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Lebanon vs Qatar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 30 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-86
19-14 19-21 17-25 28-26
Position#18
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game74.0
vs
Qatar 🏆
Position#50
Record0-1
FormWLLLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game75.0
EuropeWorld CupRound 2· Nouhad Nawfal Sports Complex
Other2027
Meetings · Lebanon v Qatar
30 Nov 2025
LEBA83
QATA86
24 Sep 2015
LEBA100
QATA105
20 Sep 2012
LEBA72
QATA79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lebanon winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Qatar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LebanonLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLebanon
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
99-77
99
77
+22
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
89-64
89
64
+25
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
84-78
84
78
+6
84avg 85
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
91-88
91
88
+3
96avg 85
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
W
84-80
84
80
+4
68avg 85
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
80-93
80
93
-13
69avg 85
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
86-97
86
97
-11
82avg 85
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
97-73
97
73
+24
100avg 85
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
L
86-90
86
90
-4
85avg 85
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
75-74
75
74
+1
no box
A27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
22-15
30-19
21-23
33-16
14-18
18-14
24-16
22-15
27-18
19-24
16-21
18-21
25-16
24-31
24-20
16-11
19-24
26-16
23-29
14-31
24-27
22-26
20-9
17-26
19-26
20-22
30-23
23-19
30-22
28-23
16-9
32-12
13-18
17-26
24-34
21-9
12-17
17-17
25-31
168.5Avg total
87.1Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)75.074.0149.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.181.4168.5+5.770%
Last 5 (5)84.885.4170.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)79.496.6176.0-17.114%
vs Similar (2)85.074.0159.0+11.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.376.7166.0+12.790%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
no box
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
no box
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
W
78-77 OT
78
77
+1
no box
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
92-71
92
71
+21
91avg 74
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
81-61
81
61
+20
79avg 74
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
L
80-84
80
84
-4
71avg 74
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
83-97
83
97
-14
70avg 74
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
82-110
82
110
-28
61avg 74
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
74-75
74
75
-1
no box
H27/11
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
16-14
15-22
17-15
20-17
20-13
25-16
29-23
18-19
17-18
25-4
17-19
22-20
11-16
24-19
16-26
29-23
22-25
16-28
23-22
22-22
20-22
23-24
20-31
19-33
9-21
17-12
17-17
31-25
155.8Avg total
78.1Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%
Season at home (1)74.075.0149.0-1.00%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)78.177.7155.8+0.440%
Last 5 (5)80.085.4165.4-5.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)63.486.5149.9-23.16%
vs Similar (6)65.067.5132.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (6)73.862.8136.7+11.083%
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -0.1-0.1
LebanonQatar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LebanonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A22/11
Asia Cup
Syria
#20
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H25/11
Asia Cup
Bahrain
#25
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
United Arab Emirates
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H24/02
Asia Cup
Qatar
#13
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A06/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
38-58
38
58
-20
H08/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A10/08
Asia Cup
Japan
#6
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A12/08
Asia Cup
New Zealand
#4
W
45-30
45
30
+15
A14/08
Asia Cup
Qatar
#50
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A27/11
World Cup
80.8Avg total
42.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.939.582.3+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.140.380.4-0.262%-
Last 30 away (17)45.038.883.8+6.271%-
Last 10 (10)42.738.180.8+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.482.4-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.348.986.1-11.614%-
vs Similar (2)40.539.580.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)45.036.381.3+8.686%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
Iran
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H25/11
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A21/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-22
42
22
+20
H24/02
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#5
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H06/08
Asia Cup
South Korea
#8
L
38-53
38
53
-15
A08/08
Asia Cup
Australia
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H10/08
Asia Cup
Lebanon
#18
L
26-33
26
33
-7
H27/11
World Cup
71.8Avg total
