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Neptunas vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 13:00
Final 97-95 (OT)
21-22 21-22 22-15 20-25 13-11
Position#4
Record1-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Position#11
Record0-1
FormLLWLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game83.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Nevezis
17 Apr 2027
NEP v NEV
upcoming
03 Oct 2026
NEP89
NEV62
11 Apr 2026
NEP88
NEV93
17 Jan 2026
NEP87
NEV67
10 Jan 2026
NEP113
NEV82
04 May 2025
NEP96
NEV90
09 Feb 2025
NEP94
NEV107
23 Oct 2024
NEP86
NEV88
22 Apr 2024
NEP79
NEV92
20 Nov 2023
NEP97
NEV74
18 Apr 2023
NEP97
NEV91
12 Dec 2022
NEP86
NEV79
03 Apr 2022
NEP95
NEV61
12 Dec 2021
NEP94
NEV87
03 Oct 2021
NEP97
NEV95
07 May 2020
NEP v NEV
upcoming
07 Dec 2019
NEP88
NEV78
28 Apr 2019
NEP86
NEV76
23 Sep 2018
NEP100
NEV76
04 Mar 2018
NEP81
NEV64
24 Sep 2017
NEP92
NEV73
12 Apr 2017
NEP90
NEV53
12 Nov 2016
NEP70
NEV63
23 Apr 2016
NEP103
NEV69
30 Sep 2015
NEP77
NEV66
10 Jan 2015
NEP106
NEV78
30 Sep 2014
NEP115
NEV76
23 Apr 2014
NEP78
NEV76
12 Apr 2013
NEP102
NEV61
02 Mar 2012
NEP91
NEV93
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
W
86-72
86
72
+14
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
83-73
83
73
+10
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
19-19
30-17
18-17
22-18
26-23
21-19
17-17
16-17
25-19
24-19
18-18
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
167.6Avg total
83.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)89.074.0163.0+15.0100%
Season at home (1)89.074.0163.0+15.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.584.1167.6-0.660%
Last 5 (5)79.483.2162.6-3.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)74.787.9162.5-13.27%
vs Similar (14)83.380.5163.8+2.871%
vs Weaker ◀ (1)89.074.0163.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
H09/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A01/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
75-96
75
96
-21
A07/03
LKL
Vytis VDU
#9
L
66-81
66
81
-15
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Vytis VDU
#9
W
85-56
85
56
+29
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
57-79
57
79
-22
H25/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
71-89
71
89
-18
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#11
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
H22/09
LKL
Prienai
#5
L
81-83
81
83
-2
H28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
16-32
13-25
21-18
18-23
17-20
18-22
22-26
13-25
20-23
25-29
17-19
19-12
17-27
18-18
12-24
32-14
29-13
15-18
9-11
18-19
12-24
19-17
8-19
21-25
22-24
15-18
13-22
20-22
31-21
12-21
27-16
28-22
14-14
24-12
7-27
12-18
26-13
16-32
27-20
155.8Avg total
73.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Season at home (1)81.083.0164.0-2.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.682.2155.8-8.620%
Last 5 (5)74.481.2155.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)72.482.2154.6-9.817%
vs Similar (12)78.682.1160.7-3.542%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +4.2+4.2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -3.7-3.7Q4Q4: -5.5-5.5Q4: -3.9-3.9
NeptunasNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#8
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A25/04
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#9
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A29/04
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H01/05
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
81.2Avg total
43.0Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.739.579.2+0.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.137.578.7+3.680%-
Last 30 away (15)38.341.579.8-3.120%-
Last 10 (10)43.038.281.2+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)43.437.280.6+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)38.341.679.9-3.333%-
vs Similar (14)40.137.978.1+2.264%-
vs Weaker ◀ (1)55.030.085.0+25.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
29-49
29
49
-20
H09/02
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A01/03
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A07/03
LKL
Vytis VDU
#9
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Vytis VDU
#9
W
61-27
61
27
+34
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
30-43
30
43
-13
H25/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#5
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A03/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Prienai
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
H19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H22/09
LKL
Prienai
#5
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
80.6Avg total
39.8Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.180.4-3.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.639.178.6+0.550%-
Last 30 away (14)37.045.582.5-8.57%-
Last 10 (10)39.840.880.6-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)40.840.481.2+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.443.079.4-6.628%-
vs Similar (12)41.240.781.9+0.633%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
51%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.6
56.9%
54.9%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.2
35.8%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.413.5
69.6%
74.0%13.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 86.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
51%
29%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.026.0
45.6%
54.9%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.06.0
26.1%
34.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws20.516.5
80.5%
74.0%16.5
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/2 games with a box score before 03 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
WWLLLWLWWW
Nevezis
LLWLLWLLLL
#4
League position
#11
-4.0
Net rating
+10.3
108.1
Offensive rating
99.1
112.0
Defensive rating
88.8
55.7%
Effective FG%
43.8%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
41.0%
20.1%
Turnover %
11.0%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
22.1%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.8%
3-point %
26.1%
62.8%
Assist %
34.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence108.1 · 99.1Defence112.0 · 88.8Shooting55.7% · 43.8%3-point %35.8% · 26.1%Ball care20.1% · 11.0%Off. rebounds28.4% · 22.1%Free throws0.33 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Neptunas   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Neptunas wins
2
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
07/12/19Neptunas v Nevezis88-78
19/10/19Nevezis v Neptunas75-68
28/04/19Neptunas v Nevezis86-76
25/03/19Nevezis v Neptunas70-78
10/11/18Nevezis v Neptunas69-83
23/09/18Neptunas v Nevezis100-76
25/04/18Nevezis v Neptunas74-67
04/03/18Neptunas v Nevezis81-64
16/12/17Nevezis v Neptunas74-85
24/09/17Neptunas v Nevezis92-73
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
04/05/21ARytas76-97
01/05/21HLietkabelis83-73
29/04/21AAlytaus Dzukija86-77
25/04/21APieno Zvaigzdes86-72
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/21HPrienai81-83
22/09/21HJuventus73-75
19/09/21HPrienai90-80
03/12/20APieno Zvaigzdes71-89
25/11/20HPieno Zvaigzdes57-79
27/10/20HVytis VDU85-56
06/10/20AVytis VDU66-81
07/03/20ARytas75-96
01/03/20ASiauliai75-91
09/02/20HZalgiris Kaunas63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game89.089.0-
Allowed / game74.074.0-
Point differential+15.0+15.0-
Avg total163.0163.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Nevezis
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game83.083.0-
Point differential-2.0-2.0-
Avg total164.0164.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas110100%89.074.0+15.0
2 Juventus110100%85.075.0+10.0
3 Alytaus Dzukija110100%96.091.0+5.0
4 Prienai110100%83.081.0+2.0
5 Nevezis1010%81.083.0-2.0
6 Siauliai1010%91.096.0-5.0
7 Pieno Zvaigzdes1010%75.085.0-10.0
8 Jonava1010%74.089.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas212122201397
Nevezis222215251195
← all games of the day
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