Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 May 2017

Tip-off: 00:00

Final 75-72

15-17 22-19 15-13 23-23

Position#14

Record25-29

FormLWLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game80.4

Quilmes 🏆

Libertad

Position#9

Record28-26

FormLWWWL

Points / game80.0

Allowed / game78.2

Liga A

Other2016-17

Meetings · Quilmes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

75-81

-6

A07/04

Liga A

San Martin

76-86

-10

A09/04

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

106-77

106

+29

H15/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

84-68

+16

A18/04

Liga A

Atenas

#16

102-97

102

A20/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

80-88

-8

H25/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

80-77

H28/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

65-88

-23

A03/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

90-79

+11

A04/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

59-83

-24

A07/05

Liga A

16-15

19-23

16-22

24-21

12-20

10-33

25-14

29-19

25-21

26-6

27-25

28-25

25-18

16-13

22-21

21-16

32-17

17-19

24-23

29-38

14-12

26-20

17-32

23-24

23-11

18-23

18-25

21-18

18-29

24-17

10-24

13-18

25-21

16-17

21-20

28-21

12-21

26-15

13-24

8-23

164.1Avg total

81.7Scored

82.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (54)	79.3	80.4	159.7	-1.1	46%
Season at home (27)	83.7	79.5	163.3	+4.2	67%
Season away (27)	74.9	81.3	156.2	-6.4	26%
Last 10 (10)	81.7	82.4	164.1	-0.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	74.8	83.0	157.8	-8.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.5	83.3	158.8	-7.8	17%
vs Similar ◀ (22)	84.6	83.5	168.1	+1.1	55%
vs Weaker (2)	98.0	69.5	167.5	+28.5	100%

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

92-79

+13

A09/04

Liga A

La Union

#18

89-88

A11/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

82-67

+15

H15/04

Liga A

Atenas

#16

101-88

101

+13

H17/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

80-90

-10

A22/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

73-79

-6

A23/04

Liga A

Ferro

80-68

+12

H28/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

76-66

+10

H30/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

75-72

H04/05

Liga A

Penarol

#15

67-70

-3

A07/05

Liga A

19-20

17-26

32-18

24-15

21-13

12-26

24-24

32-25

18-27

15-14

28-12

21-14

28-19

20-11

25-31

28-27

14-24

25-20

13-25

28-21

16-19

14-20

22-23

21-17

19-15

20-10

23-25

18-18

13-19

19-11

22-17

22-19

23-13

14-19

23-17

15-23

17-19

18-19

14-15

18-17

158.2Avg total

81.5Scored

76.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (54)	80.0	78.2	158.2	+1.8	52%
Season at home (27)	81.9	74.9	156.9	+7.0	74%
Season away (27)	78.1	81.4	159.5	-3.3	30%
Last 10 (10)	81.5	76.7	158.2	+4.8	70%
Last 5 (5)	74.2	71.0	145.2	+3.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	73.5	78.5	152.0	-5.0	25%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.4	77.8	156.2	+0.7	50%
vs Weaker (8)	84.1	75.1	159.2	+9.0	88%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	19.7	40.2	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.9	19.3	40.1	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.5	38.7	+1.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.8	37.2	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	17.8	34.0	-1.7	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	21.6	20.2	41.8	+1.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	18.9	38.2	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.0	38.1	-1.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	17.0	34.6	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.2	39.0	+0.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.2	19.8	37.9	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.4	16.9	38.2	+4.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.6	38.8	-0.5	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.1	19.7	38.9	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.1	19.5	38.7	-0.4	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.6	38.4	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	18.4	40.4	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	20.7	41.3	+0.0	67%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	18.3	20.5	38.7	-2.2	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	7.5	31.5	+16.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	18.7	37.1	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.8	15.0	33.8	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	22.5	40.4	-4.5	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	15.8	32.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.5	19.0	34.5	-3.5	75%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	17.9	18.1	36.0	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.8	20.1	40.9	+0.6	50%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

35-38

-3

A07/04

Liga A

San Martin

22-53

-31

A09/04

Liga A

Atletico Echague Parana

#20

51-27

+24

H15/04

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

41-31

+10

A18/04

Liga A

Atenas

#16

49-36

+13

A20/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

40-32

H25/04

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-34

H28/04

Liga A

San Lorenzo

42-46

-4

A03/05

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-38

A04/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

#11

38-36

A07/05

Liga A

77.1Avg total

40.0Scored

37.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.4	78.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	39.0	79.0	+1.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	39.7	78.9	-0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	37.1	77.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	37.2	77.6	+3.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.8	38.5	75.3	-1.7	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	39.9	40.7	80.5	-0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	27.5	72.0	+17.0	100%	-

