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Qatar vs Saudi Arabia Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Jun 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 80-86
20-29 15-17 24-22 21-18
Position#50
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#59
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game73.3
Allowed / game67.3
EuropeWorld CupRound 4· Lusail Sports Arena
Other2027
Meetings · Qatar v Saudi Arabia
29 Jun 2026
QATA80
SAUD86
30 Nov 2020
QATA67
SAUD73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Saudi Arabia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 68
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 68
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
82-110
82
110
-28
61avg 68
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
99-73
99
73
+26
no box
H27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
11-16
24-19
16-26
29-23
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
20-22
23-24
20-31
19-33
9-21
17-12
17-17
31-25
14-19
21-19
25-17
26-28
28-17
17-26
30-9
24-21
160.8Avg total
82.4Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.377.0163.3+9.367%
Season at home (2)86.574.0160.5+12.550%
Season away (1)86.083.0169.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.478.4160.8+4.060%
Last 5 (5)84.887.6172.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)64.786.1150.8-21.412%
vs Similar ◀ (6)65.067.5132.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (7)77.464.3141.7+13.186%
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormArabia
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
W
66-58
66
58
+8
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
93-71
93
71
+22
no box
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
88-93
88
93
-5
77avg 74
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
77-73
77
73
+4
73avg 74
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
84-59
84
59
+25
83avg 74
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
88-95 OT
88
95
-7
71avg 74
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
75-51
75
51
+24
no box
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
64-94
64
94
-30
no box
A27/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-16
20-20
16-10
21-12
16-31
20-19
10-18
22-10
25-16
25-21
22-21
21-13
22-30
21-23
22-27
23-13
21-17
27-14
19-22
10-20
24-25
21-6
21-18
18-10
15-25
22-15
22-20
20-19
28-16
17-16
16-11
14-8
19-9
24-12
26-15
12-21
17-26
16-25
13-28
18-15
151.3Avg total
78.4Scored
72.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.367.3140.7+6.067%
Season at home (1)75.051.0126.0+24.0100%
Season away (2)72.575.5148.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)78.472.9151.3+5.560%
Last 5 (5)78.471.2149.6+7.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)62.385.5147.8-23.20%
vs Similar ◀ (5)75.279.8155.0-4.640%
vs Weaker (13)77.062.7139.7+14.392%
This opponent (Qatar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +4.2+4.2Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: +3.8+3.8
QatarSaudi Arabia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H27/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A30/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H27/02
World Cup
74.2Avg total
37.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.938.471.3-5.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)33.437.070.4-3.627%-
Last 30 away (15)32.539.772.2-7.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.636.674.2+1.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)30.942.473.2-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)32.335.868.2-3.517%-
vs Weaker (7)38.430.969.3+7.6100%-
This opponent (Saudi Arabia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Saudi ArabiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
L
29-36
29
36
-7
H25/11
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
L
36-50
36
50
-14
A21/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H24/02
Asia Cup
China
#2
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A05/08
Asia Cup
Jordan
#7
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H07/08
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A09/08
Asia Cup
Philippines
#11
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H11/08
Asia Cup
India
#91
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/11
World Cup
India
#91
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A30/11
World Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A27/02
World Cup
79.1Avg total
40.9Scored
38.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.038.474.4-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.437.174.5+0.347%-
Last 30 away (15)34.639.874.4-5.233%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.279.1+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.635.075.6+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)30.045.075.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)41.039.280.2+1.840%-
vs Weaker (13)39.632.171.7+7.577%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
-42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.7%
-18.0
🏀 Free throws27.518.1
65.9%
-18.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Saudi Arabiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saudi Arabia: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.5
