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Prienai vs Nevezis Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 18 Apr 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 86-97
18-27 25-20 17-27 26-23
Position#11
Record3-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game87.4
Prienai
Lithuania
vs
Nevezis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#10
Record6-20
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game87.5
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Prienai v Nevezis
04 Feb 2023
PRI86
NEV98
18 Apr 2022
PRI86
NEV97
30 Jan 2022
PRI93
NEV102
21 Oct 2021
PRI89
NEV59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prienai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nevezis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
L
93-102
93
102
-9
83avg 66
H30/01
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
82-88
82
88
-6
no box
A03/02
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
63-73
63
73
-10
50avg 66
H07/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 66
A12/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
W
88-81 OT
88
81
+7
no box
H07/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
73-82
73
82
-9
59avg 66
A12/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
70-77
70
77
-7
62avg 66
H24/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
102-106 OT
102
106
-4
no box
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
62-72
62
72
-10
51avg 66
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
83avg 66
A14/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-35
23-26
21-23
28-18
18-26
18-20
25-20
21-22
15-23
12-22
20-8
16-20
16-20
20-17
19-20
26-21
14-14
17-26
19-18
26-18
18-24
8-29
23-17
24-12
23-21
12-19
11-18
24-19
20-15
24-23
22-28
26-26
13-20
13-19
21-17
15-16
27-19
24-27
14-31
28-19
166.2Avg total
80.7Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)76.787.4164.1-10.811%
Season at home (14)73.984.7158.6-10.814%
Season away (13)79.690.4170.0-10.88%
Last 10 (10)80.785.5166.2-4.820%
Last 5 (5)80.086.6166.6-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)76.186.8162.8-10.716%
vs Similar ◀ (4)80.891.0171.8-10.225%
vs Weaker (1)89.059.0148.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNevezis
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
L
95-100
95
100
-5
80avg 69
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
73-108
73
108
-35
58avg 69
A13/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
77-94
77
94
-17
63avg 69
A15/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
85-109
85
109
-24
68avg 69
H05/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
59avg 69
H12/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
85-92
85
92
-7
74avg 69
H19/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A28/03
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
61-95
61
95
-34
40avg 69
A03/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
93-83
93
83
+10
89avg 69
H11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
64-72
64
72
-8
54avg 69
H14/04
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
24-17
19-27
31-35
22-26
17-25
17-23
17-34
14-21
25-29
27-31
11-13
28-17
21-28
21-30
15-34
12-26
24-21
17-18
13-14
18-18
18-33
29-18
20-23
19-32
24-17
15-22
18-22
8-27
21-26
20-24
12-18
29-26
24-14
19-24
21-19
16-19
13-15
14-20
21-18
170.0Avg total
77.5Scored
92.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.187.5165.7-9.423%
Season at home (14)78.985.0163.9-6.121%
Season away (12)77.290.5167.8-13.225%
Last 10 (10)77.592.5170.0-15.010%
Last 5 (5)75.887.0162.8-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)76.389.1165.4-12.910%
vs Similar ◀ (9)80.483.4163.9-3.044%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: -5.7-5.7Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -5.1-5.1
PrienaiNevezis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#10
L
44-61
44
61
-17
H30/01
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A03/02
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
27-45
27
45
-18
H07/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A12/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/03
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
26-53
26
53
-27
A12/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H24/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A27/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H06/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A14/04
LKL
80.1Avg total
35.6Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.544.179.7-8.617%-
Last 30 at home (17)34.343.577.8-9.212%-
Last 30 away (13)37.244.982.1-7.823%-
Last 10 (10)35.644.580.1-8.920%-
Last 5 (5)36.443.279.6-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (25)34.743.778.4-9.012%-
vs Similar ◀ (4)39.549.589.0-10.025%-
vs Weaker (1)40.033.073.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Nevezis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NevezisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#4
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H05/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A13/02
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A15/02
LKL
Rytas
#1
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H05/03
LKL
Siauliai
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
H12/03
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
L
36-51
36
51
-15
H19/03
LKL
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A28/03
LKL
Neptunas
#5
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A03/04
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H11/04
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/04
LKL
85.6Avg total
39.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.044.683.6-5.733%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.941.781.5-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)38.147.685.7-9.513%-
Last 10 (10)39.845.885.6-6.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.045.483.4-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (21)38.344.482.7-6.133%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.645.185.7-4.633%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Prienai) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.119.8
52.0%
53.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.47.6
29.9%
33.8%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.412.5
76.2%
73.1%12.5
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nevezistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nevezis: 76.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.6
54.2%
53.6%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.4
28.3%
33.8%25.2
🏀 Free throws16.110.5
65.2%
73.1%10.5
They take 67.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prienai
LLLLLWWLLL
Nevezis
LWLLLLLLLL
#11
League position
#10
-11.6
Net rating
-19.4
101.0
Offensive rating
101.3
112.6
Defensive rating
120.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
49.0%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
15.9%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.9%
3-point %
28.3%
55.8%
Assist %
52.1%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 101.3Defence112.6 · 120.7Shooting49.1% · 49.0%3-point %29.9% · 28.3%Ball care15.9% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.5% · 26.0%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)20% · 10%
■ Prienai   ■ Nevezis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Prienai wins
2
Nevezis wins
DateGameScore
30/01/22Prienai v Nevezis93-102
21/10/21Prienai v Nevezis89-59
28/09/21Nevezis v Prienai81-83
19/09/21Nevezis v Prienai90-80
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/22ASiauliai93-96
06/04/22HAlytaus Dzukija62-72
27/03/22APieno Zvaigzdes102-106 OT
24/03/22HAlytaus Dzukija70-77
12/03/22ALietkabelis73-82
07/03/22HJuventus88-81 OT
12/02/22APieno Zvaigzdes81-78
07/02/22HNeptunas63-73
03/02/22ANeptunas82-88
30/01/22HNevezis93-102
Nevezislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/22HZalgiris Kaunas64-72
11/04/22HSiauliai93-83
03/04/22ANeptunas61-95
28/03/22AAlytaus Dzukija76-93
19/03/22HPieno Zvaigzdes85-92
12/03/22HSiauliai66-79
05/03/22HRytas85-109
15/02/22AJuventus77-94
13/02/22ARytas73-108
05/02/22HJonava95-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prienai
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL11%
HomeLLWLL14%
AwayLWLLL8%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %11%14%8%
Points / game76.773.979.6
Allowed / game87.484.790.4
Point differential-10.8-10.8-10.8
Avg total164.1158.6170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (1)25% (4)
Overtime %7%7%8%
Nevezis
LKL 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL23%
HomeLLLWL21%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261412
Win %23%21%25%
Points / game78.178.977.2
Allowed / game87.585.090.5
Point differential-9.4-6.1-13.2
Avg total165.7163.9167.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)20% (5)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2724389%87.075.1+11.9
2 Rytas2623388%90.075.1+15.0
3 Lietkabelis2721678%84.174.8+9.3
4 Juventus26131350%84.182.9+1.2
5 Jonava28141450%77.981.4-3.5
6 Siauliai27131448%81.382.2-0.9
7 Neptunas27121544%77.879.9-2.1
8 Alytaus Dzukija28111739%76.480.5-4.1
9 Pieno Zvaigzdes2781930%81.587.5-6.0
10 Nevezis2662023%78.187.5-9.4
11 Prienai2732411%76.787.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prienai1825172686
Nevezis2720272397
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