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

36-46

-10

A09/04

Liga A

La Union

#18

33-39

-6

A11/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

33-41

-8

H15/04

Liga A

Atenas

#16

48-30

+18

H17/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

39-44

-5

A22/04

Liga A

Weber Bahia

30-39

-9

A23/04

Liga A

Ferro

39-25

+14

H28/04

Liga A

Argentino

#10

32-30

H30/04

Liga A

Hispano Americano

#17

37-32

H04/05

Liga A

Penarol

#15

35-38

-3

A07/05

Liga A

72.6Avg total

36.2Scored

36.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.6	37.7	75.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	39.1	32.9	72.0	+6.3	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	42.5	78.5	-6.4	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	36.4	72.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	32.8	67.4	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.2	38.2	73.5	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.1	37.8	73.9	-1.7	39%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.1	37.0	79.1	+5.1	62%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	22.3	43.7	-0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.9	18.6	37.5	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	23.0	42.3	-3.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	25.0	40.8	-9.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.5	22.0	42.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	19.5	20.2	39.8	-0.7	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	18.0	44.0	+8.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	19.9	41.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	20.3	39.9	-0.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.7	43.3	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.5	23.0	42.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.6	20.5	41.1	+0.1	39%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	21.3	44.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.5	21.5	46.0	+3.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	21.2	42.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	22.3	44.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.8	39.4	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.2	22.8	41.0	-4.7	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	23.5	20.7	44.2	+2.8	68%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	24.0	51.5	+3.5	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.3	19.4	40.7	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	18.7	38.5	+1.2	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	20.2	42.9	+2.5	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	19.6	42.3	+3.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.7	19.4	41.2	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.5	20.5	42.0	+1.0	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	41.8	84.6	+1.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	43.7	89.7	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	39.8	39.8	79.6	+0.0	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	45.3	87.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.4	45.8	80.2	-11.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.7	44.8	83.5	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (22)	43.0	40.9	84.0	+2.1	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	53.5	42.0	95.5	+11.5	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.5	81.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.1	38.5	79.6	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	40.5	82.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.3	40.3	85.6	+5.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	38.2	77.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.2	40.2	78.5	-2.0	25%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	42.3	39.9	82.3	+2.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (8)	42.0	38.1	80.1	+3.9	62%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/17	Libertad v Quilmes	78-73
19/04/16	Libertad v Quilmes	104-87
26/02/16	Quilmes v Libertad	101-89
25/04/15	Libertad v Quilmes	92-90
04/03/15	Quilmes v Libertad	99-89
08/02/14	Quilmes v Libertad	72-77
01/02/14	Libertad v Quilmes	91-90
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/17	A	Gimnasia	59-83
04/05/17	A	Obras Sanitarias	90-79
03/05/17	A	San Lorenzo	65-88
28/04/17	H	Obras Sanitarias	80-77
25/04/17	H	San Lorenzo	80-88
20/04/17	A	Atenas	102-97
18/04/17	A	Instituto de Cordoba	84-68
15/04/17	H	Atletico Echague Parana	106-77
09/04/17	A	San Martin	76-86
07/04/17	A	Regatas	75-81

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/05/17	A	Penarol	67-70
04/05/17	H	Hispano Americano	75-72
30/04/17	H	Argentino	76-66
28/04/17	H	Ferro	80-68
23/04/17	A	Weber Bahia	73-79
22/04/17	A	Argentino	80-90
17/04/17	H	Atenas	101-88
15/04/17	H	Weber Bahia	82-67
11/04/17	A	La Union	89-88
09/04/17	A	Regatas	92-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	46%
Home	LLWLW	67%
Away	WWLWL	26%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	54	27	27
Win %	46%	67%	26%
Points / game	79.3	83.7	74.9
Allowed / game	80.4	79.5	81.3
Point differential	-1.1	+4.2	-6.4
Avg total	159.7	163.3	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	22%	30%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	54% (13)	86% (7)	17% (6)
Overtime %	9%	11%	7%

Libertad

Liga A 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	52%
Home	WWWWW	74%
Away	WWLLL	30%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	54	27	27
Win %	52%	74%	30%
Points / game	80.0	81.9	78.1
Allowed / game	78.2	74.9	81.4
Point differential	+1.8	+7.0	-3.3
Avg total	158.2	156.9	159.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	35%	52%	19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	58% (12)	80% (5)	43% (7)
Overtime %	4%	4%	4%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Martin	55	39	16	71%	81.8	75.1	+6.7
2	San Lorenzo	54	38	16	70%	83.5	73.3	+10.2
3	Estudiantes	54	37	17	69%	80.4	75.9	+4.5
4	Ferro	54	34	20	63%	77.6	76.6	+1.0
5	Regatas	54	33	21	61%	86.5	83.2	+3.3
6	Olimpico	55	31	24	56%	80.4	76.8	+3.5
7	Instituto de Cordoba	55	30	25	55%	81.7	82.1	-0.4
8	Weber Bahia	54	29	25	54%	77.8	77.5	+0.4
9	Argentino	55	29	26	53%	74.4	75.6	-1.2
10	Libertad	54	28	26	52%	80.0	78.2	+1.8
11	Gimnasia	54	27	27	50%	81.2	80.7	+0.5
12	Quimsa	54	25	29	46%	81.7	80.7	+1.0
13	Obras Sanitarias	54	25	29	46%	82.8	81.9	+0.9
14	Quilmes	54	25	29	46%	79.3	80.4	-1.1
15	Penarol	55	23	32	42%	74.5	77.7	-3.1
16	Atenas	54	22	32	41%	82.1	83.9	-1.8
17	La Union	55	22	33	40%	76.3	80.5	-4.1
18	Hispano Americano	54	21	33	39%	79.5	82.9	-3.3
19	Boca Juniors	54	17	37	31%	77.7	83.3	-5.6
20	Atletico Echague Parana	54	8	46	15%	76.5	89.6	-13.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	15	22	15	23	75
Libertad	17	19	13	23	72

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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A Pro feature