7
PrienaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A04/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H12/10
LKL
Neptunas
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H17/10
LKL
78.2Avg total
36.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)38.340.678.9-2.233%-
Last 30 at home (5)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 30 away (7)36.741.678.3-4.914%-
Last 10 (10)36.841.478.2-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)35.240.275.4-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)34.239.874.0-5.60%-
vs Similar (4)41.544.285.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)41.037.078.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#9
W
61-27
61
27
+34
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/09
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Neptunas
#4
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A11/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Jonava
#4
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A18/10
LKL
83.4Avg total
41.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.643.180.7-5.527%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.939.077.9-0.154%-
Last 30 away (17)36.646.282.9-9.66%-
Last 10 (10)41.941.583.4+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)38.443.481.8-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.844.180.9-7.328%-
vs Similar (12)38.941.680.5-2.725%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 72.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.4
52.0%
55.4%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.6
32.5%
34.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws11.88.8
74.6%
74.9%8.8
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.2 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.821.0
44.9%
55.4%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.26.8
26.7%
34.5%20.2
🏀 Free throws23.015.5
67.4%
74.9%15.5
They take 72.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/4 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LWLLLWLLLL
Nevezis
LLLLLLWLLW
#5
League position
#11
-16.8
Net rating
-3.9
96.4
Offensive rating
94.4
113.2
Defensive rating
98.3
50.8%
Effective FG%
43.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.0%
22.5%
Turnover %
14.6%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
25.2%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.5%
3-point %
26.7%
56.4%
Assist %
44.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence96.4 · 94.4Defence113.2 · 98.3Shooting50.8% · 43.2%3-point %32.5% · 26.7%Ball care22.5% · 14.6%Off. rebounds28.7% · 25.2%Free throws0.19 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 20%
■ Prienai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prienai wins
1
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
28/09/21Nevezis v Prienai81-83
19/09/21Nevezis v Prienai90-80
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/21HPieno Zvaigzdes79-87
14/10/21ANeptunas79-76 OT
12/10/21HLietkabelis65-92
07/10/21HJonava81-85
04/10/21AAlytaus Dzukija69-72
28/09/21ANevezis83-81
25/09/21AJuventus75-88
19/09/21ANevezis80-90
16/01/21ALietkabelis90-96
23/12/20HLietkabelis68-87
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/21AJonava76-88
14/10/21AJonava70-83
11/10/21AAlytaus Dzukija66-81
03/10/21ANeptunas95-97 OT
28/09/21HPrienai81-83
22/09/21HJuventus73-75
19/09/21HPrienai90-80
03/12/20APieno Zvaigzdes71-89
25/11/20HPieno Zvaigzdes57-79
27/10/20HVytis VDU85-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLW67%
HomeL0%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%0%100%
Points / game81.081.081.0
Allowed / game80.785.078.5
Point differential+0.3-4.0+2.5
Avg total161.7166.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %33%0%50%
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game82.081.082.5
Allowed / game87.783.090.0
Point differential-5.7-2.0-7.5
Avg total169.7164.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %33%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Juventus440100%87.081.2+5.8
2 Neptunas32167%87.382.7+4.7
3 Jonava32167%80.780.0+0.7
4 Prienai32167%81.080.7+0.3
5 Alytaus Dzukija42250%83.091.0-8.0
6 Pieno Zvaigzdes41325%82.577.2+5.2
7 Siauliai41325%90.893.8-3.0
8 Nevezis3030%82.087.7-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1525212889
Nevezis1716101659
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