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Qatar vs Lebanon Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 27 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-75
9-21 17-12 17-17 31-25
Position#50
Record-
FormWWLLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Lebanon 🏆
Position#18
Record-
FormWLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeWorld CupRound 1· Zein W.
Other2027
Meetings · Qatar v Lebanon
27 Nov 2025
QATA74
LEBA75
06 Aug 2025
QATA80
LEBA84
02 Oct 2015
QATA86
LEBA89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lebanon winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 74
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 74
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 74
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 74
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
82-110
82
110
-28
61avg 74
H10/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
11-16
24-19
16-26
29-23
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
20-22
23-24
20-31
19-33
153.0Avg total
74.8Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.878.2153.0-3.440%
Last 5 (5)83.684.6168.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)61.787.6149.3-25.96%
vs Similar (6)65.067.5132.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (6)73.862.8136.7+11.083%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#25
W
94-63
94
63
+31
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 85
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
96avg 85
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
68avg 85
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 85
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
82avg 85
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
100avg 85
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
85avg 85
A14/08
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-13
18-20
29-13
26-17
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
22-15
27-18
19-24
16-21
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
16-11
19-24
26-16
23-29
14-31
24-27
22-26
20-9
17-26
19-26
20-22
30-23
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
169.3Avg total
89.0Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)89.080.3169.3+8.770%
Last 5 (5)86.686.6173.2+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)90.076.5166.5+13.590%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +2.3+2.3
QatarLebanon
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/08
Asia Cup
73.9Avg total
36.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.038.271.2-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.437.169.5-4.621%-
Last 30 away (16)33.539.272.8-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.773.9-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.077.6+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.842.273.9-10.411%-
vs Similar (6)32.335.868.2-3.517%-
vs Weaker (6)37.328.866.2+8.5100%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bahrain
#25
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
82.1Avg total
43.3Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.339.582.8+3.867%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.539.479.9+1.164%-
Last 30 away (16)45.839.685.4+6.169%-
Last 10 (10)43.338.882.1+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)41.443.284.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.636.482.0+9.186%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
-42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.7%
-18.0
🏀 Free throws27.518.1
65.9%
-18.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
LLLWWWWLLL
Lebanon
LWLLWWWWWW
#50
League position
#18
+1.4
Net rating
+10.4
100.9
Offensive rating
110.9
99.4
Defensive rating
100.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
53.3%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.27
27.7%
3-point %
32.9%
51.6%
Assist %
65.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Qatar   ■ Lebanon
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Qatar wins
2
Lebanon wins
DateGameScore
06/08/25Qatar v Lebanon80-84
02/10/15Qatar v Lebanon86-89
24/09/15Lebanon v Qatar100-105 OT
20/09/12Lebanon v Qatar72-79
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/08/25HAustralia82-110
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
06/08/25HLebanon80-84
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
10/08/25ASouth Korea86-97
08/08/25HAustralia80-93
06/08/25AQatar84-80
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88
21/02/25ABahrain84-78
25/11/24HSyria89-64
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
26/02/24HBahrain94-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Croatia440100%95.567.0+28.5
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Iran110100%94.068.0+26.0
4 South Sudan110100%79.055.0+24.0
5 Cape Verde110100%82.077.0+5.0
6 Switzerland108280%75.962.3+13.6
7 Ukraine43175%78.871.8+7.0
8 Netherlands43175%78.271.8+6.5
9 Romania86275%77.171.9+5.2
10 Austria85362%89.276.2+13.0
11 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
12 Hungary42250%80.270.5+9.8
13 Denmark42250%78.880.0-1.2
14 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
15 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
16 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
17 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
18 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
19 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
20 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
21 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
22 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
23 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
24 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
25 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
26 Cameroon1010%77.082.0-5.0
27 Libya1010%55.079.0-24.0
28 Iraq1010%68.094.0-26.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar917173174
Lebanon2112172575
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