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Holbaek-Stenhus vs Randers Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 23 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 76-86
9-24 25-23 20-15 22-24
Position#11
Record1-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game93.4
vs
Randers 🏆
Denmark
Position#4
Record8-3
FormLWWLW
Points / game95.1
Allowed / game83.0
DenmarkBasketligaen· Holbaek Sportsby
Other2025-26
Meetings · Holbaek-Stenhus v Randers
17 Sep 2026
HOLB84
RAND100
23 Nov 2025
HOLB76
RAND86
01 Feb 2025
HOLB71
RAND99
08 Dec 2023
HOLB87
RAND115
19 Jan 2023
HOLB62
RAND82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Holbaek-Stenhus winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Randers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Holbaek-StenhusDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHolbaek-Stenhus
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#6
L
81-88
81
88
-7
69avg 68
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
54avg 68
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-102
76
102
-26
58avg 68
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
89-92
89
92
-3
no box
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 68
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
83-87
83
87
-4
69avg 68
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
57-119
57
119
-62
34avg 68
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
73-74
73
74
-1
58avg 68
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
75-105
75
105
-30
53avg 68
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
88-91
88
91
-3
80avg 68
A19/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
21-23
18-17
23-19
15-23
11-30
19-24
22-18
21-34
23-23
21-21
11-24
25-28
16-28
25-25
23-11
26-19
20-22
18-24
26-16
23-24
20-22
25-27
15-14
17-32
9-27
16-24
15-36
25-19
15-18
13-21
20-16
17-31
22-28
18-29
18-17
26-19
25-25
17-22
20-25
171.3Avg total
77.9Scored
93.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.993.4171.3-15.510%
Season at home (5)77.288.6165.8-11.420%
Season away (5)78.698.2176.8-19.60%
Last 10 (10)77.993.4171.3-15.510%
Last 5 (5)75.295.2170.4-20.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)76.997.9174.8-20.913%
vs Similar (12)89.884.5174.2+5.250%
vs Weaker (3)84.379.0163.3+5.3100%
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRanders
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
W
94-75
94
75
+19
no box
A27/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
102-76
102
76
+26
106avg 86
H02/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
90-101
90
101
-11
79avg 86
A09/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
103-92
103
92
+11
97avg 86
A16/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
100-66
100
66
+34
101avg 86
H25/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
84-89
84
89
-5
78avg 86
H30/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
98-91
98
91
+7
91avg 86
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
89-76
89
76
+13
94avg 86
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
70-73
70
73
-3
63avg 86
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
100-87
100
87
+13
105avg 86
H20/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
26-15
20-17
25-25
34-21
23-23
21-21
24-11
19-21
25-28
19-24
27-28
24-22
19-21
30-28
30-21
34-18
19-19
18-20
29-9
17-21
26-22
18-26
23-20
30-22
24-22
20-26
24-21
21-17
27-22
18-23
23-14
19-16
10-19
16-19
25-19
16-20
33-15
25-23
26-29
175.6Avg total
93.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)95.183.0178.1+12.173%
Season at home (6)98.580.2178.7+18.383%
Season away (5)91.086.4177.4+4.660%
Last 10 (10)93.082.6175.6+10.470%
Last 5 (5)88.283.2171.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)77.784.3162.0-6.70%
vs Similar (7)82.785.9168.6-3.129%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.378.6173.9+16.890%
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +5.9+5.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.6+2.6Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: +5.9+5.9
Holbaek-StenhusRanders
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Holbaek-StenhusLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vaerlose
#6
L
40-52
40
52
-12
H23/09
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
26-53
26
53
-27
H28/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A02/10
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
L
41-56
41
56
-15
A06/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H23/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A29/10
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
26-59
26
59
-33
A02/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H04/11
Basketligaen
Bakken Bears
#1
L
39-59
39
59
-20
H14/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A19/11
Basketligaen
90.0Avg total
39.6Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.947.688.5-6.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.346.185.4-6.843%-
