PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Providence faces Sacred Heart on 17 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Pythia model designating Providence as the clear favourite at 93% to win, reflecting their 2-1 record, 73.0 points per game and 59.3 allowed, and a 2-0 home record with 80.5 points scored and 55.5 allowed; Sacred Heart also holds a 2-1 record, 88.0 points per game and 64.7 allowed, and a 1-0 road record with 81.0 points and 76.0 allowed. Providence's last five games include a 78-55 win over Bryant University, a 58-67 loss to Nebraska, and a 83-56 win over Maine Black Bears, while Sacred Heart's recent outings feature an 81-76 win over New Hampshire, a 72-74 loss to Maine, and a 111-44 victory over Coast Guard. The teams have met twice before, Providence winning both times, most recently 78-64 on 16 December 2023. Pythia projects a 89-72 score, 160.9 total points, and a 2% chance of overtime, with Providence's 93% probability of covering the spread and Sacred Heart's 7% chance of winning. The game will conclude with Providence's 89-point performance against Sacred Heart's 72.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 73.0 | 59.3 | 132.3 | +13.7 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 80.5 | 55.5 | 136.0 | +25.0 | 100% |
| Season away (1) | 58.0 | 67.0 | 125.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 76.1 | 73.0 | 149.1 | +3.1 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 76.4 | 68.8 | 145.2 | +7.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 77.1 | 86.1 | 163.2 | -9.0 | 10% |
| vs Similar (17) | 85.2 | 83.5 | 168.7 | +1.8 | 53% |
| vs Weaker (3) | 85.0 | 58.3 | 143.3 | +26.7 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 88.0 | 64.7 | 152.7 | +23.3 | 67% |
| Season at home (2) | 91.5 | 59.0 | 150.5 | +32.5 | 50% |
| Season away (1) | 81.0 | 76.0 | 157.0 | +5.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.5 | 70.2 | 147.7 | +7.3 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.6 | 68.8 | 149.4 | +11.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 72.6 | 78.0 | 150.6 | -5.4 | 25% |
| vs Similar (11) | 74.1 | 76.0 | 150.1 | -1.9 | 45% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 74.7 | 73.1 | 147.8 | +1.6 | 60% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 37.2 | 37.8 | 74.9 | -0.6 | 43% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 38.1 | 34.4 | 72.6 | +3.7 | 56% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 36.1 | 41.6 | 77.6 | -5.5 | 29% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 34.5 | 35.7 | 70.2 | -1.2 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.8 | 34.2 | 67.0 | -1.4 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 32.9 | 41.5 | 74.4 | -8.6 | 10% | - |
| vs Similar (17) | 38.9 | 38.0 | 76.9 | +0.9 | 53% | - |
| vs Weaker (3) | 41.3 | 24.0 | 65.3 | +17.3 | 100% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 36.6 | 34.5 | 71.1 | +2.1 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 37.1 | 31.7 | 68.8 | +5.4 | 54% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 36.2 | 36.6 | 72.8 | -0.4 | 59% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.0 | 30.2 | 67.2 | +6.8 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.4 | 28.4 | 63.8 | +7.0 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (8) | 37.9 | 36.9 | 74.8 | +1.0 | 62% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 36.4 | 35.8 | 72.2 | +0.5 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (10) | 33.7 | 33.0 | 66.7 | +0.7 | 50% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16/12/23 | Providence v Sacred Heart | 78-64 |
| 11/11/21 | Providence v Sacred Heart | 92-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | H | Bryant University | 78-55 |
| 08/11/26 | A | Nebraska | 58-67 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 83-56 |
| 12/03/26 | A | St. John's (N.Y.) | 72-85 |
| 11/03/26 | A | Butler | 91-81 |
| 08/03/26 | A | Georgetown | 79-80 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Marquette | 56-78 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Creighton | 79-76 |
| 26/02/26 | H | Xavier | 94-84 |
| 22/02/26 | A | DePaul | 71-68 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 81-76 OT |
| 06/11/26 | H | Maine Black Bears | 72-74 |
| 03/11/26 | H | Coast Guard | 111-44 |
| 06/03/26 | A | Merrimack Warriors | 48-70 |
| 05/03/26 | A | Iona | 91-80 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Mount St. Mary's | 77-69 |
| 22/02/26 | A | Marist | 63-65 |
| 21/02/26 | A | Fairfield | 68-78 |
| 15/02/26 | H | Rider | 86-75 |
| 14/02/26 | H | St. Peters | 78-71 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 73.0 | 80.5 | 58.0 |
| Allowed / game | 59.3 | 55.5 | 67.0 |
| Point differential | +13.7 | +25.0 | -9.0 |
| Avg total | 132.3 | 136.0 | 125.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 67% | 100% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLW | 67% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | W | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Win % | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Points / game | 88.0 | 91.5 | 81.0 |
| Allowed / game | 64.7 | 59.0 | 76.0 |
| Point differential | +23.3 | +32.5 | +5.0 |
| Avg total | 152.7 | 150.5 | 157.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 0% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 33% | 0% | 100% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xavier | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 53.3 | +37.7 |
| 2 |  Uconn | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 84.7 | 54.7 | +30.0 |
| 3 |  St. John's (N.Y.) | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 90.7 | 62.3 | +28.3 |
| 4 |  DePaul | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 80.3 | 61.7 | +18.7 |
| 5 |  Georgetown | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 70.0 | +13.0 |
| 6 |  Seton Hall | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 67.0 | 54.7 | +12.3 |
| 7 |  Marquette | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 53.0 | +27.3 |
| 8 |  Butler | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 92.0 | 75.0 | +17.0 |
| 9 |  Villanova | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 82.3 | 66.3 | +16.0 |
| 10 | Providence | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 73.0 | 59.3 | +13.7 |
| 11 |  Creighton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 80.3 | 68.3 | +12.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sacred Heart | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 88.0 | 64.7 | +23.3 |
| 2 |  Siena | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 85.3 | 79.0 | +6.3 |
| 3 |  Merrimack Warriors | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 65.7 | 60.0 | +5.7 |
| 4 |  Quinnipiac | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 68.0 | 76.0 | -8.0 |
| 5 |  Iona | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 66.2 | 71.5 | -5.2 |
| 6 |  Mount St. Mary's | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 60.0 | 77.0 | -17.0 |
| 7 |  Marist | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.3 | 70.7 | -0.3 |
| 8 |  Canisius | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 74.3 | 81.7 | -7.3 |
| 9 |  Manhattan | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.3 | 73.0 | -8.7 |
| 10 |  Fairfield | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 59.0 | 75.7 | -16.7 |
| 11 |  Rider | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 64.5 | 72.2 | -7.8 |
| 12 |  St. Peters | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0% | 47.5 | 63.8 | -16.2 |
| 13 |  Niagara | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 56.5 | 82.0 | -25.5 |
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