51.2%
-35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.1
29.7%
-27.3
🏀 Free throws20.413.4
65.7%
-13.4
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/10 games with a box score before 29 Jun 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
WWLLLLWWWW
Saudi Arabia
LWWLWWLWLW
#50
League position
#59
+1.4
Net rating
+4.3
100.9
Offensive rating
102.6
99.4
Defensive rating
98.3
47.4%
Effective FG%
48.1%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.0%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.43
Free-throw rate
0.31
27.7%
3-point %
29.7%
51.6%
Assist %
59.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Qatar   ■ Saudi Arabia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Qatar wins
2
Saudi Arabia wins
DateGameScore
30/11/20Qatar v Saudi Arabia67-73 OT
20/02/20Saudi Arabia v Qatar68-57
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26HIndia99-73
30/11/25ALebanon86-83
27/11/25HLebanon74-75
10/08/25HAustralia82-110
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
06/08/25HLebanon80-84
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/02/26ALebanon64-94
30/11/25AIndia81-57
27/11/25HIndia75-51
11/08/25HPhilippines88-95 OT
09/08/25AIndia84-59
07/08/25HJordan77-73
05/08/25AChina88-93
24/02/25HPalestine93-71
21/02/25AJordan68-78
25/11/24HIraq66-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLW50%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%50%100%
Points / game86.386.586.0
Allowed / game77.074.083.0
Point differential+9.3+12.5+3.0
Avg total163.3160.5169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Saudi Arabia
World Cup 2027
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game73.375.072.5
Allowed / game67.351.075.5
Point differential+6.0+24.0-3.0
Avg total140.7126.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Jordan330100%82.355.7+26.7
2 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
3 Ivory Coast330100%95.071.0+24.0
4 Uruguay440100%81.562.0+19.5
5 Spain440100%82.063.8+18.2
6 Brazil440100%88.871.0+17.8
7 Canada440100%99.582.2+17.2
8 Turkey440100%88.573.8+14.8
9 Australia440100%87.275.5+11.8
10 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
11 Poland440100%87.878.8+9.0
12 Mali330100%83.376.3+7.0
13 Croatia87188%93.672.2+21.4
14 Argentina43175%82.563.2+19.2
15 Slovenia43175%93.080.0+13.0
16 Greece43175%77.866.0+11.8
17 Italy43175%83.873.5+10.2
18 Germany43175%87.878.8+9.0
19 Iran43175%78.070.0+8.0
20 Japan43175%82.074.0+8.0
21 France43175%81.874.0+7.8
22 Finland43175%78.576.5+2.0
23 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
24 Senegal32167%84.770.7+14.0
25 Angola32167%84.073.3+10.7
26 Dominican Republic32167%88.778.3+10.3
27 Lebanon32167%84.074.7+9.3
28 Qatar32167%86.377.0+9.3
29 Mexico32167%91.084.0+7.0
30 Saudi Arabia32167%73.367.3+6.0
31 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
32 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
33 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
34 Colombia32167%79.385.7-6.3
35 Netherlands85362%81.276.1+5.1
36 Ukraine85362%78.175.1+3.0
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Romania127558%78.278.4-0.2
39 Switzerland148657%73.269.5+3.7
40 Israel42250%79.270.5+8.8
41 Philippines42250%78.569.8+8.8
42 Bosnia & Herzegovina42250%79.571.8+7.8
43 New Zealand42250%81.074.0+7.0
44 Portugal42250%86.580.2+6.2
45 Austria126650%84.979.5+5.4
46 Lithuania42250%88.584.5+4.0
47 Hungary84450%80.977.6+3.2
48 Georgia42250%79.578.2+1.2
49 South Korea42250%76.876.8+0.0
50 Estonia42250%85.886.5-0.8
51 China42250%84.885.8-1.0
52 Serbia42250%82.083.5-1.5
53 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
54 Jamaica42250%91.594.5-3.0
55 Iceland42250%83.287.5-4.2
56 Czech Republic42250%84.289.2-5.0
57 Montenegro42250%68.575.5-7.0
58 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
59 Egypt31233%80.073.7+6.3
60 Venezuela31233%78.080.7-2.7
61 Nigeria31233%69.375.3-6.0
62 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
63 D.R. Congo31233%67.383.3-16.0
64 Latvia41325%79.582.5-3.0
65 Puerto Rico41325%84.587.8-3.2
66 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
67 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
68 Chinese Taipei41325%76.883.8-7.0
69 Sweden41325%79.887.0-7.2
70 Denmark82625%72.682.5-9.9
71 Great Britain41325%77.587.5-10.0
72 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
73 Bahamas41325%82.093.0-11.0
74 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
75 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
76 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
77 Panama41325%75.289.8-14.5
78 Syria41325%63.279.0-15.8
79 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
80 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
81 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
82 Belgium4040%72.278.8-6.5
83 Rwanda3030%68.378.7-10.3
84 Chile4040%68.579.5-11.0
85 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
86 Iraq3030%69.786.0-16.3
87 Madagascar3030%73.095.0-22.0
88 Uganda3030%64.388.3-24.0
89 Cuba4040%65.089.2-24.2
90 India3030%60.385.0-24.7
91 Nicaragua2020%66.592.5-26.0
92 Guam4040%66.093.5-27.5
93 Cyprus4040%58.090.0-32.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 93 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Qatar2015242180
Saudi Arabia2917221886
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