Last 30 away (16)42.248.991.2-6.725%-
Last 10 (10)39.650.490.0-10.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.849.088.8-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)37.750.688.3-12.920%-
vs Similar (12)45.345.590.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (3)38.741.079.7-2.333%-
This opponent (Randers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RandersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BMS Herlev
#10
W
49-33
49
33
+16
A27/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H02/10
Basketligaen
Team FOG Naestved
#2
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A09/10
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A16/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H25/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H30/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A01/11
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H06/11
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A14/11
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/11
Basketligaen
87.1Avg total
46.9Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.040.386.3+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.540.690.1+8.980%-
Last 30 away (15)42.540.082.5+2.540%-
Last 10 (10)46.940.287.1+6.760%-
Last 5 (5)44.639.283.8+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.341.780.0-3.30%-
vs Similar (7)43.343.086.3+0.343%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.139.187.2+9.075%-
This opponent (Holbaek-Stenhus) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Holbaek-Stenhustheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Holbaek-Stenhus: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.720.1
46.0%
54.6%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.67.7
26.9%
32.9%23.1
🏀 Free throws21.115.6
73.9%
70.1%15.6
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Randerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Randers: 94.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.522.7
60.5%
54.6%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.39.7
35.5%
32.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws24.819.9
80.2%
70.1%19.9
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Holbaek-Stenhus
LLLLLWLLLL
Randers
WLWWLWWLWW
#11
League position
#4
-16.8
Net rating
+15.1
94.0
Offensive rating
120.7
110.8
Defensive rating
105.6
43.8%
Effective FG%
57.5%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
18.7%
Turnover %
17.8%
29.3%
Off. rebound %
32.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.38
26.9%
3-point %
35.5%
48.6%
Assist %
69.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.0 · 120.7Defence110.8 · 105.6Shooting43.8% · 57.5%3-point %26.9% · 35.5%Ball care18.7% · 17.8%Off. rebounds29.3% · 32.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)10% · 70%
■ Holbaek-Stenhus   ■ Randers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Holbaek-Stenhus wins
7
Randers wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25ACopenhagen88-91
14/11/25HBakken Bears75-105
04/11/25HCopenhagen73-74
02/11/25ABakken Bears57-119
29/10/25AVaerlose83-87
23/10/25HVejen90-81
06/10/25ABMS Herlev89-92
02/10/25ARanders76-102
28/09/25HHorsens67-95
23/09/25HVaerlose81-88
Randerslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/11/25HVejen100-87
14/11/25ACopenhagen70-73
06/11/25HHorsens89-76
01/11/25AAmager98-91
30/10/25HSvendborg84-89
25/10/25HAmager100-66
16/10/25AVejen103-92
09/10/25ATeam FOG Naestved90-101
02/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus102-76
27/09/25ABMS Herlev94-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Holbaek-Stenhus
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL10%
HomeLLWLL20%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %10%20%0%
Points / game77.977.278.6
Allowed / game93.488.698.2
Point differential-15.5-11.4-19.6
Avg total171.3165.8176.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (4)0% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Randers
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW73%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game95.198.591.0
Allowed / game83.080.286.4
Point differential+12.1+18.3+4.6
Avg total178.1178.7177.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%83%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears990100%108.673.9+34.7
2 Team FOG Naestved1110191%108.883.5+25.4
3 Horsens119282%86.872.5+14.3
4 Svendborg118373%93.877.8+16.0
5 Randers118373%95.183.0+12.1
6 Copenhagen128467%88.385.1+3.2
7 Vaerlose128467%78.485.3-6.9
8 BMS Herlev103730%82.090.0-8.0
9 Holbaek-Stenhus101910%77.993.4-15.5
10 Vejen111109%74.491.8-17.5
11 Bears Academy121118%76.7101.3-24.7
12 Amager120120%78.6102.8-24.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Holbaek-Stenhus925202276
Randers2423152486
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