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Real Betis vs Palencia Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 85-68
23-23 25-12 19-20 18-13
Position#3
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game69.0
vs
Position#6
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game82.2
SpainPrimera FEBRound 5· Palacio Municipal De Deportes San Pablo
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Betis v Palencia
26 Oct 2024
RBE85
PAL68
23 Nov 2018
RBE94
PAL69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Betis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real BetisSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBetis
Date
Competition
Caceres
#17
W
80-62
80
62
+18
74avg 73
H10/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
62avg 73
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-98
73
98
-25
63avg 73
A19/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 73
H24/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
77-65
77
65
+12
71avg 73
H26/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
54-65
54
65
-11
31avg 73
A30/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
77-62
77
62
+15
66avg 73
A28/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
95-76
95
76
+19
94avg 73
H04/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
64-57
64
57
+7
62avg 73
A13/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
76-81
76
81
-5
65avg 73
A18/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
14-13
18-11
20-20
9-26
31-20
19-17
18-23
23-19
15-31
17-24
18-24
23-23
23-21
24-20
20-20
17-9
18-22
27-17
15-17
15-19
11-14
17-13
11-19
11-15
19-14
25-19
22-14
22-20
22-14
28-21
23-21
20-10
9-21
20-8
15-18
25-21
18-18
13-15
20-27
149.9Avg total
76.3Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.069.0147.0+9.075%
Season at home (1)95.076.0171.0+19.0100%
Season away (3)72.366.7139.0+5.767%
Last 10 (10)76.373.6149.9+2.760%
Last 5 (5)73.268.2141.4+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.184.4162.5-6.327%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.281.5165.7+2.767%
vs Weaker (13)79.668.7148.3+10.985%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 72
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 72
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-101
94
101
-7
94avg 72
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 72
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
57avg 72
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
64avg 72
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 72
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 72
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
66avg 72
A12/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
80-87
80
87
-7
70avg 72
H19/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
14-21
20-26
21-19
28-25
32-27
25-21
15-28
22-25
24-17
27-20
22-21
24-22
17-19
21-14
19-22
18-26
17-17
17-25
14-26
21-25
21-18
21-23
27-27
22-17
20-18
22-9
21-16
15-26
13-24
21-19
17-20
26-25
15-30
22-19
24-20
19-18
168.6Avg total
82.1Scored
86.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)81.582.2163.8-0.850%
Season at home (2)79.078.0157.0+1.050%
Season away (2)84.086.5170.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)82.186.5168.6-4.430%
Last 5 (5)79.084.4163.4-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)79.588.2167.7-8.717%
vs Similar ◀ (5)82.292.0174.2-9.820%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.9+1.9Q3Q3: +4.3+4.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -2.1-2.1Q4: -2.5-2.5
Real BetisPalencia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real BetisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caceres
#17
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A17/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A19/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H26/05
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A30/05
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A28/09
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H04/10
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
29-31
29
31
-2
A13/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A18/10
Primera FEB
74.1Avg total
37.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.977.6+1.763%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.535.177.5+7.492%-
Last 30 away (17)37.540.177.6-2.641%-
Last 10 (10)37.336.874.1+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.433.267.6+1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.942.581.5-3.636%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)39.742.081.7-2.350%-
vs Weaker (13)40.332.272.5+8.292%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/10
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H19/10
Primera FEB
80.5Avg total
39.9Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.541.881.4-2.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.640.079.6-0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.783.1-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.940.680.5-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)37.840.478.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.446.683.0-10.220%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Real Betis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Betistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Betis: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.4
47.5%
51.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.1
31.5%
33.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws21.616.1
74.5%
73.6%16.1
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Betis
LWWWLWWLLW
Palencia
LLWWLLWLLL
#3
League position
#6
-1.2
Net rating
-11.7
106.4
Offensive rating
106.7
107.6
Defensive rating
118.4
47.4%
Effective FG%
51.8%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
16.7%
Turnover %
16.8%
35.9%
Off. rebound %
25.8%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.29
31.5%
3-point %
34.1%
52.0%
Assist %
64.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence106.4 · 106.7Defence107.6 · 118.4Shooting47.4% · 51.8%3-point %31.5% · 34.1%Ball care16.7% · 16.8%Free throws0.32 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Real Betis   ■ Palencia
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Real Betis wins
0
Palencia wins
DateGameScore
15/03/19Palencia v Real Betis66-76
23/11/18Real Betis v Palencia94-69
Real Betislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/24AEstela76-81
13/10/24AAlicante64-57
04/10/24HTizona Burgos95-76
28/09/24AGipuzkoa77-62
30/05/24AEstudiantes54-65
26/05/24HEstudiantes77-65
24/05/24HEstudiantes90-84
19/05/24AEstudiantes73-98
17/05/24AEstudiantes77-86
10/05/24HCaceres80-62
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HEstudiantes80-87
12/10/24ASan Pablo Burgos77-88
04/10/24HGipuzkoa78-69
27/09/24ATizona Burgos91-85
12/05/24AUnicaja69-93
09/05/24HObradoiro CAB75-81
04/05/24ABilbao97-80
27/04/24HBaskonia94-101
20/04/24HGranada83-91
13/04/24AMurcia77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Betis
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game78.095.072.3
Allowed / game69.076.066.7
Point differential+9.0+19.0+5.7
Avg total147.0171.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game81.579.084.0
Allowed / game82.278.086.5
Point differential-0.8+1.0-2.5
Avg total163.8157.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos440100%86.074.8+11.2
2 Ourense54180%85.469.8+15.6
3 Fuenlabrada43175%84.869.0+15.8
4 Estudiantes43175%92.082.0+10.0
5 Zamora43175%84.074.8+9.2
6 Real Betis43175%78.069.0+9.0
7 Gipuzkoa53260%67.868.0-0.2
8 Palencia42250%81.582.2-0.8
9 Tizona Burgos42250%87.290.5-3.2
10 Hestia Menorca42250%71.274.8-3.5
11 Oviedo42250%74.580.2-5.8
12 Cartagena42250%75.283.0-7.8
13 Obradoiro CAB52340%75.276.6-1.4
14 Castello52340%82.084.4-2.4
15 Real Valladolid51420%72.083.8-11.8
16 Estela51420%73.486.2-12.8
17 Alicante4040%66.071.8-5.8
18 Moron4040%65.577.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Betis2325191885
Palencia2312201368
← all games of the day
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