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Purdue vs Penn State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 95-78
56-36 39-42
Position#8
Record14-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game69.0
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Position#216
Record8-8
FormWWLWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.2
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Purdue v Penn State
10 Jan 2026
PURD93
PENN85
13 Jan 2024
PURD95
PENN78
12 Mar 2023
PURD67
PENN65
01 Feb 2023
PURD80
PENN60
11 Mar 2022
PURD69
PENN61
17 Jan 2021
PURD80
PENN72
11 Feb 2020
PURD76
PENN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penn State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#210
W
99-67
99
67
+32
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
88-92 OT
88
92
-4
A02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H05/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
W
92-86
92
86
+6
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H16/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
100-57
100
57
+43
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
80-53
80
53
+27
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
67-53
67
53
+14
A03/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
83-78
83
78
+5
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
44-29
55-38
40-32
36-44
45-24
42-44
47-49
45-37
49-38
43-46
45-27
55-30
43-24
37-29
32-19
35-34
47-32
36-46
30-41
42-47
158.6Avg total
86.0Scored
72.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.469.0153.4+15.488%
Season at home (11)88.466.6155.0+21.7100%
Season away (5)75.674.2149.8+1.460%
Last 10 (10)86.072.6158.6+13.480%
Last 5 (5)80.465.8146.2+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)77.268.7145.9+8.573%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)78.867.3146.1+11.679%
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#96
L
74-86
74
86
-12
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
L
67-76
67
76
-9
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
L
75-81 OT
75
81
-6
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
W
83-80
83
80
+3
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
81-82 OT
81
82
-1
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
72-55
72
55
+17
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
61-92
61
92
-31
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
W
79-73
79
73
+6
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-46
34-40
33-27
34-49
30-28
41-43
29-41
54-39
37-39
35-33
40-28
32-27
44-24
46-39
26-51
35-41
27-37
52-36
40-32
32-44
151.8Avg total
75.4Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.272.2148.4+4.050%
Season at home (11)77.665.4143.0+12.373%
Season away (5)73.087.2160.2-14.20%
Last 10 (10)75.476.4151.8-1.040%
Last 5 (5)74.871.8146.6+3.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)66.570.2136.8-3.825%
vs Similar (22)74.571.4145.9+3.159%
vs Weaker (4)79.869.2149.0+10.575%
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.7+10.71st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.4+0.4
-13-7+0+7+131st half1st half: +10.7+10.71st half: -0.7-0.72nd half2nd half: +3.1+3.12nd half: +0.4+0.4
PurduePenn State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Southern
#210
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H29/11
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A02/12
NCAA
Iowa
#162
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Alabama
#67
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H09/12
NCAA
Arizona
#31
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H16/12
NCAA
Jacksonville Dolphins
#273
W
45-27
45
27
+18
H21/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#173
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H30/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
32-19
32
19
+13
A03/01
NCAA
Illinois
#27
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H06/01
NCAA
Nebraska
#62
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A10/01
NCAA
73.7Avg total
42.2Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.730.168.8+8.680%-
Last 30 at home (21)40.629.169.7+11.586%-
Last 30 away (9)34.232.466.7+1.867%-
Last 10 (10)42.231.573.7+10.780%-
Last 5 (5)39.428.668.0+10.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (11)38.731.470.1+7.473%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)38.729.468.1+9.384%-
This opponent (Penn State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Penn StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VCU Rams
#96
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A26/11
NCAA
Bucknell
#270
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H02/12
NCAA
Maryland
#215
W
30-28
30
28
+2
A07/12
NCAA
Ohio State
#123
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H09/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#265
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H16/12
NCAA
Le Moyne
#233
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H22/12
NCAA
Rider
#237
W
44-24
44
24
+20
H29/12
NCAA
Michigan State
#154
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A05/01
NCAA
Michigan
#347
L
27-37
27
37
-10
H07/01
NCAA
Northwestern
#86
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H10/01
NCAA
69.9Avg total
34.6Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.266.3+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.330.666.9+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)31.933.865.7-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)34.635.369.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.469.8+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)28.235.864.0-7.525%-
vs Similar (22)34.431.565.9+2.850%-
vs Weaker (4)38.832.271.0+6.550%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Purdue wins
1
Penn State wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23Purdue v Penn State67-65
01/02/23Purdue v Penn State80-60
08/01/23Penn State v Purdue63-76
12/03/22Purdue v Penn State69-61
08/01/22Penn State v Purdue67-74
27/02/21Penn State v Purdue52-73
17/01/21Purdue v Penn State80-72
11/02/20Purdue v Penn State76-88
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24ANebraska72-88
06/01/24HIllinois83-78
03/01/24AMaryland67-53
30/12/23HEastern Kentucky80-53
21/12/23HJacksonville Dolphins100-57
16/12/23HArizona92-84
09/12/23HAlabama92-86
05/12/23HIowa87-68
02/12/23ANorthwestern88-92 OT
29/11/23HTexas Southern99-67
Penn Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HNorthwestern72-76
07/01/24HMichigan79-73
05/01/24AMichigan State61-92
29/12/23HRider90-63
22/12/23HLe Moyne72-55
16/12/23HGeorgia Tech81-82 OT
09/12/23HOhio State83-80
07/12/23AMaryland75-81 OT
02/12/23HBucknell67-76
26/11/23AVCU Rams74-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %88%100%60%
Points / game84.488.475.6
Allowed / game69.066.674.2
Point differential+15.4+21.7+1.4
Avg total153.4155.0149.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%64%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%20%
Penn State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL50%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16115
Win %50%73%0%
Points / game76.277.673.0
Allowed / game72.265.487.2
Point differential+4.0+12.3-14.2
Avg total148.4143.0160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%45%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)33% (3)-
Overtime %12%9%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Purdue1614288%84.469.0+15.4
2 Wisconsin1613381%75.265.4+9.8
3 Illinois1512380%82.766.9+15.8
4 Oregon1512380%78.771.4+7.3
5 Nebraska1713476%78.369.1+9.2
6 Minnesota1612475%77.966.8+11.1
7 Ohio State1612475%77.066.1+10.9
8 Northwestern1612475%73.066.9+6.1
9 Indiana1712571%74.472.5+1.8
10 Iowa1610662%87.177.6+9.5
11 Maryland1610662%70.663.3+7.3
12 Washington1610662%81.775.1+6.6
13 Rutgers159660%68.363.7+4.6
14 Michigan State169756%77.466.2+11.2
15 Penn State168850%76.272.2+4.0
16 USC168850%77.974.8+3.1
17 Michigan1661038%80.177.8+2.4
18 UCLA1661038%64.263.9+0.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue563995
Penn State364278
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