36.5Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.138.071.1-4.930%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.636.669.1-4.021%-
Last 30 away (16)33.539.272.8-5.838%-
Last 10 (10)36.535.371.8+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)36.837.874.6-1.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.941.873.7-9.911%-
vs Similar (6)32.335.868.2-3.517%-
vs Weaker (6)37.328.866.2+8.5100%-
This opponent (Lebanon) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lebanontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lebanon: 88.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.526.2
55.2%
-52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.97.2
32.9%
-21.6
🏀 Free throws18.914.1
74.6%
-14.1
They take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.921.1
50.4%
-42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.0
27.7%
-18.0
🏀 Free throws27.518.1
65.9%
-18.1
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/8 games with a box score before 30 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lebanon
WLWLLWWWWW
Qatar
LLLLWWWWLL
#18
League position
#50
+10.4
Net rating
+1.4
110.9
Offensive rating
100.9
100.4
Defensive rating
99.4
53.3%
Effective FG%
47.4%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
31.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.43
32.9%
3-point %
27.7%
65.3%
Assist %
51.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Lebanon   ■ Qatar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Lebanon wins
2
Qatar wins
DateGameScore
27/11/25Qatar v Lebanon74-75
06/08/25Qatar v Lebanon80-84
02/10/15Qatar v Lebanon86-89
24/09/15Lebanon v Qatar100-105 OT
20/09/12Lebanon v Qatar72-79
Lebanonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25AQatar75-74
14/08/25ANew Zealand86-90
12/08/25AJapan97-73
10/08/25ASouth Korea86-97
08/08/25HAustralia80-93
06/08/25AQatar84-80
24/02/25HUnited Arab Emirates91-88
21/02/25ABahrain84-78
25/11/24HSyria89-64
22/11/24AUnited Arab Emirates99-77
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/11/25HLebanon74-75
10/08/25HAustralia82-110
08/08/25ASouth Korea83-97
06/08/25HLebanon80-84
24/02/25HIndia81-61
21/02/25AKazakhstan92-71
25/11/24HIran78-77 OT
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lebanon
World Cup 2027
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game75.0-75.0
Allowed / game74.0-74.0
Point differential+1.0-+1.0
Avg total149.0-149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Qatar
World Cup 2027
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
HomeL0%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %0%0%-
Points / game74.074.0-
Allowed / game75.075.0-
Point differential-1.0-1.0-
Avg total149.0149.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Philippines110100%87.046.0+41.0
2 Canada110100%111.075.0+36.0
3 Jordan220100%87.053.5+33.5
4 Uruguay110100%93.060.0+33.0
5 Croatia550100%96.465.6+30.8
6 Costa Rica550100%81.455.4+26.0
7 Japan110100%90.064.0+26.0
8 Saudi Arabia220100%78.054.0+24.0
9 Turkey220100%89.065.5+23.5
10 Iran220100%90.069.5+20.5
11 Germany110100%89.069.0+20.0
12 Spain220100%82.062.5+19.5
13 Greece220100%83.566.0+17.5
14 Czech Republic110100%97.080.0+17.0
15 Brazil110100%82.066.0+16.0
16 France110100%79.063.0+16.0
17 Argentina110100%80.068.0+12.0
18 Poland110100%90.078.0+12.0
19 Guinea330100%72.360.7+11.7
20 Dominican Republic110100%92.085.0+7.0
21 Australia110100%84.079.0+5.0
22 Serbia110100%90.086.0+4.0
23 South Korea110100%80.076.0+4.0
24 Colombia110100%80.078.0+2.0
25 Jamaica110100%92.090.0+2.0
26 Estonia110100%94.093.0+1.0
27 Lebanon110100%75.074.0+1.0
28 Ukraine65183%82.572.8+9.7
29 Netherlands54180%79.873.0+6.8
30 South Sudan32167%81.364.7+16.7
31 Switzerland128467%75.466.5+8.9
32 Tunisia32167%74.770.0+4.7
33 Cameroon32167%71.369.7+1.7
34 Cape Verde32167%82.086.7-4.7
35 Hungary53260%82.072.8+9.2
36 Romania106460%75.674.6+1.0
37 El Salvador53260%64.871.8-7.0
38 Austria95456%88.077.8+10.2
39 Portugal21150%75.569.0+6.5
40 Great Britain21150%89.086.5+2.5
41 Lithuania21150%85.085.0+0.0
42 Iceland21150%82.583.0-0.5
43 Italy21150%79.081.0-2.0
44 Ireland63350%75.778.3-2.7
45 Montenegro21150%71.079.0-8.0
46 Armenia42250%86.596.0-9.5
47 Denmark62433%75.080.3-5.3
48 Kosovo62433%73.781.5-7.8
49 Slovakia41325%75.580.8-5.2
50 Luxembourg41325%67.874.0-6.2
51 Bulgaria41325%75.886.0-10.2
52 Albania41325%72.585.2-12.8
53 North Macedonia41325%69.582.5-13.0
54 Norway82625%66.981.0-14.1
55 Honduras51420%61.870.6-8.8
56 Guatemala51420%62.873.0-10.2
57 Azerbaijan61517%67.580.8-13.3
58 Qatar1010%74.075.0-1.0
59 Slovenia1010%93.094.0-1.0
60 Puerto Rico1010%90.092.0-2.0
61 Venezuela1010%78.080.0-2.0
62 China1010%76.080.0-4.0
63 New Zealand1010%79.084.0-5.0
64 Finland1010%82.089.0-7.0
65 Mexico1010%85.092.0-7.0
66 Latvia1010%78.086.0-8.0
67 Cuba1010%68.080.0-12.0
68 Nigeria2020%66.578.5-12.0
69 Rwanda2020%68.080.5-12.5
70 Libya3030%66.780.3-13.7
71 Belgium1010%63.079.0-16.0
72 Chile1010%66.082.0-16.0
73 Sweden1010%80.097.0-17.0
74 Israel1010%69.089.0-20.0
75 Iraq2020%69.590.0-20.5
76 Georgia2020%70.091.0-21.0
77 Bosnia & Herzegovina1010%71.093.0-22.0
78 India2020%54.078.0-24.0
79 Chinese Taipei1010%64.090.0-26.0
80 Panama1010%60.093.0-33.0
81 Syria2020%53.587.0-33.5
82 Bahamas1010%75.0111.0-36.0
83 Cyprus1010%60.0100.0-40.0
84 Guam1010%46.087.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 84 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lebanon1919172883
Qatar1421252686
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