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Horsens vs BMS Herlev Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-73
20-15 30-21 18-16 21-21
Position#5
Record8-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game70.6
Horsens 🏆
Denmark
vs
Position#10
Record3-5
FormLWWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game88.8
DenmarkBasketligaen· Forum Horsens
Other2025-26
Meetings · Horsens v BMS Herlev
08 Nov 2026
HORS v BMS
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
HORS89
BMS 73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Horsens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BMS Herlev winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

HorsensDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHorsens
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
62-83
62
83
-21
47avg 76
H12/05
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
95-57
95
57
+38
81avg 76
A24/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
95-67
95
67
+28
85avg 76
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
75avg 76
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
90-68
90
68
+22
no box
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
76-72
76
72
+4
69avg 76
H17/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
74-60
74
60
+14
70avg 76
A26/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
95-67
95
67
+28
86avg 76
H30/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
98-72
98
72
+26
91avg 76
H02/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 76
A06/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
13-21
23-12
8-28
24-14
22-15
27-16
22-12
23-15
30-11
24-19
18-22
22-25
24-15
21-26
17-17
27-25
14-15
25-16
24-12
26-19
20-14
12-14
18-25
19-17
20-9
18-17
17-17
25-18
30-20
16-25
24-4
35-16
14-15
29-24
20-17
17-21
22-27
23-18
14-23
156.3Avg total
84.5Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.070.6157.6+16.489%
Season at home (4)88.273.5161.8+14.8100%
Season away (5)86.068.2154.2+17.880%
Last 10 (10)84.571.8156.3+12.780%
Last 5 (5)83.872.0155.8+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)77.284.6161.8-7.538%
vs Similar (4)84.284.5168.8-0.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.870.5160.2+19.3100%
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevDenmarkLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHerlev
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
79-100
79
100
-21
no box
A23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
75-94
75
94
-19
no box
H27/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
no box
H06/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
68-90
68
90
-22
no box
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
98-80
98
80
+18
no box
H25/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
103-70
103
70
+33
no box
H28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
72-94
72
94
-22
no box
H01/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
no box
A06/11
Basketligaen
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-28
23-30
19-24
23-18
18-23
15-26
17-20
25-25
28-25
28-16
25-25
11-23
25-27
15-14
16-25
12-24
33-22
17-9
22-20
26-29
21-12
29-18
32-16
21-24
13-30
21-22
21-20
17-22
25-19
17-25
20-26
14-23
171.6Avg total
82.9Scored
88.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.988.8171.6-5.938%
Season at home (6)84.786.2170.8-1.550%
Season away (2)77.596.5174.0-19.00%
Last 10 (8)82.988.8171.6-5.938%
Last 5 (5)83.485.4168.8-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)78.091.8169.8-13.817%
vs Similar (2)97.579.5177.0+18.0100%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.9-4.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.4+4.4Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.9-4.9
HorsensBMS Herlev
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
HorsensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Randers
#5
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/05
Basketligaen
Vejen
#9
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A24/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
53-26
53
26
+27
A28/09
Basketligaen
Copenhagen
#7
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H30/09
Basketligaen
BMS Herlev
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A10/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H17/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
39-26
39
26
+13
A26/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H30/10
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H02/11
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/11
Basketligaen
79.9Avg total
44.5Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.338.280.5+4.160%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.038.581.5+4.562%-
Last 30 away (14)41.537.979.4+3.657%-
Last 10 (10)44.535.479.9+9.180%-
Last 5 (5)45.635.280.8+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.240.979.2-2.738%-
vs Similar (4)46.042.888.8+3.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.234.179.3+11.285%-
This opponent (BMS Herlev) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BMS HerlevLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Copenhagen
#7
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A23/09
Basketligaen
Randers
#4
L
33-49
33
49
-16
H27/09
Basketligaen
Holbaek-Stenhus
#11
W
56-41
56
41
+15
H06/10
Basketligaen
Horsens
#5
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H10/10
Basketligaen
Bears Academy
#8
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H25/10
Basketligaen
Amager
#13
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H28/10
Basketligaen
Svendborg
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H01/11
Basketligaen
Vaerlose
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A06/11
Basketligaen
86.0Avg total
42.8Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (8)42.843.286.0-0.538%-
Last 30 at home (6)43.840.784.5+3.250%-
Last 30 away (2)39.551.090.5-11.50%-
Last 10 (8)42.843.286.0-0.538%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.682.8+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)39.345.885.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (2)53.035.588.5+17.5100%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Horsens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Horsenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Horsens: 83.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.621.7
50.9%
54.6%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.38.4
30.8%
32.9%25.2
🏀 Free throws22.715.0
66.1%
70.1%15.0
They take 69.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BMS Herlevtheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Horsens wins
0
BMS Herlev wins
DateGameScore
10/10/25BMS Herlev v Horsens68-90
Horsenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25ARanders76-89
02/11/25HVaerlose98-72
30/10/25HBears Academy95-67
26/10/25AVaerlose74-60
17/10/25HSvendborg76-72
10/10/25ABMS Herlev90-68
30/09/25HCopenhagen84-83
28/09/25AHolbaek-Stenhus95-67
24/09/25AVejen95-57
12/05/25HRanders62-83
BMS Herlevlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/25AVaerlose76-93
01/11/25HSvendborg72-94
28/10/25HAmager103-70
25/10/25HBears Academy98-80
10/10/25HHorsens68-90
06/10/25HHolbaek-Stenhus92-89
27/09/25HRanders75-94
23/09/25ACopenhagen79-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Horsens
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL89%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWWL80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %89%100%80%
Points / game87.088.286.0
Allowed / game70.673.568.2
Point differential+16.4+14.8+17.8
Avg total157.6161.8154.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
BMS Herlev
Basketligaen 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Losses (last 8)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL38%
HomeWLWWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %38%50%0%
Points / game82.984.777.5
Allowed / game88.886.296.5
Point differential-5.9-1.5-19.0
Avg total171.6170.8174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bakken Bears880100%110.972.8+38.1
2 Team FOG Naestved109190%109.683.4+26.2
3 Horsens98189%87.070.6+16.4
4 Randers107370%94.682.6+12.0
5 Svendborg96367%92.980.1+12.8
6 Copenhagen106460%88.184.8+3.3
7 Vaerlose106460%75.585.7-10.2
8 BMS Herlev83538%82.988.8-5.9
9 Holbaek-Stenhus91811%76.893.7-16.9
10 Vejen91811%71.891.3-19.6
11 Bears Academy101910%76.2102.5-26.3
12 Amager100100%79.9104.2-24.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Horsens2030182189
BMS Herlev1521162173
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