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Purdue vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 93-85
45-44 48-41
Position#31
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game66.9
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Penn State
USA
Position#298
Record9-6
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game74.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Purdue v Penn State
10 Jan 2026
PURD93
PENN85
13 Jan 2024
PURD95
PENN78
12 Mar 2023
PURD67
PENN65
01 Feb 2023
PURD80
PENN60
11 Mar 2022
PURD69
PENN61
17 Jan 2021
PURD80
PENN72
11 Feb 2020
PURD76
PENN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
86-56
86
56
+30
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
109-62
109
62
+47
H28/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A03/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H06/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H11/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
79-59
79
59
+20
H13/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
88-60
88
60
+28
H20/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
101-60
101
60
+41
H30/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
49-26
37-30
53-28
56-34
40-27
41-38
31-35
27-46
35-32
50-25
37-21
42-38
46-32
42-28
51-27
50-33
45-38
44-35
45-28
36-45
150.3Avg total
85.7Scored
64.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.066.9152.9+19.193%
Season at home (12)86.165.5151.6+20.692%
Season away (3)85.772.7158.3+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)85.764.6150.3+21.190%
Last 5 (5)87.665.0152.6+22.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.267.0134.2+0.250%
vs Similar (9)79.777.7157.3+2.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)85.767.8153.5+17.994%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
65-77
65
77
-12
H22/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
90-59
90
59
+31
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
72-113
72
113
-41
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
46-80
46
80
-34
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
72-74
72
74
-2
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
31-32
34-45
51-35
45-52
47-20
43-39
46-39
41-37
26-58
46-55
39-36
33-40
20-40
26-40
36-33
54-34
26-40
39-33
31-40
41-34
153.7Avg total
75.5Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)77.774.2151.9+3.560%
Season at home (13)77.473.6151.0+3.862%
Season away (2)79.578.0157.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)75.578.2153.7-2.740%
Last 5 (5)69.074.0143.0-5.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.175.7151.7+0.447%
vs Similar (10)77.276.1153.3+1.140%
vs Weaker (5)70.073.6143.6-3.640%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.8+13.81st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
-17-9+0+9+171st half1st half: +13.8+13.81st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: -0.7-0.7
PurduePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
49-26
49
26
+23
H22/11
NCAA
Eastern Illinois
#285
W
53-28
53
28
+25
H28/11
NCAA
Rutgers
#267
W
40-27
40
27
+13
A03/12
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Minnesota
#235
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H13/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H20/12
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H30/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A04/01
NCAA
Washington
#218
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H08/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
43.2Scored
29.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.332.572.8+7.877%-
Last 30 at home (20)41.531.673.0+9.980%-
Last 30 away (10)37.834.472.2+3.470%-
Last 10 (10)43.229.472.6+13.890%-
Last 5 (5)44.829.274.0+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.227.862.0+6.575%-
vs Similar (9)40.436.176.6+4.378%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.631.773.3+9.976%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Providence
#246
L
31-32
31
32
-1
H22/11
NCAA
Boston University
#211
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H26/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#262
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H29/11
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H02/12
NCAA
Indiana
#145
L
26-58
26
58
-32
A10/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H13/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
L
20-40
20
40
-20
H21/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H29/12
NCAA
Illinois
#35
L
26-40
26
40
-14
H04/01
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H07/01
NCAA
72.6Avg total
35.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.735.771.5+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (20)36.634.170.7+2.560%-
Last 30 away (10)34.039.073.0-5.030%-
Last 10 (10)35.337.372.6-2.050%-
Last 5 (5)30.437.868.2-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)36.036.372.3-0.347%-
vs Similar (10)37.337.274.5+0.140%-
vs Weaker (5)31.831.263.0+0.680%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Purdue wins
2
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
05/12/24Penn State v Purdue81-70
13/01/24Purdue v Penn State95-78
12/03/23Purdue v Penn State67-65
01/02/23Purdue v Penn State80-60
08/01/23Penn State v Purdue63-76
12/03/22Purdue v Penn State69-61
08/01/22Penn State v Purdue67-74
27/02/21Penn State v Purdue52-73
17/01/21Purdue v Penn State80-72
11/02/20Purdue v Penn State76-88
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HWashington81-73
04/01/26AWisconsin89-73
30/12/25HKent State101-60
20/12/25HAuburn88-60
13/12/25HMarquette79-59
11/12/25HMinnesota85-57
06/12/25HIowa State58-81
03/12/25ARutgers81-65
28/11/25HEastern Illinois109-62
22/11/25HTexas Tech86-56
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HMichigan72-74
04/01/26HIllinois65-73
29/12/25HN. Carolina Central90-67
21/12/25HPittsburgh46-80
13/12/25HMichigan State72-76
10/12/25AIndiana72-113
02/12/25HCampbell87-76
29/11/25HSacred Heart90-59
26/11/25HBoston University96-87
22/11/25HProvidence65-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15123
Win %93%92%100%
Points / game86.086.185.7
Allowed / game66.965.572.7
Point differential+19.1+20.6+13.0
Avg total152.9151.6158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%75%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penn State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL60%
HomeLLWLL62%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15132
Win %60%62%50%
Points / game77.777.479.5
Allowed / game74.273.678.0
Point differential+3.5+3.8+1.5
Avg total151.9151.0157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%31%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nebraska16160100%81.266.4+14.8
2 Michigan1514193%94.668.5+26.1
3 Purdue1514193%86.066.9+19.1
4 Michigan State1614288%78.964.5+14.4
5 USC1613381%84.376.5+7.8
6 Illinois1512380%86.767.3+19.4
7 Iowa1512380%79.860.8+19.0
8 Indiana1612475%84.568.0+16.5
9 Ohio State1511473%83.771.3+12.4
10 Wisconsin1611569%83.175.0+8.1
11 UCLA1510567%79.770.0+9.7
12 Minnesota1610662%73.066.1+6.9
13 Washington159660%81.773.1+8.7
14 Penn State159660%77.774.2+3.5
15 Northwestern158753%79.470.8+8.6
16 Oregon168850%76.773.2+3.4
17 Rutgers168850%69.373.1-3.8
18 Maryland157847%74.678.1-3.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue454893
Penn State444185
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