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Neptunas vs Prienai Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 14 Oct 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 76-79 (OT)
13-16 24-13 13-16 17-22 9-12
Position#4
Record2-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game93.0
Allowed / game84.5
Neptunas
Lithuania
vs
Prienai 🏆
Lithuania
Position#5
Record1-1
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game83.0
LithuaniaKing Mindaugas Cup
Other2021-22
Meetings · Neptunas v Prienai
21 Dec 2022
NEP80
PRI75
03 Nov 2022
NEP110
PRI89
03 Feb 2022
NEP88
PRI82
14 Oct 2021
NEP76
PRI79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Prienai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
L
76-97
76
97
-21
62avg 75
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
107-106 OT
107
106
+1
no box
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
93-94
93
94
-1
no box
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
78-94
78
94
-16
76avg 75
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
62-83
62
83
-21
76avg 75
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
75-71
75
71
+4
81avg 75
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
89-74
89
74
+15
no box
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
no box
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
61avg 75
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
79-98
79
98
-19
92avg 75
A10/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
28-20
15-22
16-30
17-22
24-14
19-19
18-23
29-21
24-24
19-18
21-31
26-24
20-21
10-24
22-25
15-19
12-18
20-26
15-20
13-19
23-10
24-20
15-22
32-16
23-14
18-16
16-28
21-22
21-22
22-15
20-25
16-25
15-22
5-19
17-15
19-23
23-20
19-23
18-32
170.2Avg total
80.9Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)93.084.5177.5+8.5100%
Season at home (2)93.084.5177.5+8.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)80.989.3170.2-8.440%
Last 5 (5)78.683.8162.4-5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)72.887.6160.4-14.87%
vs Similar (13)83.881.1164.8+2.769%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)93.084.5177.5+8.5100%
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrienai
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#16
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#16
W
108-62
108
62
+46
no box
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
68-87
68
87
-19
no box
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
90-96
90
96
-6
no box
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
80-90
80
90
-10
99avg 83
A19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
75-88
75
88
-13
82avg 83
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#11
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
69-72
69
72
-3
82avg 83
A04/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
L
81-85
81
85
-4
no box
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
65-92
65
92
-27
69avg 83
H12/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
26-13
19-29
26-17
22-19
28-16
26-12
32-15
19-13
15-16
15-22
19-36
18-27
26-27
21-25
25-17
22-20
21-31
21-12
16-27
24-14
16-27
21-23
14-24
18-12
13-26
32-16
20-27
13-13
15-19
26-15
15-25
22-27
23-16
17-20
19-22
22-27
13-22
14-22
16-21
164.3Avg total
80.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.083.0165.0-1.050%
Season at home (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season away (1)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.683.7164.3-3.130%
Last 5 (5)74.683.6158.2-9.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.784.0153.7-14.30%
vs Similar (4)79.889.5169.2-9.80%
vs Weaker (3)92.775.7168.3+17.0100%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: -7.3-7.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
NeptunasPrienai
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A04/05
LKL
Siauliai
#7
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A13/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H16/05
LKL
Lietkabelis
#3
L
27-37
27
37
-10
A18/09
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#9
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H26/09
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H29/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#11
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H03/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H06/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/10
LKL
81.9Avg total
41.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.439.779.1-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.338.278.5+2.169%-
Last 30 away (14)38.341.579.8-3.221%-
Last 10 (10)41.840.181.9+1.750%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)37.541.979.5-4.427%-
vs Similar (13)40.137.677.7+2.569%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)48.537.085.5+11.550%-
This opponent (Prienai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PrienaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#16
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#16
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
W
34-29
34
29
+5
H23/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A16/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A19/09
LKL
Juventus
#6
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A25/09
LKL
Nevezis
#11
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A28/09
King Mindaugas Cup
Alytaus Dzukija
#8
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A04/10
LKL
Jonava
#8
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H07/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Lietkabelis
#3
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H12/10
LKL
80.2Avg total
39.2Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (4)41.039.080.0+2.075%-
Last 30 away (6)38.042.380.3-4.317%-
Last 10 (10)39.241.080.2-1.840%-
Last 5 (5)35.840.676.4-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)34.340.775.0-6.30%-
vs Similar (4)41.544.285.8-2.850%-
vs Weaker (3)41.037.078.0+4.067%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.218.6
56.0%
55.4%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.5
36.6%
34.5%25.5
🏀 Free throws19.113.2
69.1%
74.9%13.2
They take 56.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Prienaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prienai: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.7 points a game
51%
30%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.8
48.5%
55.4%39.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.5
32.3%
34.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws12.08.8
72.9%
74.9%8.8
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/4 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Neptunas
LLWWWLLLWL
Prienai
LLLWLLLLWW
#4
League position
#5
-10.5
Net rating
-19.0
105.9
Offensive rating
94.2
116.3
Defensive rating
113.2
55.6%
Effective FG%
48.4%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
22.9%
Turnover %
21.4%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.19
36.6%
3-point %
32.3%
64.9%
Assist %
56.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.9 · 94.2Defence116.3 · 113.2Shooting55.6% · 48.4%3-point %36.6% · 32.3%Ball care22.9% · 21.4%Off. rebounds29.3% · 29.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Neptunas   ■ Prienai
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Neptunas wins
0
Prienai wins
No previous meetings.
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/21AZalgiris Kaunas79-98
06/10/21HLietkabelis53-81
03/10/21HNevezis97-95 OT
29/09/21HJonava89-74
26/09/21HPieno Zvaigzdes75-71
18/09/21ALietkabelis62-83
16/05/21HLietkabelis78-94
13/05/21ALietkabelis93-94
07/05/21HSiauliai107-106 OT
04/05/21ARytas76-97
Prienailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/21HLietkabelis65-92
07/10/21HJonava81-85
04/10/21AAlytaus Dzukija69-72
28/09/21ANevezis83-81
25/09/21AJuventus75-88
19/09/21ANevezis80-90
16/01/21ALietkabelis90-96
23/12/20HLietkabelis68-87
27/10/20HZalgiris Kaunas 2108-62
06/10/20AZalgiris Kaunas 287-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Neptunas
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game93.093.0-
Allowed / game84.584.5-
Point differential+8.5+8.5-
Avg total177.5177.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %50%50%-
Prienai
King Mindaugas Cup 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.081.083.0
Allowed / game83.085.081.0
Point differential-1.0-4.0+2.0
Avg total165.0166.0164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Neptunas220100%93.084.5+8.5
2 Juventus330100%86.079.0+7.0
3 Jonava32167%80.780.0+0.7
4 Prienai21150%82.083.0-1.0
5 Pieno Zvaigzdes31233%80.773.0+7.7
6 Siauliai31233%87.388.0-0.7
7 Alytaus Dzukija31233%73.787.7-14.0
8 Nevezis3030%82.087.7-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Neptunas13241317976
Prienai161316221279
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