PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Providence faces Bryant University on 10 November 2026 in an NCAA contest, with the model designating Providence as the clear favourite because its 1-1 record, 70.5 points scored and 61.5 allowed per game, and a league position of 215 outweigh Bryant's 1-2 record, 65.0 points scored and 69.7 allowed per game, and a league position of 287. Providence has a perfect 1-0 home record, averaging 83.0 points and allowing 56.0 at home, while Bryant's single road game ended in a 56-66 loss, the only road outing of the season. Providence's last five games feature two wins and three losses, including a 83-56 home victory over Maine Black Bears, whereas Bryant's last five include one win and four losses, highlighted by a 80-75 home win over Siena. The teams have met once before, with Providence winning that encounter. Pythia assigns a 97% probability to a Providence win and 3% to a Bryant win, projecting a 87-64 score for Providence and a total of 151.4 points; the model also estimates a 1% chance of overtime. The home team's line is 87-64, and Providence's probability of covering it is 97%. The game will conclude with Providence's 87-point performance against Bryant's 64.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 70.5 | 61.5 | 132.0 | +9.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (1) | 83.0 | 56.0 | 139.0 | +27.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 58.0 | 67.0 | 125.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.2 | 75.4 | 150.6 | -0.2 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.6 | 73.8 | 150.4 | +2.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 77.1 | 86.1 | 163.2 | -9.0 | 10% |
| vs Similar (17) | 85.2 | 83.5 | 168.7 | +1.8 | 53% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 84.7 | 61.7 | 146.3 | +23.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 65.0 | 69.7 | 134.7 | -4.7 | 33% |
| Season at home (2) | 69.5 | 71.5 | 141.0 | -2.0 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 56.0 | 66.0 | 122.0 | -10.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 66.1 | 75.3 | 141.4 | -9.2 | 20% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.0 | 74.8 | 141.8 | -7.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 61.7 | 74.4 | 136.1 | -12.7 | 17% |
| vs Similar (9) | 67.9 | 69.9 | 137.8 | -2.0 | 44% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 77.0 | 63.5 | 140.5 | +13.5 | 50% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.0 | 38.0 | 74.9 | -1.0 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 38.1 | 35.1 | 73.2 | +3.1 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 35.8 | 40.9 | 76.7 | -5.1 | 33% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.6 | 36.6 | 70.2 | -3.0 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.0 | 37.8 | 69.8 | -5.8 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (10) | 32.9 | 41.5 | 74.4 | -8.6 | 10% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 38.9 | 38.0 | 76.9 | +0.9 | 53% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (3) | 39.3 | 26.0 | 65.3 | +13.3 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 30.6 | 32.6 | 63.2 | -2.0 | 37% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 33.6 | 30.1 | 63.7 | +3.6 | 64% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 27.9 | 34.8 | 62.8 | -6.9 | 12% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 31.2 | 34.7 | 65.9 | -3.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 31.4 | 33.2 | 64.6 | -1.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 28.8 | 36.1 | 64.8 | -7.3 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (9) | 30.4 | 29.7 | 60.1 | +0.8 | 56% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.0 | 22.5 | 64.5 | +19.5 | 100% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | Nebraska | 58-67 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 83-56 |
| 12/03/26 | A | St. John's (N.Y.) | 72-85 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Butler | 91-81 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Georgetown | 79-80 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Marquette | 56-78 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Creighton | 79-76 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Xavier | 94-84 |
| 22/02/26 | A | DePaul | 71-68 |
| 14/02/26 | H | St. John's (N.Y.) | 69-79 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Fairfield | 59-68 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Quinnipiac | 56-66 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Siena | 80-75 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Vermont | 57-77 |
| 03/03/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 83-88 OT |
| 28/02/26 | H | NJIT | 69-52 |
| 26/02/26 | A | UMBC Retrievers | 58-70 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Binghamton | 67-79 |
| 14/02/26 | A | Vermont | 63-90 |
| 12/02/26 | A | UMass Lowell | 69-88 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WL | 50% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 70.5 | 83.0 | 58.0 |
| Allowed / game | 61.5 | 56.0 | 67.0 |
| Point differential | +9.0 | +27.0 | -9.0 |
| Avg total | 132.0 | 139.0 | 125.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 50% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLL | 33% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 65.0 | 69.5 | 56.0 |
| Allowed / game | 69.7 | 71.5 | 66.0 |
| Point differential | -4.7 | -2.0 | -10.0 |
| Avg total | 134.7 | 141.0 | 122.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Marquette | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 85.5 | 37.5 | +48.0 |
| 2 |  Xavier | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 86.5 | 52.5 | +34.0 |
| 3 |  Uconn | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 54.7 | +30.0 |
| 4 |  St. John's (N.Y.) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 64.0 | +27.0 |
| 5 |  Creighton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 79.5 | 58.0 | +21.5 |
| 6 |  DePaul | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 80.3 | 61.7 | +18.7 |
| 7 |  Georgetown | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 70.0 | +13.0 |
| 8 |  Seton Hall | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 67.0 | 54.7 | +12.3 |
| 9 |  Butler | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.0 | 75.0 | +17.0 |
| 10 |  Villanova | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.5 | 70.0 | +13.5 |
| 11 | Providence | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 70.5 | 61.5 | +9.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 59.7 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  Binghamton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 64.3 | 68.0 | -3.7 |
| 3 |  Vermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 |
| 4 |  UMBC Retrievers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 75.0 | 77.0 | -2.0 |
| 5 | Bryant University | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.0 | 69.7 | -4.7 |
| 6 |  Maine Black Bears | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.0 | 74.3 | -10.3 |
| 7 |  NJIT | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 56.2 | 78.5 | -22.2 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Providence | 38 | 40 | 78 |
| Bryant University | 25 | 30 | 55 |
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